Major-Dueling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-09 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

26% 60% -$3

Sports

20% 33% -$10

Crypto

20% 69% -$15

Politics

19% 50% -$3

Tech

13% 50% -$9

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$202	144	144	+0	Yes	-$10	07-07 09:56
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$152	0	162	-162	No	-$10	07-06 21:17
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	3	$111	61	61	+0	No	+$11	03-20 16:49
New pandemic in 2026?	2	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	07-06 19:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$38	45	0	+45	No	+$7	04-24 12:15
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	2	$38	34	34	+0	Yes	-$22	03-24 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:55 UTC	2	$30	48	0	+48	Down	-$30	07-03 23:59
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	1	$30	35	0	+35	No	+$5	03-11 22:45
will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	03-14 17:47
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	1	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	03-09 14:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:10 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	07-09 05:14
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	-$20	04-21 13:13
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	03-14 17:45
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	02-18 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:50 UTC	1	$20	24	0	+24	Up	+$4	07-03 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:25 UTC	1	$20	24	0	+24	Down	+$4	07-03 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:35 UTC	1	$20	23	0	+23	Up	+$3	07-03 23:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:45 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	07-03 23:48
will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	03-14 17:44
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 20	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	03-18 09:08
will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	2	$20	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	03-12 22:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:15 UTC	2	$11	18	0	+18	Up	$0	07-03 23:19
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$10	37	0	+37	Argentina	-$10	07-09 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:40 UTC	1	$10	124	0	+124	Up	-$10	07-09 13:42
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	06-18 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:10 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	07-03 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	07-03 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:05 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	07-03 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:55 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	07-03 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	2	$8	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	07-09 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 15:54:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa01da5…
07-09 13:42:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0x80d3db…
07-09 13:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x9a16ab…
07-09 13:38:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20a6ce…
07-09 08:04:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8ea2d7…
07-09 05:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd25fca…
07-07 09:56:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	105	83¢	$88	0xc7766a…
07-06 21:20:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xffef58…
07-06 21:18:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	39	22¢	$9	0xf40d2a…
07-06 21:18:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xdba7bc…
07-06 21:17:50	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	162	94¢	$152	0x860820…
07-06 19:32:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x204ad3…
07-06 19:32:05	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x6e8015…
07-06 19:31:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xef7ab9…
07-03 23:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x9cd498…
07-03 23:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5f7b4d…
07-03 23:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x9d992b…
07-03 23:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xc08ed5…
07-03 23:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x615971…
07-03 23:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xf29f66…
07-03 23:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x887098…
07-03 23:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x335316…
07-03 23:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf747b9…
07-03 23:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0bce91…
07-03 23:08:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x6cf1e0…
07-03 22:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x73eae2…
07-03 22:46:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x73959b…
07-03 22:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe22784…
07-03 12:54:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x27c281…
07-02 14:16:34	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x35b999…
07-02 14:15:47	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcf5cec…
06-18 14:08:25	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x98be75…
06-18 13:10:41	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x73ef62…
06-18 13:10:23	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbcd675…
06-14 20:37:03	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x58fc5c…
05-09 14:33:32	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x4840fe…
04-24 12:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0xcbc4f8…
04-21 13:13:00	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xdf36d0…
03-24 07:25:59	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0x8449d4…
03-22 13:37:51	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x56c637…
03-20 23:53:57	will mrbeast say hottest during his next video	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb9fca1…
03-20 16:49:35	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x763c03…
03-19 10:52:09	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xe4ac09…
03-18 09:08:05	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x2513b0…
03-18 09:05:11	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x04b513…
03-14 17:47:27	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xb241b2…
03-14 17:45:21	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x0c5586…
03-14 17:44:41	will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x881074…
03-12 22:41:09	will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xe0de22…
03-11 22:45:01	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x1e8813…
03-09 15:03:57	will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd3f5aa…
03-09 14:51:07	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x7c13d8…
02-18 21:45:42	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1b97a4…