Extraneous-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

26.1%

Resolved

Trades

5,586

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-02 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 29% $-38

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes		-134	$-6	4¢	$-6	+$0	06-23 09:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$618	3,280	0	+3,280	open	—	03-06 13:27
btc updown 15m 1770739200	9	$368	895	456	+439	open	—	02-10 16:14
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	2	$254	261	261	+0	open	—	01-31 14:46
btc updown 5m 1772202600	14	$243	159	157	+2	open	—	02-27 14:34
btc updown 5m 1772260800	3	$223	680	0	+680	open	—	02-28 06:40
btc updown 15m 1770444000	9	$209	329	212	+116	open	—	02-07 06:12
btc updown 5m 1772030400	29	$205	308	0	+308	open	—	02-25 14:44
btc updown 5m 1771863300	27	$201	324	0	+324	open	—	02-23 16:17
btc updown 5m 1771869900	27	$198	335	0	+335	open	—	02-23 18:06
btc updown 15m 1770373800	5	$196	291	211	+80	open	—	02-06 10:44
btc updown 5m 1771869600	27	$196	325	0	+325	open	—	02-23 18:03
btc updown 5m 1771863000	23	$176	301	0	+301	open	—	02-23 16:11
btc updown 15m 1770372900	7	$167	445	294	+152	open	—	02-06 10:29
btc updown 15m 1770375600	7	$165	230	223	+7	open	—	02-06 11:15
btc updown 15m 1770657300	9	$158	268	206	+62	open	—	02-09 17:28
btc updown 15m 1770362100	10	$155	308	265	+43	open	—	02-06 07:29
btc updown 5m 1771864200	20	$153	246	0	+246	open	—	02-23 16:34
btc updown 5m 1772029800	23	$153	239	0	+239	open	—	02-25 14:35
btc updown 15m 1770183900	2	$151	133	133	+1	open	—	02-04 06:00
btc updown 15m 1770656400	7	$147	410	121	+289	open	—	02-09 17:14
btc updown 15m 1770530400	6	$146	298	122	+176	open	—	02-08 06:14
btc updown 15m 1770145200	2	$143	1,118	0	+1,118	open	—	02-03 19:09
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	6	$139	157	157	+0	open	—	01-25 16:59
btc updown 15m 1770473700	5	$136	149	148	+1	open	—	02-07 14:29
btc updown 5m 1771863600	17	$132	214	0	+214	open	—	02-23 16:21
btc updown 15m 1770449400	6	$127	276	111	+165	open	—	02-07 07:41
btc updown 15m 1770469200	6	$124	145	144	+2	open	—	02-07 13:15
btc updown 5m 1772118900	8	$123	77	76	+1	open	—	02-26 15:17
btc updown 5m 1771864800	15	$118	218	0	+218	open	—	02-23 16:44
btc updown 15m 1770533100	8	$117	166	151	+15	open	—	02-08 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:45:14	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb3c29a…
07-02 17:45:08	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x51d68d…
07-02 04:19:28	btc updown 5m 1782965700	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x02c549…
07-02 04:19:11	btc updown 5m 1782965700	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3ce996…
06-23 09:28:34	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	4¢	$6	0xb5610a…
05-09 14:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x0eb98c…
05-08 13:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	164	15¢	$25	0x71f176…
05-08 12:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x6ddcc7…
05-08 12:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xa451b1…
05-08 12:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x3d4310…
05-08 12:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xaa639f…
05-08 12:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x64bd62…
03-09 07:39:27	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	47	35¢	$17	0x4b1d8a…
03-09 07:38:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	62	15¢	$9	0xc6e040…
03-09 07:38:53	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	112	7¢	$7	0x80f9e0…
03-08 18:01:03	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x5a1c63…
03-08 17:58:17	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	139	3¢	$4	0x8de752…
03-08 09:10:41	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xda42e0…
03-08 09:10:35	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4fa5d7…
03-08 09:09:47	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x019e9c…
03-08 09:03:31	will mrbeasts next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x4424ea…
03-08 08:59:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xc7d188…
03-08 08:59:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xc44564…
03-08 08:58:29	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0x75ebab…
03-08 08:55:09	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x5f6676…
03-08 08:51:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x282156…
03-08 08:51:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x67bc68…
03-08 08:50:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x9996ce…
03-08 08:50:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x7b543c…
03-06 13:27:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,061	10¢	$104	0x996c3e…
03-02 13:56:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	486	22¢	$105	0x3adc7b…
03-01 18:38:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	526	20¢	$105	0x551c60…
03-01 17:03:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	497	21¢	$105	0xc41f25…
03-01 15:08:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	408	26¢	$105	0xbbb795…
03-01 07:34:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	154	31¢	$47	0x30419a…
03-01 07:34:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$47	0x2d9eb4…
03-01 07:33:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	148	31¢	$46	0xabfde7…
02-28 06:40:35	btc updown 5m 1772260800	Down	BUY	663	32¢	$212	0xde1290…
02-28 06:40:15	btc updown 5m 1772260800	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x12bfb2…
02-28 06:40:11	btc updown 5m 1772260800	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xeb73bd…
02-28 06:35:31	btc updown 5m 1772260500	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaea90f…
02-28 06:35:21	btc updown 5m 1772260500	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0x60d140…
