Sardonic-Priest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$4.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-08 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% — —

Politics

18% — —

Other

16% 100% +$9

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No		+24	$16	97¢	$24	+$7	06-08 10:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+20	$15	1¢	$0	$-15	06-01 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 01:49
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$84	113	113	+0	open	—	03-23 12:58
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$58	43	43	+0	open	—	06-07 20:53
epl bri ars 2026 03 04 ars	2	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	03-04 23:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 04:32
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	3	$50	29	29	+0	open	—	04-08 19:12
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	3	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	03-28 17:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	06-01 08:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$47	30	30	+0	open	—	05-25 11:18
btc updown 5m 1773697500	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	03-16 21:49
btc updown 15m 1773696600	2	$45	29	28	+0	open	—	03-16 21:34
btc updown 5m 1773697200	2	$45	27	27	+0	open	—	03-16 21:42
btc updown 15m 1773271800	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-11 23:44
btc updown 15m 1773272700	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	03-11 23:57
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	2	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	04-19 17:28
btc updown 5m 1773698400	4	$43	26	25	+0	open	—	03-16 22:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$43	0	44	-44	open	—	06-05 10:22
btc updown 15m 1773273600	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	03-12 00:14
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	06-01 08:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	04-01 10:27
btc updown 15m 1773083700	2	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	03-09 19:20
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$40	33	33	+0	open	—	03-06 08:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-11 22:06
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	2	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	05-24 14:05
btc updown 5m 1773607800	2	$39	25	24	+0	open	—	03-15 20:54
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$39	250	250	+0	open	—	03-09 11:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	06-01 08:08
btc updown 15m 1773603900	2	$37	23	22	+0	open	—	03-15 19:58
btc updown 5m 1773698700	5	$34	22	21	+0	open	—	03-16 22:08
btc updown 15m 1773606600	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	03-15 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 10:20:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xee6305…
06-07 21:06:12	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc9f9bb…
06-07 20:53:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	43	89¢	$38	0xb5f77b…
06-07 19:10:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xd2d93c…
06-05 18:23:25	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1dcf56…
06-05 18:23:18	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5c1f70…
06-05 18:22:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x25220a…
06-05 10:22:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcbbf50…
06-05 10:22:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x67c3d0…
06-02 12:46:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xac7203…
06-01 08:10:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x74abd2…
06-01 08:09:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x4717e5…
06-01 08:08:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x40aeba…
06-01 08:08:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xdf1c8e…
06-01 08:08:44	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe7e7cb…
05-25 11:18:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x993f4e…
05-24 14:06:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x765c21…
05-24 14:05:42	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xffb34c…
05-24 14:05:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa3ec50…
05-17 05:13:42	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xeabb55…
05-17 05:13:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x224e3d…
05-12 17:54:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb43d13…
05-12 07:36:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x73a2c2…
05-06 19:10:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xbf42c4…
05-06 13:47:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xb167a0…
05-01 21:25:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5f62e9…
05-01 17:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x1fb72b…
05-01 17:10:34	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x9ce576…
05-01 17:07:30	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0xb07965…
05-01 17:03:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$17	0x00619c…
05-01 17:02:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$17	0x9bf109…
05-01 01:49:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xac6f4d…
04-22 08:08:44	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xdcabf9…
04-20 17:51:16	btc updown 5m 1776707400	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd34882…
04-20 17:50:28	btc updown 5m 1776707400	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0592f9…
04-20 17:37:30	btc updown 5m 1776706500	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xace8b5…
04-20 17:37:08	btc updown 5m 1776706500	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x40dd5e…
04-20 17:35:38	btc updown 5m 1776706500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d4a25…
04-20 17:28:52	btc updown 5m 1776705900	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6cf077…
04-20 17:27:44	btc updown 5m 1776705900	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2717f9…
