Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.27K

Unrealized P&L

+$133

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

104

Trades

976

lifetime

Volume

$364.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$374

Open exposure

$5.27K

9 positions

First seen

2026-07-18

last 11-12 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

49% 68% +$4,529

Other

44% 67% -$387

Crypto

5% 100% +$882

Tech

2% 78% +$210

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	+4,529	$3,769	88¢	$4.0K	+$194	09-21 20:09
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	+3,000	$2,100	21¢	$630	-$1,470	11-06 20:50
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	+249	$67	92¢	$228	+$161	11-05 17:17
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	No	+232	$123	94¢	$218	+$95	09-17 23:00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	No	+213	$149	96¢	$205	+$56	09-28 13:25
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	No	+104	$38	22¢	$22	-$16	09-20 21:45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+5	-$167	91¢	$5	+$171	09-20 09:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5	-$930	20¢	$1	+$931	10-28 09:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+5	-$10	9¢	$0	+$10	09-20 18:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	41	$26.2K	20,118	20,118	+0	Yes	+$874	07-20 00:14
Paris curfew by October 19?	23	$20.9K	27,906	4,802	+23,104	Yes	-$1,353	10-19 17:21
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	39	$20.9K	13,145	13,145	+0	Yes	+$5,047	09-02 05:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	13	$17.6K	18,833	18,833	+0	open	—	10-27 22:03
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	30	$17.2K	11,694	11,694	+0	Yes	-$706	09-30 20:38
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	28	$17.0K	17,892	17,892	+0	Yes	+$3,205	10-19 17:23
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	21	$15.3K	9,168	9,168	+0	Yes	+$2,583	08-29 23:48
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	25	$14.1K	14,077	14,077	+0	No	+$1,408	08-28 18:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	34	$13.9K	20,136	20,132	+5	open	—	10-28 09:23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	35	$11.7K	14,420	14,420	+0	Yes	+$648	09-10 21:41
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	21	$10.9K	12,003	12,003	+0	No	+$235	09-10 01:09
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?	13	$9.2K	13,005	2,258	+10,747	Yes	+$1,391	09-15 05:30
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	6	$8.9K	4,537	4,537	+0	No	+$204	09-17 05:24
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	5	$7.0K	5,667	5,667	+0	Yes	+$3,167	08-30 03:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	30	$6.7K	5,282	5,272	+10	open	—	09-20 18:28
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	16	$6.6K	4,969	4,969	+0	Yes	+$629	09-09 13:26
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	29	$6.6K	8,165	8,165	+0	Yes	+$931	10-16 01:45
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	5	$6.5K	8,060	8,060	+0	Yes	-$6,065	11-01 01:33
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	9	$6.0K	4,049	4,049	+0	Yes	+$1,322	10-23 07:25
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	9	$5.8K	8,577	8,338	+239	Yes	-$419	11-01 19:33
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	6	$5.7K	2,992	2,992	-0	Yes	+$193	10-11 04:19
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	3	$5.6K	9,187	0	+9,187	No	-$1,611	11-01 02:07
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	16	$5.4K	4,025	4,025	+0	No	+$1,052	08-28 20:09
Paris curfew by October 21?	7	$4.7K	6,227	2,625	+3,602	Yes	-$271	10-19 17:22
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	7	$4.4K	5,862	2,339	+3,523	Yes	+$142	10-16 15:18
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	43	$4.3K	13,257	13,257	+0	No	+$434	10-23 20:07
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	1	$3.8K	4,529	0	+4,529	open	—	09-21 20:09
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?	9	$3.7K	3,768	0	+3,768	Yes	+$106	09-25 20:17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	14	$3.5K	5,595	3,595	+2,000	No	-$206	08-25 05:51
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	64	$3.4K	26,892	258	+26,634	No	-$3,302	08-30 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 22:28:19	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,164	17¢	$194	0x84f6b4…
11-12 18:55:42	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,580	17¢	$788	0x817d16…
11-12 18:53:40	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	439	17¢	$76	0x3631af…
11-12 04:45:07	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0xdc143a…
11-12 03:53:42	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0x75f9f4…
11-12 03:32:00	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd138c6…
11-12 03:07:39	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,006	68¢	$684	0x011e9f…
11-11 03:51:49	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	320	0¢	$0	0x04755e…
11-10 22:11:48	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$6	0x86d806…
11-09 21:17:10	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xb4615d…
11-08 13:14:10	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xaa9cbf…
11-08 13:14:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xf8b497…
11-08 13:12:54	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	141	80¢	$113	0xd659bf…
11-08 13:12:52	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	271	83¢	$226	0xaf9a79…
11-07 20:15:01	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	430	6¢	$26	0x908248…
11-07 20:15:01	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x644b54…
11-07 20:15:00	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x8851d2…
11-07 20:15:00	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x7328f2…
11-07 20:14:58	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xfe4a81…
11-07 05:05:46	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x4eced0…
11-07 05:02:28	Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?	No	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0xf7dc69…
11-07 05:00:10	Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?	No	BUY	240	1¢	$2	0x11baa1…
11-07 04:58:13	Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?	No	BUY	187	1¢	$2	0x147a19…
11-06 20:50:09	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	70¢	$2,100	0xfcc568…
11-06 20:27:28	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,061	49¢	$1,500	0x03f9aa…