02-28 06:35:15	btc updown 5m 1772260500	Up	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x29c6e6…
02-28 06:35:13	btc updown 5m 1772260500	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x29826c…
02-28 06:33:27	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	57	61¢	$35	0xfe0022…
02-28 06:31:45	btc updown 5m 1772260200	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc63f67…
02-28 06:31:37	btc updown 5m 1772260200	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x423869…
02-28 06:31:35	btc updown 5m 1772260200	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc74630…
02-28 06:31:33	btc updown 5m 1772260200	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xd5a9ca…
02-28 06:31:31	btc updown 5m 1772260200	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe6c2e2…
02-28 05:48:23	btc updown 5m 1772257500	Down	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0xd2b552…
02-28 05:47:21	btc updown 5m 1772257500	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x33abe4…
02-28 05:46:49	btc updown 5m 1772257500	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9e8264…
02-28 05:46:45	btc updown 5m 1772257500	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc50ee1…
02-28 05:46:45	btc updown 5m 1772257500	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x89bf70…
02-28 05:46:43	btc updown 5m 1772257500	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x306e63…
02-28 05:41:19	btc updown 5m 1772257200	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xffeda6…
02-28 05:41:19	btc updown 5m 1772257200	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd38245…
02-28 05:41:17	btc updown 5m 1772257200	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x4d8910…
02-28 05:36:05	btc updown 5m 1772256900	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x77e7eb…
02-28 05:36:05	btc updown 5m 1772256900	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x6d315b…
02-28 05:35:47	btc updown 5m 1772256900	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x0e09b0…
02-28 05:30:59	btc updown 5m 1772256600	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xfc0c62…
02-28 05:30:25	btc updown 5m 1772256600	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xdd468d…
02-28 05:30:19	btc updown 5m 1772256600	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xec1d19…
02-28 05:30:19	btc updown 5m 1772256600	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x603978…
02-28 05:30:17	btc updown 5m 1772256600	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x61969f…
02-28 05:26:29	btc updown 5m 1772256300	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdcb05e…
02-28 05:26:29	btc updown 5m 1772256300	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x0482bc…
02-28 05:26:27	btc updown 5m 1772256300	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x00746e…
02-28 05:21:31	btc updown 5m 1772256000	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb2bf36…
02-28 05:21:13	btc updown 5m 1772256000	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8d38d8…
02-28 05:21:11	btc updown 5m 1772256000	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x91a82b…
02-28 05:21:09	btc updown 5m 1772256000	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xbb9d0a…
02-28 05:21:07	btc updown 5m 1772256000	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x6cddb3…
02-28 05:19:03	btc updown 5m 1772255700	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd723e3…
02-28 05:17:11	btc updown 5m 1772255700	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x20dfc9…
02-28 05:16:21	btc updown 5m 1772255700	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1ba410…
02-28 05:16:19	btc updown 5m 1772255700	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0xf31961…
02-28 05:16:11	btc updown 5m 1772255700	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x2031b2…
02-28 05:12:59	btc updown 5m 1772255400	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x77cfa1…
02-28 05:12:51	btc updown 5m 1772255400	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xdb44a0…
02-28 05:12:51	btc updown 5m 1772255400	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x241eab…
02-28 05:12:47	btc updown 5m 1772255400	Up	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x212aad…
02-28 05:12:45	btc updown 5m 1772255400	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x1828ae…
02-28 05:07:43	btc updown 5m 1772255100	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x48b036…
02-28 05:06:53	btc updown 5m 1772255100	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x5078e6…
02-28 05:06:43	btc updown 5m 1772255100	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xddf5d9…
02-28 05:06:43	btc updown 5m 1772255100	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcdf0dc…
02-28 05:06:41	btc updown 5m 1772255100	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf890ff…
02-28 05:03:13	btc updown 5m 1772254800	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x31039a…
02-28 05:02:33	btc updown 5m 1772254800	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7312de…
02-28 05:02:23	btc updown 5m 1772254800	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xea68c0…
02-28 05:02:23	btc updown 5m 1772254800	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd815f3…
02-28 05:02:23	btc updown 5m 1772254800	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x701de0…
02-28 04:58:53	btc updown 5m 1772254500	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7f4e28…
02-28 04:57:41	btc updown 5m 1772254500	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcc5d97…
02-28 04:57:41	btc updown 5m 1772254500	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x06d700…
02-28 04:57:33	btc updown 5m 1772254500	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x471dee…
02-28 04:52:11	btc updown 5m 1772254200	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x678f28…