04-20 17:27:38	btc updown 5m 1776705900	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x07b9f6…
04-20 17:25:58	btc updown 5m 1776705900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d8a0b…
04-20 17:17:40	btc updown 5m 1776705300	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7928c6…
04-20 17:16:26	btc updown 5m 1776705300	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4c1ee1…
04-20 17:16:06	btc updown 5m 1776705300	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x534d13…
04-20 17:10:32	btc updown 5m 1776705000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5ab3f1…
04-20 11:57:38	btc updown 5m 1776686100	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x273b82…
04-20 11:56:48	btc updown 5m 1776686100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x03c27a…
04-20 11:52:14	btc updown 5m 1776685800	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x59667a…
04-20 11:49:12	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6b10ed…
04-20 11:48:14	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x52450e…
04-20 11:47:50	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x95cf58…
04-20 11:47:42	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x826a80…
04-20 11:46:26	btc updown 5m 1776685500	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x54b324…
04-20 11:44:18	btc updown 5m 1776685200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x35805d…
04-20 11:43:46	btc updown 5m 1776685200	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x26b147…
04-20 07:52:08	btc updown 5m 1776671400	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2034ca…
04-20 07:49:22	btc updown 5m 1776671100	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x63b736…
04-20 07:49:14	btc updown 5m 1776671100	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8e221d…
04-20 07:46:48	btc updown 5m 1776671100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb31f8b…
04-19 20:26:22	btc updown 5m 1776630300	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdac88d…
04-19 20:24:16	btc updown 5m 1776630000	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7b4a88…
04-19 20:18:08	btc updown 5m 1776629700	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbf22a4…
04-19 20:14:28	btc updown 5m 1776629400	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb02a3a…
04-19 20:11:20	btc updown 5m 1776629400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa90542…
04-19 20:07:32	btc updown 5m 1776629100	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0fe1b1…
04-19 20:07:22	btc updown 5m 1776629100	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x02c76a…
04-19 20:05:54	btc updown 5m 1776629100	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3baff9…
04-19 19:47:46	btc updown 5m 1776627900	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xfbb3e9…
04-19 19:43:46	btc updown 5m 1776627600	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbb93ce…
04-19 19:38:34	btc updown 5m 1776627300	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xfb9694…
04-19 19:37:06	btc updown 5m 1776627300	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd84702…
04-19 19:36:56	btc updown 5m 1776627300	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xce70c1…
04-19 19:34:48	btc updown 5m 1776627000	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8f28ec…
04-19 19:34:18	btc updown 5m 1776627000	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3b1cdc…
04-19 19:32:58	btc updown 5m 1776627000	Down	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x704f3a…
04-19 19:21:40	btc updown 5m 1776626400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x342a3f…
04-19 19:21:16	btc updown 5m 1776626400	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b5535…
04-19 19:19:08	btc updown 5m 1776626100	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x621e8a…
04-19 19:18:40	btc updown 5m 1776626100	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x950d39…
04-19 19:18:28	btc updown 5m 1776626100	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7cfcd8…
04-19 19:17:06	btc updown 5m 1776626100	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7e06b7…
04-19 19:06:50	btc updown 5m 1776625500	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3215d0…
04-19 19:05:52	btc updown 5m 1776625500	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0e7cb4…
04-19 19:03:32	btc updown 5m 1776625200	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xba5510…
04-19 19:01:34	btc updown 5m 1776625200	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe0bedd…
04-19 18:52:34	btc updown 5m 1776624600	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4b2ba9…
04-19 18:49:28	btc updown 5m 1776624300	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xec2eae…
04-19 18:46:58	btc updown 5m 1776624300	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xad978f…
04-19 18:38:58	btc updown 5m 1776623700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd51dea…
04-19 18:29:26	btc updown 5m 1776623100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x80a921…
04-19 18:19:54	btc updown 5m 1776622500	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x698644…
04-19 18:06:10	btc updown 5m 1776621900	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbb799d…
04-19 17:59:24	btc updown 5m 1776621300	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa86171…
04-19 17:52:06	btc updown 5m 1776621000	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc1079e…
04-19 17:28:34	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0x25846d…
04-18 19:47:46	will beauty and a beat justin bieber nicki minaj be the 1 song on spotify this week	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x3aad5e…
04-18 11:48:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8da8de…
04-17 10:55:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x2efda5…
04-17 10:55:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xc0da3b…