Torn-Sector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$190

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$405

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-08 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 39% +$180

Other

17% 100% +$7

Tech

6% 100% +$2

Politics

5% 75% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	06-10 13:19
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	06-10 13:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	5	$50	136	0	+136	Up	+$86	05-21 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$40	164	0	+164	Up	+$124	05-21 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$35	564	0	+564	Down	-$35	05-21 06:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:10 UTC	3	$22	132	0	+132	Up	-$22	04-06 09:10
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	08-10 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$20	62	0	+62	Down	-$20	05-21 06:36
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$10	04-30 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$19	91	0	+91	Down	-$19	04-30 14:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	06-26 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$10	324	0	+324	Up	-$10	04-30 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-21 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	53	0	+53	Up	-$10	05-21 06:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	09-09 02:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	86	0	+86	Up	+$76	04-30 14:27
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	04-30 14:20
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	07-03 05:34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$1	06-10 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:05 UTC	2	$7	20	0	+20	Up	-$7	04-06 09:05
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	06-26 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:40 UTC	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	-$5	04-06 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:45 UTC	1	$5	102	0	+102	Down	-$5	04-06 10:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-10 13:19
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	06-26 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	-$5	04-30 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:50 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	04-06 10:50
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-30 14:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	10-08 14:36
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-21 05:52
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-10 13:22
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-10 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 14:36:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc6a3e2…
09-09 02:33:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x349db2…
08-10 15:57:37	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1f1e70…
07-03 05:34:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xad6c0d…
06-26 15:18:50	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0b763e…
06-26 15:18:31	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x88214b…
06-26 15:18:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e9f9c…
06-10 13:28:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x135831…
06-10 13:28:39	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa0a98…
06-10 13:26:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcde02c…
06-10 13:26:18	atp doubles jecapav logrric 2026 06 08	Jecan/Pavel	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc3cc67…
06-10 13:24:57	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd64657…
06-10 13:23:45	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x9962f5…
06-10 13:22:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0206cf…
06-10 13:19:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7a6dee…
05-21 08:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x116f4d…
05-21 06:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x956a41…
05-21 06:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5bacb2…
05-21 06:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa447f1…
05-21 06:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x99583d…
05-21 06:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x511dd2…
05-21 06:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x7a7a23…
05-21 06:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x419b9a…
05-21 05:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa406d9…
05-21 05:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xf7906b…
05-21 05:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4fc3ab…
05-21 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x842587…
05-21 05:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5b5ef1…
05-21 05:52:00	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb1f98d…
05-21 05:51:44	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe4a162…
04-30 14:40:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x139669…
04-30 14:36:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x49692f…
04-30 14:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0xdb8edc…
04-30 14:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe86d88…
04-30 14:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9f9f8b…
04-30 14:20:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x61a665…
04-30 14:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x03892d…
04-30 14:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7ee3e1…
04-30 14:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x971fd0…
04-30 14:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xcd1db7…
04-30 14:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x825674…
04-30 14:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x192b06…
04-30 14:07:32	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x696a3b…
04-30 13:59:48	Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x40e293…
04-06 10:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5465b1…
04-06 10:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9d4c88…
04-06 10:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x253e0e…
04-06 10:46:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x4c1efb…
04-06 10:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8ce69f…
04-06 09:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x863f30…
04-06 09:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x515f05…
04-06 09:10:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x82caf8…
04-06 09:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbdea20…
04-06 09:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x855ece…
04-06 09:04:53	highest temperature in tokyo on april 7 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x14b416…
04-06 09:03:25	lol bro1 dnsc 2026 04 06	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5613bc…