Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-14 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

64% 11% -$16

Other

31% 0% -$11

Tech

5% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+21	$10	66¢	$14	+$4	09-11 17:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+21	$11	34¢	$7	-$4	09-11 16:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	5	$84	92	92	+0	Yes	-$1	07-22 18:30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	8	$83	115	28	+87	No	-$6	09-05 13:30
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	6	$79	67	67	+0	No	-$1	07-18 15:05
Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	12	$77	131	37	+93	open	—	10-14 16:14
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	6	$66	63	63	+0	open	—	10-03 03:31
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	3	$66	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-18 18:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	3	$61	52	52	+0	Yes	-$11	07-29 09:57
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	6	$45	80	15	+65	open	—	09-25 05:46
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	4	$43	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	07-17 08:27
Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	5	$39	42	42	+0	open	—	08-22 17:11
Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	5	$38	42	42	+0	No	-$2	08-30 10:24
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	5	$36	63	21	+42	open	—	08-23 13:31
over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	2	$36	52	52	+0	No	+$0	07-23 05:45
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	2	$32	21	21	+0	Yes	-$2	08-28 10:05
Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	2	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	08-10 09:12
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	2	$28	42	0	+42	open	—	09-16 11:16
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	3	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	-$1	09-10 21:46
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	09-23 02:53
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	2	$26	21	21	+0	No	-$4	08-25 15:53
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	2	$24	42	0	+42	open	—	09-28 16:28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	09-01 15:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	3	$22	45	5	+40	open	—	09-21 11:03
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	3	$21	41	1	+40	open	—	08-24 21:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	09-11 17:40
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	2	$18	21	21	+0	No	-$3	07-09 20:45
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	2	$18	22	22	+0	Yes	-$2	08-10 19:26
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	2	$15	21	21	+0	open	—	08-13 13:50
Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?	2	$14	21	21	+0	Yes	-$2	08-26 16:00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	2	$13	25	25	+0	open	—	10-12 01:15
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$11	25	25	+0	No	-$1	09-12 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 19:11:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x17d9a4…
10-14 16:14:21	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x6c6fc3…
10-14 15:14:55	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x32e115…
10-14 02:21:11	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x3e8eca…
10-14 02:21:10	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0xc45a65…
10-14 02:20:22	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x444e7e…
10-14 02:20:22	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x18bdd6…
10-14 00:07:24	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa08870…
10-13 23:59:01	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x4c28bc…
10-13 19:18:49	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x27cb03…
10-13 18:53:16	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x1eaecc…
10-13 10:04:19	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x36066f…
10-13 09:26:02	Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xde5a3d…
10-12 01:15:00	Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x729630…
10-10 03:54:04	Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x86df14…
10-09 12:48:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x42ca73…
10-08 18:32:59	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x045ce0…
10-08 18:31:00	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x0d4683…
10-06 06:34:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xc77f77…
10-04 19:02:38	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4ea5aa…
10-04 19:02:38	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x002478…
10-03 03:31:17	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0xa2f80a…
10-02 22:04:14	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	No	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xfc62a3…
10-02 19:43:57	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0x1baf39…
10-01 20:11:41	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	No	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0xfcc92b…
10-01 20:08:59	Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xdd450b…
10-01 19:46:27	any of the cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x3b48e8…
09-29 00:38:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc3578c…
09-28 16:28:21	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x525897…
09-28 10:34:44	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0x1bcaed…
09-25 05:46:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xb0580d…
09-24 13:04:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd1e338…
09-24 13:04:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x71afda…
09-24 08:40:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x09269b…
09-24 06:45:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xcd2beb…
09-24 04:37:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xf51da0…
09-23 02:53:23	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x80ae2b…
09-22 05:50:52	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xc64204…
09-21 11:03:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4334fa…
09-21 00:45:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x6454ec…
09-20 21:42:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x50bbe5…
09-16 11:16:25	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xae0ecd…
09-16 10:24:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xf54e23…
09-12 11:59:12	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x574302…
09-11 22:47:36	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x541902…
09-11 17:40:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2c8737…
09-11 16:21:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x3b151d…
09-10 21:46:30	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0xe98e83…
09-10 09:00:21	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x31b899…
09-10 09:00:21	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x037e00…
09-05 13:30:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x44b6bc…
09-05 00:00:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x816db7…
09-04 14:48:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xf35af2…
09-04 00:55:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xb2a99f…
09-03 15:43:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x5a59f8…
09-03 07:52:09	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xe7ff22…
09-03 07:52:09	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by september 30 2026	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x97239a…
09-03 02:56:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x2797a6…
09-01 15:31:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0xc6f523…
08-31 20:41:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x5cefd2…
08-30 10:24:21	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x5cfbfb…
08-29 21:18:39	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x840cdb…
08-29 21:18:39	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x840cdb…
08-29 01:07:31	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xd13571…
08-28 21:39:25	Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x2c7992…
08-28 10:05:13	Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x6ae644…
08-27 20:57:00	Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xf5bb4b…
08-26 16:00:16	Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?	No	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x8c7185…
08-25 20:37:49	Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x06da68…
08-25 15:53:12	Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x2f3c6f…
08-25 03:29:25	Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x7938b3…
08-24 21:31:55	Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x60962c…
08-24 21:07:46	Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x84c628…
08-24 07:19:58	Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x28ed12…
08-23 13:31:03	Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0xf39f46…
08-22 23:08:30	Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xaf1a0c…
08-22 21:35:01	Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x106ecf…
08-22 21:29:49	Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf76590…
08-22 18:12:51	Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x0a71e3…
08-22 17:11:36	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	No	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0xb31734…
08-22 03:56:28	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	No	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x5d6485…
08-22 03:56:28	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x5d6485…
08-16 06:45:57	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x8a25f7…
08-16 06:45:12	Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x7ac65b…
08-15 09:36:46	Will Per Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x8d9446…
08-15 01:49:58	Will Per Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x053d14…
08-14 10:04:19	Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x4f1058…
08-14 03:12:15	Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xc842a3…
08-13 13:50:43	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xd1f74c…
08-13 10:26:42	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xca10e4…
08-10 19:26:10	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x76f7ac…
08-10 15:50:12	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	No	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x9a7529…
08-10 09:12:10	Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	No	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x76fb5d…
08-09 22:18:37	Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x05e25a…
07-29 09:57:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	52	48¢	$25	0xa6c990…
07-27 13:42:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	49	69¢	$34	0xb5a9eb…
07-27 13:42:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xabbdfd…
07-23 05:45:00	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	52	34¢	$18	0x996824…
07-22 22:21:42	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0xc5bbf2…
07-22 18:30:10	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	42	77¢	$32	0xf4486c…