Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$520.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.19K

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-29 07:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

59% 78% +$5,943

Politics

39% 64% -$20,365

Sports

1% 0% -$307

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+20	$16	99¢	$20	+$4	10-14 05:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes		+5	$2	44¢	$2	+$0	06-17 09:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	14	$83.6K	53,752	40,900	+12,852	No	+$625	06-24 08:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	22	$68.9K	38,872	38,872	+0	open	—	10-28 04:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	51	$62.6K	34,689	34,689	+0	No	+$2,292	09-17 02:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	73	$42.7K	25,086	20,167	+4,920	No	+$1,937	07-03 02:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$34.1K	19,079	19,079	+0	No	-$579	06-26 11:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	8	$31.0K	15,916	15,916	+0	No	+$371	06-15 03:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$28.3K	30,000	30,000	+0	Yes	-$20,345	10-25 23:14
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$22.7K	21,953	3,718	+18,236	Yes	+$2,872	06-23 04:36
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	7	$22.2K	29,302	0	+29,302	Yes	+$7,094	06-18 11:21
starmer out by june 15 2026	14	$22.0K	11,201	11,201	+0	No	+$193	06-08 06:36
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	46	$15.6K	16,553	16,553	+0	No	-$11,377	10-25 23:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$11.9K	6,370	6,370	+0	Yes	-$166	10-27 11:13
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	56	$10.9K	11,689	0	+11,689	Yes	+$799	10-28 08:37
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	2	$8.6K	4,400	4,400	+0	No	+$35	06-14 10:18
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$7.4K	226,793	226,793	+0	No	-$307	06-21 00:23
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$4.6K	15,199	15,199	+0	open	—	07-09 12:31
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	5	$4.6K	5,287	0	+5,287	No	+$271	06-30 02:05
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	8	$4.5K	2,475	2,475	+0	No	+$253	08-18 12:53
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	4	$3.7K	2,180	2,180	+0	Yes	-$271	07-17 00:03
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	3	$3.3K	1,687	1,687	+0	No	+$57	06-11 12:25
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	1	$3.0K	3,015	0	+3,015	Yes	+$51	06-03 07:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	2	$2.8K	1,410	1,410	+0	No	+$14	07-10 09:32
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	3	$2.6K	1,629	1,629	+0	Yes	-$165	07-13 17:51
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	2	$2.4K	2,446	0	+2,446	Yes	+$75	10-11 23:34
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	6	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	-0	No	+$85	07-26 07:37
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	1	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$160	10-11 23:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$1.6K	1,198	1,198	+0	No	-$53	07-07 20:10
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	4	$1.5K	1,908	0	+1,908	Yes	+$412	06-24 01:46
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$1.4K	1,443	1,443	+0	Yes	-$155	10-28 08:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$1.4K	2,960	2,960	-0	open	—	07-23 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:13:46	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x01715a…
10-29 07:12:32	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	139	48¢	$67	0xc8fa43…
10-29 00:55:22	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	139	53¢	$73	0xf7efc1…
10-29 00:49:37	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	139	46¢	$64	0xf65496…
10-28 08:37:52	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0xc2c674…
10-28 08:33:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf423c0…
10-28 08:33:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xaebbed…
10-28 08:33:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x56b278…
10-28 08:33:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x3e5214…
10-28 08:31:13	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xd64784…
10-28 08:21:56	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0x1ce801…
10-28 08:21:11	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	323	71¢	$230	0x11a9b6…
10-28 08:20:53	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0x875bc6…
10-28 06:07:04	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x6690b1…
10-28 06:06:32	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	180	64¢	$115	0x90bce3…
10-28 06:05:52	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	275	65¢	$179	0xcf6525…
10-28 06:05:22	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	346	33¢	$114	0x5fbf9b…
10-28 06:04:59	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	623	31¢	$192	0xfdbb0c…
10-28 04:20:38	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x8e82a1…
10-28 04:08:44	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	139	67¢	$93	0xbd66db…
10-28 04:08:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x687207…
10-28 03:56:43	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	143	54¢	$78	0x12d108…
10-28 03:46:24	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	826	50¢	$415	0x9e0452…
10-28 03:26:58	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x445430…
10-28 03:13:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	539	92¢	$496	0x660cba…
10-28 03:02:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x29d674…
10-28 02:55:21	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0x85232b…
