Quirky-Lottery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-06 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$0

Politics

20% — —

Other

18% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$80	53	28	+25	open	—	04-09 08:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	05-08 23:07
eth updown 5m 1774082100	4	$42	43	3	+40	open	—	03-21 08:39
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-11 23:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-01 05:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 16:43
will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-31 01:08
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	2	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	02-23 15:14
eth updown 5m 1774080300	2	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	03-21 08:09
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 06:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	03-18 13:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-03 14:17
eth updown 5m 1771719000	3	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	02-22 00:14
eth updown 5m 1772205900	3	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	02-27 15:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-16 13:01
jeffrey epstein foul play confirmed by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 05:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 12:33
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	03-25 06:00
eth updown 5m 1772333700	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-01 02:59
eth updown 5m 1774433700	3	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-25 10:19
btc updown 5m 1770996000	4	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	02-13 15:23
eth updown 5m 1773673800	5	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	03-16 15:14
eth updown 5m 1772206500	3	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	02-27 15:39
eth updown 5m 1771718400	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	02-22 00:04
eth updown 5m 1773925500	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-19 13:09
eth updown 5m 1772334000	3	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-01 03:04
eth updown 5m 1773666000	3	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	03-16 13:04
eth updown 5m 1772865900	3	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-07 06:49
eth updown 5m 1774052700	4	$14	16	2	+13	open	—	03-21 00:29
btc updown 5m 1771027200	3	$13	18	6	+11	open	—	02-14 00:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 14:53:18	eth updown 5m 1780757400	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x49c9aa…
06-06 14:53:16	eth updown 5m 1780757400	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb5fb28…
06-06 14:53:16	eth updown 5m 1780757400	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8f5859…
05-11 23:53:32	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xfdb90e…
05-08 23:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf53623…
05-08 23:07:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x785741…
05-03 14:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf7ee51…
05-03 14:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd1a1f2…
05-02 06:40:32	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x4cc954…
04-24 16:43:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7aeb9c…
04-18 08:21:58	eth updown 5m 1776500400	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd438fb…
04-18 00:12:20	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x83735f…
04-18 00:12:02	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x198b76…
04-18 00:05:32	eth updown 5m 1776470700	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb13873…
04-18 00:03:12	eth updown 5m 1776470400	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb28caa…
04-18 00:02:42	eth updown 5m 1776470400	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x878918…
04-09 08:14:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x8e5503…
04-07 23:27:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x424566…
04-07 13:50:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x192dcc…
04-03 13:31:33	eth updown 5m 1775223000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c80d5…
04-03 13:29:33	eth updown 5m 1775222700	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x613a8b…
04-03 13:29:11	eth updown 5m 1775222700	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9fe1b8…
04-03 13:27:35	eth updown 5m 1775222700	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x0e4b2e…
04-03 13:26:55	eth updown 5m 1775222700	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbeb30c…
04-03 13:08:39	eth updown 5m 1775221500	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x43fddc…
04-03 13:07:39	eth updown 5m 1775221500	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3e6b97…
04-01 05:31:27	jeffrey epstein foul play confirmed by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0cde30…
04-01 05:31:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3e0769…
03-31 01:08:07	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe9726b…
03-29 00:14:56	eth updown 5m 1774743000	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0cb31a…
03-29 00:14:48	eth updown 5m 1774743000	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x707ce9…
03-28 13:58:15	eth updown 5m 1774706100	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x9275d0…
03-28 13:57:43	eth updown 5m 1774706100	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfab11c…
03-28 13:57:09	eth updown 5m 1774706100	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x779114…
03-25 14:57:37	eth updown 5m 1774450500	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9d1cd8…
03-25 14:57:19	eth updown 5m 1774450500	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbc1f41…
03-25 10:28:19	eth updown 5m 1774434300	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4c57b0…
03-25 10:27:41	eth updown 5m 1774434300	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6ea4a1…
03-25 10:22:25	btc updown 5m 1774434000	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0xafabb9…
