Flat-Gripper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.80K

Hit rate

17.0%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$86.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$277

Open exposure

$1.56K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-21 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

72% 21% -$24,960

Other

28% 39% -$8,010

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+38,000	$5,320	4¢	$1.5K	-$3,800	10-21 15:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+8,000	$32	0¢	$36	+$4	10-21 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$27.6K	148,800	51,361	+97,438	No	-$12,958	02-06 21:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$8.8K	20,468	20,468	+0	Yes	-$226	02-10 19:35
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$7.0K	56,070	0	+56,070	No	-$6,997	02-06 20:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5.3K	38,000	0	+38,000	open	—	10-21 15:14
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$4.9K	7,606	7,606	+0	No	-$88	01-11 15:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$3.6K	57,964	46,714	+11,250	No	-$1,088	01-24 11:34
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$3.3K	17,824	17,824	+0	No	+$286	02-10 14:12
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$3.0K	16,191	0	+16,191	No	-$3,001	02-20 20:11
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	2	$2.9K	1,961	1,961	+0	Yes	+$902	01-03 14:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	7,605	0	+7,605	No	-$2,011	07-28 07:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.9K	274,000	0	+274,000	No	-$1,906	07-24 14:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	21	$1.7K	136,501	0	+136,501	No	-$1,681	05-31 17:22
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$1.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$534	01-23 20:51
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$1.4K	1,707	0	+1,707	Yes	+$259	05-22 16:41
lal rea bet 2026 01 04 rea	2	$1.3K	769	769	+0	Yes	+$262	01-04 16:33
sea int bol 2026 01 04 int	2	$1.2K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$214	01-05 06:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	89	$1.2K	69,982	0	+69,982	No	-$1,187	07-29 13:19
kristi noem out by march 31	2	$662	463	463	+0	Yes	+$262	03-05 18:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$595	77,219	0	+77,219	No	-$595	05-28 10:38
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	134	$531	46,030	0	+46,030	No	-$531	06-11 14:28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	1	$500	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$500	02-11 20:02
epl ful che 2026 01 07 che	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$500	01-07 16:45
epl new lee 2026 01 07 new	1	$500	862	0	+862	Yes	+$362	01-07 16:46
epl eve wol 2026 01 07 eve	1	$500	943	0	+943	No	-$500	01-07 16:44
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	1	$500	1,172	0	+1,172	No	-$500	03-24 18:01
epl mac bri 2026 01 07 mac	1	$500	758	0	+758	No	-$500	01-07 16:44
sea nap ver 2026 01 07 nap	1	$500	676	0	+676	No	-$500	01-07 16:41
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$423	29,440	0	+29,440	No	-$423	02-10 14:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$400	1,684	0	+1,684	No	-$400	04-12 09:04
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$400	12,027	12,027	+0	No	+$200	01-31 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:15:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$32	0x453f50…
10-21 15:14:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38,000	14¢	$5,320	0xc24a48…
07-29 13:19:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22,000	0¢	$44	0x2f442a…
07-28 07:38:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,405	28¢	$965	0x63cb96…
07-24 14:11:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,200	25¢	$1,046	0xff1ee3…
07-24 14:03:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94,000	1¢	$658	0xb09faf…
07-24 14:03:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180,000	1¢	$1,248	0x8c0d59…
06-11 14:28:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	969	1¢	$7	0x640b65…
06-11 13:38:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,975	1¢	$11	0xec9885…
06-11 13:16:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,220	1¢	$7	0xae39e6…
06-10 19:05:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,520	1¢	$13	0x2986fe…
06-10 17:08:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,055	1¢	$11	0xdb52cb…
06-10 15:53:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x970363…
06-10 15:46:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5915bf…
06-10 15:46:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd0d5e7…
06-10 15:46:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x05ce12…
06-10 15:46:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xbe6335…
06-10 15:46:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xff2316…
06-10 15:46:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x684ad1…
06-10 15:46:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x41e13b…
06-10 15:46:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3cc27d…
06-10 15:46:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xb2e5f4…
06-10 15:46:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9c3576…
06-10 15:46:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x9c2550…
06-10 15:46:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x404fa5…
06-10 15:46:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0xafb9e9…
06-10 15:46:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x91d385…
06-10 15:45:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0x7cd441…
06-10 15:45:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	246	1¢	$2	0x6ea19d…
