Realized P&L
+$75
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
453
Trades
1,298
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$5.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-07 05:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
63% 83% +$57
Politics
29% 91% +$0
Sports
7% 0% -$3
Tech
1% 100% +$17
Crypto
0% 40% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +965 $870 89¢ $857 -$13 11-06 15:42
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +751 $581 99¢ $747 +$166 11-06 11:00
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +2,051 $800 28¢ $574 -$226 11-07 07:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +503 $496 99¢ $496 +$0 11-04 21:00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +331 $311 97¢ $323 +$12 11-03 01:11
Will the Chicago Bulls finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27? No +309 $292 84¢ $261 -$31 11-03 04:24
Will LeBron James be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +187 $187 100¢ $187 $0 11-06 01:13
Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +187 $183 94¢ $176 -$6 11-06 01:13
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? No +168 $37 99¢ $167 +$130 11-03 08:44
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +187 $146 80¢ $149 +$3 11-06 01:13
Will the next Israeli government hold between 70 and 72 seats? No +153 $150 88¢ $135 -$16 10-30 11:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +240 $170 56¢ $134 -$36 11-06 07:35
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? No +117 $116 100¢ $117 +$0 11-01 16:52
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +102 $85 98¢ $100 +$15 11-01 16:52
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-05 17:08
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $0 11-05 17:08
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m? No +95 $95 100¢ $95 $0 11-07 05:55
Will Thailand win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +98 $90 92¢ $91 +$0 11-06 17:43
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No +90 $88 100¢ $90 +$2 11-04 07:51
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +87 $84 97¢ $84 $0 11-04 00:00
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-11-06? No +82 $75 99¢ $82 +$6 11-03 13:50
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +87 $75 83¢ $72 -$3 11-04 00:00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 30%-35%? No +73 $71 97¢ $71 $0 11-05 02:25
Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026? No +90 $66 73¢ $65 $0 11-05 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 6? No +65 $34 100¢ $65 +$31 11-06 03:53
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? No +84 $69 76¢ $64 -$5 11-01 07:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more? No +60 $56 99¢ $60 +$3 11-03 19:03
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? No +70 $61 84¢ $59 -$1 11-07 04:28
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14? No +59 $37 97¢ $57 +$20 11-06 14:01
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +190 $72 29¢ $55 -$17 11-05 07:05