11-05 19:26:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	365	57¢	$207	0x506a27…
11-05 19:26:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x945e5b…
11-05 19:26:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc1b4eb…
11-05 19:24:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xba2ebd…
11-05 17:17:37	Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	249	27¢	$67	0x47dada…
11-05 17:17:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	416	38¢	$159	0x14cac2…
11-05 17:16:28	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x4b7a15…
11-05 17:16:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	58	61¢	$35	0x1cba16…
11-05 17:15:46	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	448	75¢	$336	0xfa5c74…
11-05 14:46:30	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,184	16¢	$1,000	0x420083…
11-05 14:19:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	54¢	$39	0x010ec1…
11-05 14:19:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x224705…
11-05 14:18:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	514	54¢	$275	0xf86b7b…
11-05 14:18:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	54¢	$57	0xded876…
11-01 19:33:06	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	4,995	0¢	$5	0x18f01f…
11-01 19:32:37	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd5a4cf…
11-01 19:31:22	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0x35d10e…
11-01 02:07:13	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	No	BUY	3,965	99¢	$3,910	0x245f07…
11-01 01:44:18	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	5,000	16¢	$780	0xa48849…
11-01 01:33:16	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	8,060	3¢	$242	0x35f499…
10-31 19:11:34	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	SELL	3,000	82¢	$2,445	0x313610…
10-31 17:02:48	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	873	50¢	$437	0xc27ae0…
10-31 01:37:31	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	2,500	75¢	$1,875	0xcfbedf…
10-31 00:19:04	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	445	70¢	$312	0x376bd5…
10-31 00:15:42	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	2,555	70¢	$1,788	0x56aa0e…
10-31 00:15:42	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	338	30¢	$101	0x56aa0e…
10-30 23:45:54	Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 30?	Yes	BUY	109	62¢	$68	0x7ca758…
10-30 22:35:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0xe8081b…
10-30 21:49:39	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x9fdfc4…
10-30 21:19:31	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	4,187	85¢	$3,569	0xbdc1d7…
10-30 15:13:49	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	338	27¢	$90	0xf70bcb…
10-30 12:48:40	Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?	No	SELL	421	90¢	$379	0x7a231b…
10-28 19:35:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0xd0528a…
10-28 09:23:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x204667…
10-27 22:13:51	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	535	20¢	$106	0x7c7410…
10-27 22:04:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14,059	37¢	$5,202	0xd217a8…
10-27 22:03:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	14,837	49¢	$7,329	0x257a99…
10-27 22:01:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,800	37¢	$666	0x986224…
10-27 22:00:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,000	37¢	$1,110	0x2a0e8f…
10-27 21:59:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	216	50¢	$107	0xda9481…
10-27 21:59:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,521	50¢	$1,251	0xcdc4ae…
10-27 21:42:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,258	34¢	$428	0xf36980…
10-27 21:40:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,258	50¢	$633	0xb460ed…
10-27 21:25:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,000	37¢	$2,204	0x4df934…
10-27 21:25:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	304	36¢	$109	0xfadc16…
10-27 21:24:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,000	29¢	$1,430	0xe0ca95…
10-27 21:24:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x67f778…
10-27 21:24:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x9ef60b…
10-27 21:24:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x5e66a6…
10-27 21:24:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x56e09d…
10-27 21:24:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xd66e5d…
10-27 21:24:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xef069b…
10-27 21:24:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x47548e…
10-27 21:24:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9c4875…
10-27 21:23:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xc30258…
10-27 21:23:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xdf4fb9…
10-27 21:23:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	132	36¢	$47	0x8af603…
10-27 21:23:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x438249…
10-27 21:23:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xc1b1b3…
10-27 21:22:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	236	36¢	$85	0x832354…
10-27 21:22:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5,249	36¢	$1,889	0x49b8bf…
10-27 21:22:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6,000	39¢	$2,328	0x5f0e1a…
10-27 20:19:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	164	26¢	$43	0xb38f00…
10-27 20:19:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x076bb2…
10-27 20:19:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x34b3d6…
10-27 20:19:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x9d214b…
10-27 20:19:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	676	26¢	$176	0xfc505c…
10-27 20:18:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	409	26¢	$106	0x826c18…
10-27 20:18:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x30c405…
10-27 20:16:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	274	52¢	$143	0xa4cee9…
10-27 20:16:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0x7f4ce3…
10-27 20:16:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,013	26¢	$783	0x777264…
10-27 20:16:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,559	54¢	$2,447	0x0fa808…
10-27 12:59:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	629	65¢	$408	0xc1029b…
10-27 12:58:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	264	65¢	$171	0x705188…