Short-Term-Aspic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

3,238

Trades

5,278

lifetime

Volume

$7.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.34K

Open exposure

$2.51K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-29 16:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Other

96% 85% -$73,756

Sports

2% 45% +$1,597

Crypto

1% 70% -$4,973

Politics

1% 75% +$421

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	—	+2,600	$2,505	96¢	$2.5K	+$4	10-29 20:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal ray esp 2026 04 23 ray	16	$261.5K	137,253	136,878	+375	Yes	+$12,350	04-23 20:38
fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 draw	6	$133.6K	68,071	68,000	+71	Yes	+$2,301	04-24 20:46
dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	5	$125.5K	66,131	65,937	+194	Yes	+$6,409	04-22 20:42
lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	13	$112.2K	127,333	0	+127,333	No	-$112,203	04-24 20:52
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 psg	2	$109.2K	59,524	59,238	+286	Yes	+$9,465	04-22 19:10
cde str ogc 2026 04 22 ogc	14	$94.7K	47,762	47,739	+23	Yes	+$714	04-22 21:09
fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 lyo	9	$86.4K	91,633	0	+91,633	Yes	+$5,235	04-19 20:33
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	4	$71.4K	74,912	0	+74,912	Yes	+$3,512	04-22 20:51
epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	2	$62.0K	32,094	32,031	+63	Yes	+$2,062	04-21 20:56
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	2	$61.1K	64,301	0	+64,301	Yes	+$3,249	04-19 16:18
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	4	$61.0K	31,027	30,997	+31	Yes	+$996	04-24 20:25
lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	5	$59.6K	30,724	30,673	+51	Yes	+$1,583	04-21 20:05
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	5	$47.7K	50,029	0	+50,029	Yes	+$2,339	04-22 21:46
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	4	$44.0K	111,583	0	+111,583	Yes	+$67,563	04-13 18:40
sea nap cre 2026 04 24 nap	2	$42.3K	22,368	22,296	+71	Yes	+$2,345	04-24 20:41
lal mal val 2026 04 21 draw	2	$40.9K	20,955	20,926	+29	Yes	+$934	04-21 20:06
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	1	$40.0K	45,455	0	+45,455	Yes	+$5,455	06-25 22:48
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	1	$40.0K	41,667	0	+41,667	No	+$1,667	06-27 20:47
cde rcl tou 2026 04 21 rcl	1	$40.0K	41,094	0	+41,094	Yes	+$1,094	04-21 19:29
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$35.2K	21,024	21,024	+0	Argentina	-$4,789	07-04 00:18
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	2	$35.0K	21,739	21,739	+0	No	-$5,000	06-29 21:43
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$34.5K	49,338	49,338	+0	Yes	+$21,709	05-26 10:25
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?	9	$32.8K	18,528	18,528	+0	Yes	-$3,036	05-07 19:25
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 bet	5	$32.0K	39,490	0	+39,490	Yes	+$7,492	04-21 21:10
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	4	$31.6K	17,673	17,673	+0	Yes	-$2,449	07-18 23:20
fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 sbr	1	$30.0K	32,281	0	+32,281	No	-$30,000	04-24 19:57
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	3	$29.2K	19,589	10,186	+9,403	No	+$579	06-15 19:03
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$28.4K	24,000	24,000	+0	Argentina	-$7,558	07-15 20:51
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	3	$27.6K	18,424	9,580	+8,843	No	+$414	06-14 19:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	8	$27.2K	19,549	8,445	+11,104	No	+$312	05-26 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:38:00	AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	1,043	96¢	$1,000	0x7869ac…
10-29 20:37:01	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	2,595	96¢	$2,500	0xad2c9c…
10-29 20:36:15	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5c8f8a…
10-29 16:15:34	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	2,577	97¢	$2,500	0x34b2f3…
10-28 21:51:53	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,075	93¢	$1,000	0x854553…
10-28 21:46:40	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0xe5b679…
10-28 21:26:26	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0xacef0f…
10-28 21:16:53	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	1,053	100¢	$1,049	0xde42f7…
10-28 21:15:58	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0x9d88b3…
10-28 21:11:59	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,157	86¢	$1,000	0x4ecc5f…
10-28 21:08:46	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x82394d…
10-28 21:07:07	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5,047	99¢	$5,000	0x6563e0…
10-28 20:26:11	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	5,136	100¢	$5,131	0x1cd981…
10-28 20:25:32	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5,155	97¢	$5,000	0x7222af…
10-28 19:13:08	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	1,135	97¢	$1,100	0xb9e625…
10-28 19:12:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5,020	100¢	$5,000	0x38bac6…
10-28 19:09:56	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0x039ab2…
10-28 18:54:43	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	2,660	39¢	$1,027	0x07574f…
10-28 18:52:41	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5,136	97¢	$5,000	0x54dfb4…
10-28 18:05:55	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2,660	94¢	$2,500	0x4e7b9f…
10-27 21:56:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	288	96¢	$275	0xa3ba4b…
10-27 21:55:11	Will CE Europa win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	2,519	100¢	$2,516	0x78252e…
10-27 21:44:06	Sporting de Alcázar CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	145	1¢	$1	0x8f1dc8…
10-27 21:43:20	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x68b525…
10-27 21:39:59	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,567	96¢	$1,500	0x49e6e5…
10-27 21:36:59	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0x4bf118…
10-27 21:28:35	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	2,554	100¢	$2,552	0x0b6928…
10-27 21:27:38	Sporting de Alcázar CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x1e6592…
10-27 21:24:38	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	588	28¢	$165	0x1085b5…
10-27 21:21:32	Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,223	98¢	$1,200	0xa4c819…
10-27 21:19:36	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	558	42¢	$231	0x9a8047…
