Large-Soundness — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.3%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

42 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$302

$605 lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$59	0	76	-76	Up	$-17	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$39	0	41	-41	Up	$-2	05-05 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$30	31	46	-15	open	—	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$30	64	0	+64	Up	+$34	05-05 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$29	0	29	-29	Down	$-0	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$25	36	0	+36	Down	+$11	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$25	33	0	+33	Down	+$8	05-05 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$24	0	26	-26	open	—	05-06 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$23	0	24	-24	open	—	05-06 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$23	0	33	-33	Down	+$23	05-05 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$22	0	27	-27	open	—	05-06 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Up	$-20	05-05 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	$-20	05-06 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	Up	+$9	05-05 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$17	0	20	-20	Down	$-4	05-05 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$16	0	28	-28	Up	+$16	05-05 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$16	0	16	-16	Down	$-1	05-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$15	22	0	+22	Down	+$7	05-05 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$13	0	13	-13	Up	$-0	05-05 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	$-10	05-04 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-05 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-05 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-06 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-06 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8e41c7…
05-06 13:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x5ff4bf…
05-06 13:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	27	80¢	$22	0xb6ef2c…
05-06 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x3c51e7…
05-06 08:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0x97c486…
05-06 08:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb8ab9b…
05-06 04:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb28a7b…
05-06 03:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x015cdb…
05-06 03:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xca411a…
05-06 03:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb05b7d…
05-06 03:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	76	77¢	$59	0x86806e…
05-05 18:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x612499…
05-05 18:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0aa49c…
05-05 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb3e9e1…
05-05 16:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xf9842b…
05-05 15:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xade773…
05-05 14:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x11514e…
05-05 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4b63be…
05-05 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	69¢	$23	0xcbe11e…
05-05 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe4a789…
05-05 13:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1520da…
05-05 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x898813…
05-05 12:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xacc854…
05-05 12:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc539e7…
05-05 12:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd138db…
05-05 12:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0x6f3270…
05-05 11:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x3aa674…
05-05 11:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x62c12c…
05-05 10:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd4f082…
05-05 10:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc0f7a9…
05-05 10:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x4ac6f7…
05-05 04:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdc469e…
05-05 04:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x13cbcf…
05-05 03:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb81ed6…
05-05 03:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xafa32a…
05-05 03:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7c56ab…
05-05 03:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfa1afc…
05-05 03:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf12b4e…
05-05 03:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5f9105…
05-05 03:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdfb08e…
05-05 02:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe9cf67…
05-04 20:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x233660…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	35	$5.34K	225	05-06 13:42
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	31	$2.43K	232	05-06 13:42
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	30	$685	171	05-06 13:42
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	29	$10.1K	164	05-06 13:42
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	29	$719	88	05-06 13:40
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	28	$2.16K	143	05-06 13:42
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	27	$2.17K	145	05-06 13:40
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	27	$2.02K	183	05-06 13:42