(anonymous) 0x4805e4…1593ef
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$681
Unrealized P&L
-$168
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
156
Trades
451
lifetime
Volume
$28.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$2.05K
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-08
last 10-29 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
78% 64% +$785
Other
16% 50% -$300
Sports
4% 86% +$175
Crypto
2% 100% +$20
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +550 $214 58¢ $322 +$108 10-27 03:33
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $288 78¢ $314 +$26 10-27 10:17
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +300 $255 92¢ $276 +$21 10-24 05:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +400 $264 68¢ $270 +$6 10-28 11:30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $192 70¢ $212 +$20 10-20 07:09
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +175 $152 94¢ $165 +$13 10-19 21:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $124 72¢ $143 +$19 10-20 14:28
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +300 $159 40¢ $122 -$37 10-16 16:17
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $93 28¢ $84 -$9 10-29 03:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +100 $76 72¢ $72 -$4 10-15 19:50
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,500 $33 2¢ $29 -$3 10-29 02:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,257 $31 1¢ $18 -$13 10-29 01:41
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,300 $16 1¢ $13 -$3 10-22 14:15
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +450 $306 2¢ $10 -$296 10-23 16:57
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +46 $16 3¢ $1 -$15 07-25 03:02