10-27 21:18:51	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	2,573	38¢	$971	0xf3d3f8…
10-27 21:08:39	Will CD Extremadura win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	1,556	96¢	$1,500	0xe9e87e…
10-27 21:05:14	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	588	85¢	$500	0xdc4448…
10-27 21:03:41	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0xf944f7…
10-27 21:02:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,604	96¢	$2,500	0x2a5bd4…
10-27 21:01:36	Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	299	3¢	$9	0x8c1957…
10-27 21:01:27	Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	399	4¢	$17	0xfb9e23…
10-27 21:01:20	Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	532	3¢	$16	0xc72cbc…
10-27 20:59:18	Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	156	14¢	$21	0x76702b…
10-27 20:52:47	Will CD Extremadura win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	2,544	98¢	$2,500	0x908805…
10-27 20:33:38	Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,760	98¢	$1,733	0x998fce…
10-27 20:15:20	Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	525	95¢	$500	0x4aba88…
10-27 20:09:45	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xa6a8de…
10-27 19:59:36	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,554	98¢	$2,500	0x70adc1…
10-27 19:37:23	Will CE Europa win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,519	99¢	$2,500	0x8b52fe…
10-27 19:35:42	Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xb604fb…
10-27 18:59:50	CD Cuarte vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x3f6620…
10-27 18:17:06	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,579	97¢	$2,500	0xf9adc1…
10-27 14:10:02	Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x9d8f9e…
10-27 11:44:09	Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Port FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x91f6a2…
10-27 11:32:18	Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,537	99¢	$2,500	0x01af5d…
10-27 11:15:12	Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Port FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	1,017	98¢	$1,000	0xdaef6d…
10-26 21:37:14	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	2,531	99¢	$2,500	0xb8597a…
10-26 21:13:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5,015	100¢	$5,000	0x7fd6d6…
10-26 21:12:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0x2e11df…
10-26 20:31:17	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0x3a462b…
10-26 20:00:51	Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	2,542	98¢	$2,500	0x076644…
10-26 20:00:23	Will Al Sadd SC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	546	92¢	$500	0x3bb5a0…
10-26 16:25:50	Will Al Gharafa SC win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	2,562	98¢	$2,500	0x45fc92…
10-26 16:24:42	Will Tractor Tabriz win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	2,577	97¢	$2,500	0x3caae3…
10-25 21:08:53	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0xb7e9d4…
10-25 18:26:44	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	3,049	100¢	$3,046	0xfdcbfd…
10-25 18:11:41	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,065	94¢	$1,000	0xdf946c…
10-25 17:49:08	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	1,650	100¢	$1,648	0x09f1ec…
10-25 17:44:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5,177	97¢	$5,000	0x96a3da…
10-25 17:40:20	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	7,715	100¢	$7,707	0x243500…
10-25 17:23:42	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	3,049	98¢	$3,000	0x8c06c0…
10-25 16:49:30	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,111	95¢	$2,000	0x5580d8…
10-25 16:25:47	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	2,523	100¢	$2,521	0xb04c4a…
10-25 16:24:39	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2,105	95¢	$2,000	0x1a3c50…
10-25 16:23:50	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	142	96¢	$136	0x75e51e…
10-25 16:19:35	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2,523	99¢	$2,500	0x6389ab…
10-25 16:05:56	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	6,061	100¢	$6,055	0x4b2342…
10-25 16:04:59	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5,090	98¢	$5,000	0xab6259…
10-25 16:04:17	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	5,074	100¢	$5,069	0x89e97a…
10-25 16:02:09	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x071ee9…
10-25 16:01:44	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1,529	98¢	$1,499	0x5aee52…
10-25 16:01:20	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,094	91¢	$1,000	0xc34ec4…
10-25 15:59:36	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	540	93¢	$500	0x13f835…
10-25 15:53:45	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	444	90¢	$400	0xcf6bff…
10-25 15:53:14	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	5,142	100¢	$5,137	0x95ec4c…
10-25 15:48:14	Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc0da96…
10-25 15:30:38	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6,061	99¢	$6,000	0x58175d…
10-25 15:19:02	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2,546	98¢	$2,500	0x898f3c…
10-25 15:18:00	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5,074	99¢	$5,000	0x83f9eb…
10-25 14:44:18	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2,596	96¢	$2,500	0xbec733…
10-25 14:15:53	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2,586	97¢	$2,500	0x67bf61…
10-25 13:31:30	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5,027	99¢	$5,000	0x5a8361…
10-25 12:55:48	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	575	57¢	$328	0x24548b…
10-25 11:40:41	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0x2bd197…
10-24 21:15:41	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,054	95¢	$1,000	0xfb19db…
10-24 20:56:44	Will FC Alverca win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	2,064	100¢	$2,062	0x2385ff…
10-24 20:27:11	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	5,033	99¢	$5,000	0x7de67c…
10-24 20:03:23	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2,577	97¢	$2,500	0xa9d4cb…
10-24 19:45:41	Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	1,659	99¢	$1,638	0xfe11bd…
10-24 18:29:05	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2,062	97¢	$2,000	0xae693a…
10-24 18:22:59	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	5,051	100¢	$5,046	0x9bab65…
10-24 18:22:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	543	100¢	$543	0x81a1a0…
10-24 18:14:17	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0xcbff35…