03-25 10:21:45	btc updown 5m 1774434000	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xed7421…
03-25 10:19:57	eth updown 5m 1774433700	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7c8a1c…
03-25 10:19:47	eth updown 5m 1774433700	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdb6ad6…
03-25 10:18:07	eth updown 5m 1774433700	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x25519c…
03-25 08:56:13	eth updown 5m 1774428900	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x38dc40…
03-25 08:55:53	eth updown 5m 1774428900	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0faae7…
03-25 07:18:05	eth updown 5m 1774422900	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xdb69c2…
03-25 07:17:59	eth updown 5m 1774422900	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc95f26…
03-25 06:05:51	eth updown 5m 1774418700	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x906839…
03-25 06:05:19	eth updown 5m 1774418700	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfc6e38…
03-25 06:00:59	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xaf4c54…
03-25 05:59:07	eth updown 5m 1774418100	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x15b3f5…
03-25 05:58:51	eth updown 5m 1774418100	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe28c03…
03-25 05:56:43	eth updown 5m 1774418100	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x0e0d74…
03-25 05:55:51	eth updown 5m 1774418100	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9e0e86…
03-25 05:53:51	eth updown 5m 1774417800	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xecba5f…
03-24 14:53:49	eth updown 5m 1774363800	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe8529b…
03-24 14:43:47	eth updown 5m 1774363200	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x0e2bd4…
03-24 14:43:09	eth updown 5m 1774363200	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2167a6…
03-22 08:19:19	eth updown 5m 1774167300	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x99067f…
03-22 08:18:09	eth updown 5m 1774167300	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3682b3…
03-22 06:02:09	eth updown 5m 1774159200	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x22ffa0…
03-22 06:01:25	eth updown 5m 1774159200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb604e9…
03-21 23:34:15	eth updown 5m 1774135800	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6ee960…
03-21 15:29:41	eth updown 5m 1774106700	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe1c783…
03-21 15:16:11	eth updown 5m 1774106100	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x95eece…
03-21 15:06:15	eth updown 5m 1774105500	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x247c5c…
03-21 15:05:51	eth updown 5m 1774105500	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x084d45…
03-21 15:03:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xfb2f83…
03-21 14:44:55	eth updown 5m 1774104000	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x024caa…
03-21 14:44:17	eth updown 5m 1774104000	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb14ce5…
03-21 10:53:57	eth updown 5m 1774090200	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xd7a75e…
03-21 10:51:37	eth updown 5m 1774090200	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8b74a7…
03-21 10:50:59	eth updown 5m 1774090200	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xd3d685…
03-21 10:50:41	eth updown 5m 1774090200	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7758c9…
03-21 08:44:55	eth updown 5m 1774082400	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe67835…
03-21 08:44:23	eth updown 5m 1774082400	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc40dd1…
03-21 08:39:49	eth updown 5m 1774082100	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbb025c…
03-21 08:39:33	eth updown 5m 1774082100	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x422702…
03-21 08:38:47	eth updown 5m 1774082100	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2046e8…
03-21 08:38:45	eth updown 5m 1774082100	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xabe8f7…
03-21 08:15:59	eth updown 15m 1774080900	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xba07fe…
03-21 08:14:29	eth updown 5m 1774080600	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4f771d…
03-21 08:12:29	eth updown 5m 1774080600	Down	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xe69713…
03-21 08:11:41	eth updown 5m 1774080600	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2cc376…
03-21 08:09:47	eth updown 5m 1774080300	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x9d8733…
03-21 08:08:29	eth updown 5m 1774080300	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x2055a1…
03-21 07:19:25	eth updown 5m 1774077300	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x266ba9…
03-21 07:18:43	eth updown 5m 1774077300	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8ff482…
03-21 07:17:55	eth updown 5m 1774077300	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x657789…
03-21 07:16:47	eth updown 5m 1774077300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x534ef7…
03-21 07:15:01	eth updown 5m 1774077000	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9c917b…
03-21 07:14:15	eth updown 5m 1774077000	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa8a517…
03-21 07:14:01	eth updown 5m 1774077000	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xecf1da…
03-21 07:08:05	eth updown 5m 1774076700	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0xcecfb3…
03-21 07:07:29	eth updown 5m 1774076700	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc5c191…
03-21 07:03:35	eth updown 5m 1774076400	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xb285e0…
03-21 07:03:13	eth updown 5m 1774076400	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xea7407…
03-21 07:01:09	eth updown 5m 1774076400	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0xb3060e…
03-21 07:00:51	eth updown 5m 1774076400	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x51be43…
03-21 06:59:41	eth updown 5m 1774076100	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x90d3ac…