Realized P&L (90d)
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$96
Hit rate
87.2%
Resolved (90d)
93
Trades (90d)
690
690 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.96K
$6.96K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$901
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-01 11:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
68% 81% -$54
Politics
27% 25% -$20
Sports
2% 0% -$3
Tech
2% 100% +$9
Crypto
1% 25% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +150 $55 99¢ $148 +$92 10-29 08:27
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +101 $84 86¢ $86 +$3 10-29 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +59 $57 100¢ $59 +$2 10-31 05:09
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +90 $42 46¢ $42 $0 11-01 00:52
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $39 99¢ $40 +$0 11-01 02:39
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 $0 11-01 02:39
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-31 05:59
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 05:59
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +21 $21 99¢ $21 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-31 02:14
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-31 02:24
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +19 $18 96¢ $18 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +18 $18 96¢ $17 $0 10-31 17:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 10-30 22:11
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 02:24
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 02:24
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 07:37