Realized P&L
-$198
Unrealized P&L
+$94
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved
152
Trades
766
lifetime
Volume
$8.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-02 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
72% 83% -$186
Politics
23% 33% -$19
Tech
2% 100% +$9
Sports
2% 0% -$3
Crypto
1% 29% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +150 $55 95¢ $143 +$87 10-29 08:27
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +116 $114 100¢ $116 +$1 10-31 23:12
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +102 $85 98¢ $100 +$15 11-01 16:52
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +101 $84 86¢ $87 +$4 10-29 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +52 $52 100¢ $52 +$0 10-30 20:28
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 11-01 22:04
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 $0 11-01 22:04
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +46 $43 90¢ $41 -$1 10-31 23:09
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +51 $47 80¢ $41 -$7 10-31 23:09
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $39 99¢ $39 $0 11-01 02:39
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $39 99¢ $39 +$0 11-01 02:39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +90 $42 42¢ $37 -$5 11-01 00:52
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 10-31 05:59
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 $0 10-31 05:59
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 +$0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +21 $21 98¢ $21 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-31 02:14
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 $0 10-31 02:24
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +19 $18 96¢ $18 +$0 11-01 00:31
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 10-31 17:37