Fast-Believer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

112

161 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$562

$807 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% $-45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down		+32	$25	99¢	$32	+$7	05-05 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	7	$35	39	+39	Down	+$4	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$32	189	+189	open	—	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$30	32	+32	Down	+$2	05-04 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	6	$30	32	+32	Down	+$2	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	6	$30	31	+31	Down	+$1	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$25	48	+48	Up	$-25	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	5	$25	32	+32	open	—	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$25	28	+28	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$25	26	+26	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$25	27	+27	open	—	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$20	84	+84	Up	$-20	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$20	46	+46	Down	$-20	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$20	56	+56	Up	+$36	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$20	201	+201	open	—	05-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$20	26	+26	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$20	21	+21	open	—	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$15	41	+41	Down	$-15	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$15	24	+24	Down	$-15	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$15	23	+23	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$15	16	+16	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Down	+$3	05-05 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1ebd07…
05-05 22:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xba4d31…
05-05 22:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x183852…
05-05 22:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x96660c…
05-05 22:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc8111a…
05-05 21:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x7ae103…
05-05 21:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2fe277…
05-05 21:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xd2be71…
05-05 21:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x870fbd…
05-05 20:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaa96ec…
05-05 20:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3c3f77…
05-05 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x025bb2…
05-05 20:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbc9c37…
05-05 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdf825b…
05-05 19:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfa58bb…
05-05 19:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x62486d…
05-05 19:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1e45b9…
05-05 19:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7d1049…
05-05 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4560d4…
05-05 18:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc911ff…
05-05 18:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5553f…
05-05 17:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x560bed…
05-05 17:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2430c6…
05-05 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6f3013…
05-05 17:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9568df…
05-05 17:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x296e43…
05-05 17:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x15f743…
05-05 17:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0b830d…
05-05 17:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf0aa3a…
05-05 17:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x759817…
05-05 17:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4ee17b…
05-05 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5af13b…
05-05 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5df900…
05-05 17:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x391724…
05-05 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xab6a2f…
05-05 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeecf93…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x622064…
05-05 16:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7ab5a2…
05-05 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7e8ec6…
05-05 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf071cf…
05-05 15:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x195f5b…
05-05 15:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4be7c7…
05-05 15:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xec6e11…
05-05 15:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x13b90f…
05-05 15:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcd5105…
05-05 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb9f8b7…
05-05 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x26214b…
05-05 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe71ba2…
05-05 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xefe254…
05-05 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd6027c…
05-05 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x81b93b…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xefd380…
05-05 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e8933…
05-05 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1b6b88…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x36c40b…
05-05 15:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb65f8a…
05-05 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xeec5ac…
05-05 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x83f0dc…
05-05 15:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf7a205…
05-05 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x863549…
05-05 15:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x88037f…
05-05 15:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x58aa39…
05-05 15:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x25a226…
05-05 15:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e6eae…
05-05 15:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x8f33b8…
05-05 15:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0xbb4d28…
05-05 14:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1306df…
05-05 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x504064…
05-05 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc7de90…
05-05 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc00e99…
05-05 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdad51d…
05-05 06:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9026d2…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x005057…
05-05 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x957030…
05-05 05:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e576d…
05-05 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x112105…
05-05 04:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x99b6fc…
05-05 04:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf77ef…
05-05 04:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6499b0…
05-05 04:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x772e6e…
05-05 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc045aa…
05-05 04:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x63a87e…
05-05 04:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe522f0…
05-05 04:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x78b7fa…
05-05 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3d4ff4…
05-05 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7b2de7…
05-05 04:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b8ccf…
05-05 04:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3e2367…
05-05 04:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x593134…
05-05 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc53182…
05-05 03:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbec819…
05-05 03:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x034e1b…
05-05 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf8e386…
05-05 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x13fa23…
05-05 03:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x919cd8…
05-05 03:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97cbdf…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x628ded…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x903523…
05-05 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x26fa92…
05-05 02:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x29e85c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	58	$7.13K	281	05-05 22:20
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	49	$3.10K	260	05-05 22:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	48	$4.14K	348	05-05 22:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	45	$8.25K	201	05-05 22:15
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	42	$2.30K	146	05-05 22:15
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	41	$2.19K	148	05-05 22:15
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	40	$6.72K	104	05-05 22:15
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	39	$667	153	05-05 22:20