Short-Term-Partnership-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

7,756

Trades

9,495

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$285

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-25 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% -$119

Other

0% 50% -$3

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 382 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	+175	$172	100¢	$175	+$3	10-10 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	+100	$98	100¢	$100	+$1	10-10 09:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-12 16:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-12 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	3	$172	175	0	+175	open	—	10-10 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	10-10 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$75	76	0	+76	Down	+$1	05-28 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$75	79	0	+79	Up	+$4	05-28 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$75	77	0	+77	Down	-$49	05-28 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$74	78	0	+78	Down	+$3	05-28 13:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	10-25 02:35
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9pm et	8	$63	49	49	+0	Down	+$6	06-05 01:39
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	05-25 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	05-25 05:29
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 05:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	05-25 01:24
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	05-25 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 01:54
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-27 01:04
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-27 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 05:49
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 08:04
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	05-25 02:54
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	05-25 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	05-25 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 02:35:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2ca56d…
10-24 06:18:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0469b8…
10-24 04:35:41	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0b8fcb…
10-23 12:09:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9c860d…
10-23 08:22:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2738be…
10-23 08:07:09	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd73885…
10-23 08:04:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbfdc81…
10-23 07:55:17	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd49a9f…
10-23 04:29:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe7f566…
10-22 13:43:59	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6662f1…
10-22 11:10:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x986954…
10-22 11:08:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4b855f…
10-22 10:23:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x05f802…
10-22 09:58:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1c25e2…
10-22 08:26:20	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf0bea3…
10-22 08:24:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x84e1f4…
10-22 08:15:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdec18e…
10-22 06:56:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1e654d…
10-22 06:53:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x15a1e8…
10-22 06:52:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x63d67a…
10-22 06:46:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x980b37…
10-22 06:45:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x972de7…
10-22 05:02:38	will ethereum dip to 2400 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x989614…
10-22 04:12:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x428571…
10-21 15:13:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x31eddd…
10-21 14:27:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2029b5…
10-21 07:29:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4d7962…
10-21 07:02:48	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf760f4…
10-21 05:06:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 21?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6b03b8…
10-21 04:15:23	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 21 2026	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x470403…
10-20 14:31:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 20?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8aa8ef…
10-20 09:36:39	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xca61d4…
10-18 22:03:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x176aff…
10-17 15:10:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc722ea…
10-16 09:00:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc474ed…
10-15 08:14:28	will bnb dip to 600 in october 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3d1d7c…
10-15 08:09:35	will bnb dip to 600 in october 2026	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0xa4b454…
10-12 23:06:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe7690b…
10-12 18:48:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5bcf8…
10-12 16:57:38	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xeba5f9…
10-12 16:21:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa3da8d…
10-12 14:23:15	LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f2543…
10-10 19:38:48	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xa7adff…
10-10 09:15:37	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x26a7d6…
10-10 04:43:00	Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15261e…
10-10 04:42:30	Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1f53c6…
10-10 04:34:54	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x6d4321…
10-10 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x77d3e3…
10-10 03:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd0efa7…
10-10 02:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3d282a…
10-10 02:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb6e425…
10-10 02:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8cc395…
10-10 02:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x058aed…
10-10 02:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd02459…
10-10 02:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcd4928…
10-10 02:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x1df2cf…
10-10 02:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x427cf4…
10-10 02:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9693cb…
10-10 02:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x474b6b…
10-10 01:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4b9d0c…
10-10 01:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7fff77…
10-10 01:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb14cfe…
10-10 01:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x07b4cb…
10-10 01:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb01dbd…
10-10 01:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaf9274…
10-10 01:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2bec5a…
10-10 01:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xefa1d5…
10-10 01:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd31559…
10-10 00:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6c80cc…
10-10 00:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x644acd…
10-10 00:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3d797a…
10-10 00:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x17eb9b…
10-10 00:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x921534…
10-10 00:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdeb804…
10-10 00:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4d9b4d…
10-10 00:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaa0918…
10-10 00:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x37acf2…
10-09 23:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xee0bfe…
10-09 23:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcc06da…
10-09 23:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb6af32…
10-09 23:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x631269…
10-09 23:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x065034…
10-09 23:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x5fee3c…
10-09 23:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3cf774…
10-09 23:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3b54ad…
10-09 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0ee064…
10-09 23:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc4ec79…
10-09 23:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1d4bc7…
10-09 23:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc4dc0c…
10-09 22:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdecfa2…
10-09 22:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe6fa23…
10-09 22:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe9d81a…
10-09 22:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4b5bbe…
10-09 22:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xafda28…
10-09 22:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb6bb31…
10-09 22:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x42c9ca…
10-09 22:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9f0ddf…
10-09 22:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x96662d…
10-09 22:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa7dffc…
10-09 22:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa6587d…