06-10 15:45:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0x8ed382…
06-10 15:45:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	905	1¢	$8	0xbab77c…
06-10 14:56:21	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	1¢	$2	0xbb0d84…
06-10 14:53:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	316	1¢	$3	0x9beeb1…
06-10 14:53:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,810	1¢	$14	0x5df91c…
06-09 19:22:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x23e2f2…
06-09 16:17:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,593	1¢	$13	0xdca2da…
06-09 14:05:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	317	1¢	$3	0x19990b…
06-09 08:43:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	832	1¢	$7	0xbb36cd…
06-08 20:19:19	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xde716b…
06-08 19:20:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	325	1¢	$2	0x8a9f23…
06-07 19:44:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	681	1¢	$6	0xabfffa…
06-07 19:43:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	793	1¢	$6	0xbc85d1…
06-07 17:17:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	361	1¢	$3	0x47b5cd…
06-07 14:34:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xd1866b…
06-06 16:44:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	562	1¢	$5	0xaf5d35…
06-06 14:54:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,566	1¢	$23	0xbd3978…
06-06 06:34:40	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x3e7e2f…
06-06 06:34:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$1	0x9883ce…
06-06 06:33:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9fa7c5…
06-06 06:33:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,309	2¢	$100	0x8eea14…
06-06 06:33:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$1	0x278342…
06-05 22:18:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xee002d…
06-05 21:52:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xe55a5a…
06-05 21:33:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x5dfa4d…
06-05 21:04:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe03679…
06-05 19:31:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x85c9eb…
06-05 19:30:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,924	2¢	$63	0x91f7f3…
06-05 19:29:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x7f285f…
06-05 19:29:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5fe57a…
06-05 19:29:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,078	1¢	$15	0x1bea71…
06-05 17:52:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xde5737…
06-05 17:27:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$1	0xd63d95…
06-05 17:27:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,412	2¢	$81	0x03666d…
06-05 06:10:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xd45335…
06-04 14:04:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,397	2¢	$29	0x1e712f…
06-04 11:35:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe1a2a8…
06-04 11:34:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,894	2¢	$37	0xc00602…
06-04 11:34:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,565	2¢	$46	0xea69d0…
06-02 10:35:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1fbd4c…
06-02 09:51:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x02ba84…
06-02 09:50:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$23	0x1101e5…
05-31 17:22:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,522	1¢	$23	0xbccad2…
05-31 03:23:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x98fabe…
05-30 18:13:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	283	3¢	$8	0x607be7…
05-30 17:13:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x018fc2…
05-30 17:13:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xc99e85…
05-30 17:13:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,350	3¢	$42	0x09533e…
05-30 17:12:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,300	1¢	$16	0x490846…
05-30 16:02:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	216	3¢	$6	0x3f2175…
05-30 14:39:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x872198…
05-29 17:50:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x41299f…
05-29 15:13:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,333	4¢	$48	0x863d37…
05-29 15:13:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	165	4¢	$6	0x3b8797…
05-29 10:34:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x90cc1d…
05-29 09:48:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	305	1¢	$4	0x1eb37c…
05-29 07:35:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x313fd6…
05-29 07:20:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbfc4d8…
05-29 05:54:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc8a5b3…
05-29 05:37:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	293	3¢	$10	0x5f72e4…
05-29 04:54:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x85b8c5…
05-28 19:36:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	193	2¢	$4	0x57ee8d…
05-28 19:23:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,410	2¢	$92	0x31caa3…
05-28 17:38:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,837	4¢	$151	0x1a010d…
05-28 17:38:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	4¢	$7	0xc689f8…
05-28 10:38:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,775	1¢	$38	0x0342ae…
05-28 10:38:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xbc253f…
05-28 10:38:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,775	3¢	$57	0xae69ad…
05-28 10:38:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x3233f7…
05-27 02:39:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x306b17…
05-27 00:32:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x7ad1c1…