Realized P&L
-$724
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
454
Trades
993
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$31
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-26 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Crypto
96% 62% -$735
Other
2% 40% +$34
Politics
1% 100% +$7
Sports
1% 38% -$31
Tech
0% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +83 $20 11¢ $9 -$11 06-13 18:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +95 $20 8¢ $8 -$12 06-13 18:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +43 $10 15¢ $6 -$4 06-13 18:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +23 $5 19¢ $4 -$1 06-22 11:46
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +29 $20 10¢ $3 -$17 06-18 18:27
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +39 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 06-18 07:01