10-28 02:54:48	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	114	92¢	$105	0x61f1fb…
10-28 02:54:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,478	99¢	$1,464	0x70e57d…
10-28 02:53:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x4803cc…
10-28 02:50:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x2dda3b…
10-28 02:48:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xbd5b70…
10-28 02:48:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x3e6c66…
10-28 02:48:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xf0551d…
10-28 02:48:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0xbcd435…
10-28 02:48:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	550	92¢	$506	0xa9b8a6…
10-28 02:48:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x850d7d…
10-28 02:48:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x342958…
10-28 02:48:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x315458…
10-28 02:48:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	406	92¢	$373	0xe2d7ea…
10-28 02:48:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0xb977af…
10-28 02:48:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	39	92¢	$35	0x2fe119…
10-28 02:48:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2c3179…
10-28 02:48:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	95	92¢	$87	0x1b8298…
10-28 02:48:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xf9b8da…
10-28 02:47:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,486	0x08a0ae…
10-28 02:46:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xe2ff00…
10-28 02:46:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xdeca9e…
10-28 02:46:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xbd7ea4…
10-28 02:46:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x904c9a…
10-28 02:46:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xbc07d7…
10-28 02:46:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0xb731cc…
10-28 02:46:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x68ca88…
10-28 02:46:33	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x234cab…
10-28 02:45:41	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x322c35…
10-28 02:44:59	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x8d9efc…
10-28 02:41:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	235	92¢	$216	0x55a098…
10-28 02:39:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xf610fa…
10-28 02:39:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xeeda5a…
10-28 02:39:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xa49481…
10-28 02:39:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	453	92¢	$416	0x301860…
10-28 02:38:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x8669e2…
10-28 02:38:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	58	92¢	$54	0x52a01c…
10-28 02:38:36	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	240	92¢	$221	0x1bffa6…
10-28 02:38:14	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x7742ff…
10-28 02:36:57	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	41	92¢	$37	0x8aa654…
10-28 02:36:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,486	0xcdc475…
10-28 02:32:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	79	92¢	$73	0xc64a8d…
10-28 02:32:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	221	92¢	$203	0x5dfb73…
10-28 02:30:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x7529ae…
10-28 02:30:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	98	92¢	$90	0x60dce2…
10-28 02:30:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x355dd7…
10-28 02:30:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	295	93¢	$274	0x7d6c62…
10-28 02:28:59	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x5afd3a…
10-28 02:28:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	815	99¢	$809	0xaca614…
10-28 02:22:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x526785…
10-28 02:21:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6,200	94¢	$5,828	0xc9d85f…
10-27 11:41:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x12dd89…
10-27 11:13:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,370	92¢	$5,886	0x786bdd…
10-26 05:26:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,370	95¢	$6,052	0x21818a…
10-25 23:14:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xb63c07…
10-25 23:14:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,237	12¢	$508	0x4c11e2…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xe96a3b…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xd89494…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	95	12¢	$11	0xd32f60…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0xd2bb12…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	833	12¢	$100	0xaa6358…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0xa19884…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,583	12¢	$190	0x9f1dab…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x9ae20e…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x8f4000…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x835697…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,587	12¢	$190	0x7447de…
10-25 23:14:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	125	12¢	$15	0x5f660f…
10-25 23:14:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xf0389f…
10-25 23:14:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	199	12¢	$24	0xe6c5c1…
10-25 23:14:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xe1469c…
10-25 23:14:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x7c39b3…
10-25 23:14:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	89	12¢	$11	0x796145…
10-25 23:14:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	546	13¢	$70	0xdee252…