Realized P&L
-$724
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
454
Trades
993
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$31
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-26 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Crypto
96%
62%
-$735
Other
2%
40%
+$34
Politics
1%
100%
+$7
Sports
1%
38%
-$31
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | +83 | $20 | 11¢ | $9 | -$11 | 06-13 18:11 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | +95 | $20 | 8¢ | $8 | -$12 | 06-13 18:11 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | +43 | $10 | 15¢ | $6 | -$4 | 06-13 18:13 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | +23 | $5 | 19¢ | $4 | -$1 | 06-22 11:46 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | +29 | $20 | 10¢ | $3 | -$17 | 06-18 18:27 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | +39 | $20 | 2¢ | $1 | -$19 | 06-18 07:01 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:50 UTC | 9 | $513 | 477 | 426 | +51 | Up | +$64 | 07-21 15:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 06:00 UTC | 8 | $419 | 258 | 258 | +0 | Up | +$19 | 07-20 06:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:15 UTC | 6 | $372 | 351 | 351 | +0 | Up | +$72 | 07-22 18:19 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:45 UTC | 7 | $370 | 259 | 207 | +53 | Down | -$30 | 07-22 12:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 22:00 UTC | 6 | $325 | 192 | 192 | +0 | Down | +$25 | 07-21 22:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 17:20 UTC | 7 | $323 | 226 | 201 | +25 | Down | +$21 | 07-22 17:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:20 UTC | 6 | $322 | 207 | 207 | +0 | Down | +$47 | 07-21 07:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:25 UTC | 6 | $321 | 224 | 224 | +0 | Up | +$21 | 07-21 07:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 03:05 UTC | 6 | $315 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Down | +$15 | 07-22 03:09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | 6 | $311 | 223 | 121 | +102 | Down | +$13 | 07-21 01:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:25 UTC | 6 | $307 | 234 | 234 | +0 | Up | +$7 | 07-21 10:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:10 UTC | 6 | $305 | 318 | 181 | +137 | Down | -$34 | 07-22 18:14 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | 3 | $303 | 160 | 160 | +0 | Yes | +$3 | 07-22 07:12 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:40 UTC | 6 | $294 | 213 | 213 | +0 | Down | -$6 | 07-21 07:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:55 UTC | 8 | $289 | 252 | 237 | +15 | Down | -$21 | 07-22 02:59 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | 6 | $284 | 192 | 192 | +0 | Up | -$16 | 07-21 10:10 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC | 5 | $268 | 198 | 147 | +51 | Up | +$19 | 07-20 08:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 16:25 UTC | 5 | $265 | 207 | 134 | +72 | Down | -$35 | 07-21 16:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:00 UTC | 5 | $261 | 184 | 133 | +51 | Up | +$12 | 07-22 10:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:00 UTC | 6 | $259 | 259 | 259 | +0 | Up | -$41 | 07-22 18:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 15:25 UTC | 6 | $252 | 167 | 109 | +57 | Up | +$1 | 07-22 15:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:20 UTC | 4 | $233 | 138 | 138 | +0 | Down | +$33 | 07-20 18:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:20 UTC | 4 | $228 | 152 | 152 | +0 | Up | +$28 | 07-21 17:24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | 4 | $226 | 193 | 91 | +102 | Up | +$28 | 07-21 01:08 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 17:25 UTC | 9 | $222 | 184 | 170 | +14 | Down | +$16 | 07-22 17:29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | 4 | $222 | 136 | 136 | +0 | Up | +$22 | 07-21 10:13 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 02:35 UTC | 4 | $220 | 148 | 148 | +0 | Down | +$20 | 07-20 02:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 16:15 UTC | 4 | $219 | 194 | 194 | +0 | Down | +$19 | 07-21 16:19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | 4 | $219 | 139 | 139 | +0 | Down | +$19 | 07-21 12:53 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 06:05 UTC | 5 | $218 | 205 | 111 | +95 | Up | -$22 | 07-20 06:09 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||