Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$403

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

241

823 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.91K

$7.47K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$39

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

78% 49% -$536

Politics

16% 75% -$287

Sports

6% 67% +$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Game 3: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	+20	$10	96¢	$19	+$9	11-05 19:24
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	+20	$12	96¢	$19	+$8	11-05 19:23
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	+20	$12	2¢	$0	-$12	11-05 19:23
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	+29	$22	1¢	$0	-$21	11-05 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$230	320	0	+320	Yes	-$230	02-27 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	12	$221	261	261	+0	No	+$12	07-17 14:52
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$180	220	10	+210	No	+$44	01-23 18:19
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	8	$168	123	123	+0	Under	+$48	10-25 00:52
lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	3	$167	1,035	0	+1,035	Karmine Corp	-$167	10-16 20:24
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	11	$139	465	465	+0	No	+$16	01-28 22:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	5	$120	92	92	+0	No	+$10	01-26 04:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	8	$117	201	163	+38	No	-$12	07-18 01:44
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	6	$117	191	191	+0	Under	+$47	10-25 18:34
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	7	$116	200	270	-70	No	+$25	01-26 04:43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$112	212	402	-190	No	+$46	07-16 22:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	12	$112	126	112	+14	No	+$1	02-09 06:27
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	7	$112	401	401	+0	Over	-$88	10-25 17:37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	7	$99	133	133	+0	No	+$19	06-30 15:28
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	5	$97	77	77	+0	Under	+$7	10-26 19:28
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$93	50	50	+0	No	+$6	02-12 04:31
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$88	50	50	+0	No	+$10	02-19 23:12
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$80	85	85	+0	No	+$5	01-15 07:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$80	50	50	+0	No	+$1	01-12 17:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$77	170	170	+0	Yes	-$10	02-03 22:04
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	2	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$5	02-13 05:28
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	4	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$7	02-09 16:34
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	4	$72	54	54	+0	Yes	+$2	07-01 22:00
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	4	$72	48	48	+0	Over	-$8	11-04 00:27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	10	$71	86	86	+0	Yes	+$10	06-30 15:51
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	5	$70	62	62	+0	G2 Esports	+$10	10-24 19:25
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	7	$70	58	58	+0	LOS	+$5	10-30 21:32
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	5	$69	40	40	+0	No	+$4	02-10 07:17
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	3	$68	46	46	+0	Gen.G	+$8	10-25 22:43
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	5	$66	74	74	+0	Karmine Corp	+$16	10-15 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 00:16:09	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdedf5f…
11-05 23:00:16	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x04af92…
11-05 22:55:16	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x3869c1…
11-05 22:53:19	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5ab99e…
11-05 22:53:06	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x16b760…
11-05 19:25:38	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0xa3657d…
11-05 19:24:51	Game 3: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd27270…
11-05 19:24:42	Game 2: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x20036e…
11-05 19:24:36	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf687de…
11-05 19:23:36	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x034e05…
11-05 19:23:29	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa96081…
11-05 19:23:20	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd8c68c…
11-04 19:33:40	Game 3: Duration Over/Under 30:30 min?	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9a39ee…
11-04 19:33:30	Game 2: Duration Over/Under 30:30 min?	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x950d8e…
11-04 19:33:22	Game 2: Duration Over/Under 30:30 min?	Over	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xcdfccb…
11-04 19:32:57	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 30:30 min?	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x91e870…
11-04 19:32:34	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xb4e4cb…
11-04 19:32:30	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xc6089e…
11-04 19:32:21	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x6b9ab1…
11-04 19:31:40	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x61ceaf…
11-04 00:38:45	Game 3: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x2ba6e4…
11-04 00:27:40	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	SELL	22	75¢	$17	0xebb01c…
11-04 00:25:27	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0xafd155…
11-04 00:08:51	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xb71bc3…
11-03 22:51:27	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0dd011…
11-03 22:50:00	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc6cacc…
11-03 22:42:18	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x5b5799…
11-03 22:39:52	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbba922…
11-03 22:36:18	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x186c17…
11-03 22:30:40	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x76fdde…
11-03 22:30:30	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2dbcd9…
10-31 23:21:00	Game 2: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf6a1d3…
10-31 22:51:15	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x195f95…
10-31 22:30:34	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Over	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9a3a82…
10-31 22:14:12	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3f2904…
10-31 21:41:36	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5ac916…
10-31 21:40:34	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xec2aaa…
10-31 21:12:52	Game 3: Duration Over/Under 31:30 min?	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x00e817…
10-31 21:11:22	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0xbe9ea3…
10-31 20:46:10	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x983ccf…
10-31 20:40:21	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xbcae39…
10-31 20:08:06	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x1a27a0…
10-31 20:07:27	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1abdd2…
10-31 20:05:01	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdb9737…
10-31 20:02:16	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbed14b…
10-31 19:31:37	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2bcf1f…
10-31 19:30:24	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1d91b7…
10-31 19:19:52	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1cc108…
10-31 19:16:52	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x81fa72…
10-31 19:13:46	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7728e3…
10-31 18:47:19	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa65ca6…
10-31 18:27:33	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6b69bb…
10-31 18:25:40	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa6638d…
10-31 18:22:16	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2a288c…
10-31 18:17:28	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd29a04…
10-31 18:14:31	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa60549…
10-30 21:32:09	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	44	65¢	$29	0x531028…
10-30 21:32:04	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x3b659d…
10-30 20:47:58	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf636c7…
10-30 20:41:07	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x90912e…
10-30 20:33:43	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2ec8f5…
10-30 20:27:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5181a4…
10-30 20:26:54	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x09e01a…
10-29 23:56:37	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	88	35¢	$31	0x0177cb…
10-29 23:56:25	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x69ea3e…
10-29 23:50:52	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9ebaa0…
10-29 23:47:16	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa0e70c…
10-29 23:39:45	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe473c0…
10-29 22:55:52	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x4289c3…
10-29 22:54:16	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x19382e…
10-29 22:48:54	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xfed452…
10-29 22:39:15	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7a7e36…
10-29 22:38:58	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x43b6a9…
10-29 21:14:12	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x8e6b33…
10-29 21:13:51	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a99c4…
10-29 17:33:20	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x9d6246…
10-28 23:13:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x280e04…
10-28 23:10:10	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	26	62¢	$16	0x2bf131…
10-28 23:08:01	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0x06844a…
10-28 22:58:17	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x23eb8e…
10-28 22:53:53	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xfc1fc6…
10-28 21:52:56	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4c9d83…
10-28 21:45:10	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd041bd…
10-28 21:33:55	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0x829ed1…
10-28 21:15:11	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4e6d25…
10-28 20:59:16	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x85a136…
10-28 20:52:55	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcbe63c…
10-28 20:42:52	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0dd367…
10-28 20:33:34	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	28	37¢	$10	0xfa194e…
10-28 20:30:53	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	117	17¢	$20	0x6331f6…
10-28 19:39:43	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf2aa13…
10-28 19:37:53	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa0003a…
10-28 16:38:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xb2a68f…
10-28 15:47:55	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x252092…
10-26 21:58:51	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x69e54f…
10-26 21:58:06	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbbf9c6…
10-26 21:31:11	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc9c243…
10-26 21:24:08	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x7d5777…
10-26 21:23:06	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa424b0…
10-26 21:22:18	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x7b484c…