Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6
lifetime
Volume
$20
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$22
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 06:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69%
Other
31%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 05-07 14:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? No +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 05-07 11:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +4 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 05-06 09:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +12 $3 28¢ $3 +$0 05-06 09:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 05-08 06:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 05-08 06:30