Satisfied-Butler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

767

Trades

2,013

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-16 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 28% -$5

Other

4% 19% -$24

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+25	$18	98¢	$25	+$7	06-16 16:20
US recession by end of 2026?	No	+8	$7	98¢	$8	+$1	06-12 17:18
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	+8	$7	96¢	$8	+$1	06-12 17:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	40	$80	158	0	+158	Down	-$11	05-30 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	36	$66	159	0	+159	Down	-$15	05-30 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$44	80	40	+40	Down	+$36	05-06 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$44	80	40	+40	Down	+$36	05-06 19:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	7	$42	40	40	+0	Up	+$38	05-07 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$40	40	40	+0	Up	+$36	05-07 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	9	$22	25	18	+7	Down	-$1	05-08 12:06
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$18	05-07 19:09
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	06-16 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$13	15	10	+5	Down	-$1	05-08 14:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	06-15 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:26
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	8	$10	12	10	+2	Down	+$11	05-07 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-08 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	05-08 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Up	-$2	05-08 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$8	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	04-29 14:15
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$7	37	6	+31	Down	+$35	05-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$7	10	5	+5	Up	-$1	05-08 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$7	10	5	+5	Up	-$2	05-08 09:20
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:50 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-15 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 16:20:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x88acc1…
06-16 14:42:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x95c730…
06-15 19:22:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe2f02c…
06-15 19:22:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x6f3795…
06-15 19:22:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x837e04…
06-15 19:21:39	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1478b0…
06-15 19:21:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xd0d381…
06-15 16:10:46	Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9a3389…
06-15 14:33:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x46e6a9…
06-15 14:32:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x4a828a…
06-15 13:52:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x09550b…
06-15 13:51:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x301df0…
06-15 11:26:37	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x87e61a…
06-15 11:26:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x026573…
06-15 00:01:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x31145e…
06-13 06:35:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf31f48…
06-13 06:35:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf648e8…
06-12 21:17:01	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xefba80…
06-12 20:54:01	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x9236c0…
06-12 17:18:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x917f4f…
06-12 17:18:27	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x9808e9…
06-12 17:18:25	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xad8d14…
05-30 20:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9cbc34…
05-30 20:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x48aeba…
05-30 20:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x02c84f…
05-30 20:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa8c379…
05-30 20:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9b1014…
05-30 20:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9e1095…
05-30 20:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x86c928…
05-30 20:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd281de…
05-30 20:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xbcabb4…
05-30 20:28:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0b62e5…
05-30 20:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x36241b…
05-30 20:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x72906b…
05-30 20:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x97f953…
05-30 20:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x241bab…
05-30 20:28:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x61396f…
05-30 20:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xabe82b…
05-30 20:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xfa9901…
05-30 20:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdc56ec…
05-30 20:28:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4cabfa…
05-30 20:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb302cc…
05-30 20:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9f5976…
05-30 20:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x52dc00…
05-30 20:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xfcd601…
05-30 20:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x55c78d…
05-30 20:27:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xee421c…
05-30 20:27:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd0cfc1…
05-30 20:27:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$0	0xbcc346…
05-30 20:27:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x42f73b…
05-30 20:27:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x9404d7…
05-30 20:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xcae96c…
05-30 20:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x21a0ac…
05-30 20:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbc7dfa…
05-30 20:27:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x5d9340…
05-30 20:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfc4b54…
05-30 20:26:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x0e981f…
05-30 20:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3720ac…
05-30 20:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7e0203…
05-30 20:23:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaec1f1…
05-30 20:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x736813…
05-30 20:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1891cb…
05-30 20:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfeb838…
05-30 20:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8c3f17…
05-30 20:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7d798a…
05-30 20:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x51b6bf…
05-30 20:23:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xa6ef0e…
05-30 20:23:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x69ba2f…
05-30 20:23:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0xb92e6d…
05-30 20:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9ea01e…
05-30 20:23:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdbc6f1…
05-30 20:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xac0ec9…
05-30 20:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x131afa…
05-30 20:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x87cec1…
05-30 20:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x4b8056…
05-30 20:22:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xeb39ac…
05-30 20:22:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x31d31f…
05-30 20:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc94591…
05-30 20:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xb71441…
05-30 20:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4cd98c…
05-30 20:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xce0958…
05-30 20:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa4fb96…
05-30 20:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x98cf95…
05-30 20:21:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5bf2aa…
05-30 20:21:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8ddb93…
05-30 20:21:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x8c769c…
05-30 20:21:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x648033…
05-30 20:21:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x21e8cc…
05-30 20:21:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x143793…
05-30 20:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6257c5…
05-30 20:21:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2e98e9…
05-30 20:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xcf380b…
05-30 20:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x46d2a2…
05-30 20:21:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x039d2f…
05-30 20:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8ffe62…
05-30 20:21:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9e74af…
05-30 20:21:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x380563…
05-30 20:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5cc56e…
05-30 20:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8dbbe0…
05-30 20:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbf1e48…