Powerless-Musculature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,384

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-19 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

49% 0% $-114

Other

28% 0% $-14

Crypto

22% 36% $-129

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	18	$2.9K	1,705	1,705	+0	open	—	04-23 17:02
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	23	$1.2K	1,309	1,309	+0	open	—	03-30 17:19
deepseek v4 released by april 24	16	$962	2,980	300	+2,680	open	—	04-24 05:06
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	17	$804	633	633	+0	open	—	03-30 19:38
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	16	$675	549	549	+0	open	—	04-01 00:48
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$563	411	411	+0	open	—	04-21 22:16
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	20	$525	1,331	1,331	+0	open	—	05-12 07:21
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	10	$494	440	440	+0	open	—	04-02 18:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$464	279	339	-60	open	—	06-01 17:03
btc updown 5m 1776860700	120	$412	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	04-22 12:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$371	2,060	2,060	+0	Yes	$-41	05-06 17:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$358	561	561	+0	open	—	05-15 20:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$335	645	595	+50	open	—	05-31 10:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	3	$335	299	299	+0	open	—	05-14 14:06
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$321	341	341	+0	open	—	04-30 23:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$321	243	243	+0	open	—	04-05 03:05
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$315	323	323	+0	open	—	04-24 14:09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	5	$300	211	211	+0	open	—	04-05 05:42
will iran strike oman again in march	7	$273	300	300	+0	open	—	04-05 00:40
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	7	$256	205	205	+0	open	—	04-13 01:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$202	315	315	+0	open	—	04-04 20:46
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	7	$200	435	435	+0	open	—	04-23 16:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$196	197	197	+0	open	—	04-25 02:35
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	6	$192	438	438	+0	open	—	04-02 10:20
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$182	457	457	+0	open	—	04-23 07:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	9	$175	296	296	+0	open	—	04-02 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776862500	32	$170	300	299	+1	open	—	04-22 12:58
Trump kiss by May 31?	3	$163	203	203	+0	open	—	05-20 14:29
btc updown 5m 1776859500	1	$160	320	0	+320	open	—	04-22 12:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$159	209	209	+0	open	—	04-01 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 18:43:13	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0x75e3f8…
06-03 15:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xed60d6…
06-03 15:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x71eb86…
06-03 12:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xe6599e…
06-02 16:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6c6f4a…
06-02 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0xd90ab6…
06-02 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5dc2e3…
06-02 16:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x96c920…
06-02 15:35:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	122	1¢	$2	0x5c3372…
06-02 15:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xdd9eeb…
06-02 15:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xcd8eb8…
06-02 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x70cfc7…
06-02 12:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x167239…
06-02 12:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	79	44¢	$35	0x02bb84…
06-01 23:07:49	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa01cb9…
06-01 18:43:01	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xd8e3f1…
06-01 18:42:50	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x286b10…
06-01 18:42:36	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xb78c8a…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xa7bb9c…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x97c692…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x767f87…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x12bed4…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xdd58b8…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x976605…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x898dad…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7fe936…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x719a4a…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5efd7f…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e1475…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x5d9d38…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x58ad89…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3c4354…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x36a7d6…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a31d2…
06-01 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	49¢	$33	0xc6240f…
06-01 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x5303bb…
06-01 17:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xe2211b…
06-01 17:30:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x12c0f8…
06-01 17:30:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x5177dd…
06-01 17:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x58ef37…
06-01 17:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x1eede2…
06-01 17:29:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd162bf…
06-01 17:29:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7b6819…
06-01 17:29:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb9fdec…
06-01 17:29:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb7a0d0…
06-01 17:26:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc999a5…
06-01 17:03:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	279	100¢	$278	0xeef83d…
06-01 17:01:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	308	1¢	$3	0xa2600a…
06-01 15:30:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x033a94…
06-01 15:28:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0x8544e2…
06-01 15:28:21	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	6¢	$24	0xf5c7a7…
06-01 15:21:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	216	47¢	$102	0x5703de…
06-01 15:20:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	272	22¢	$60	0x9f09c5…
06-01 14:49:20	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbddc9a…
06-01 14:48:52	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xf139db…
06-01 14:35:32	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x34d905…
06-01 07:32:58	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x2f26b3…
06-01 07:32:53	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xf491bb…
06-01 06:03:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x8100ff…
06-01 05:26:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x94ba2e…
06-01 05:06:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2b3d49…
06-01 05:04:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0x955ef9…
06-01 04:57:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x037807…
06-01 04:51:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xd43231…
06-01 04:49:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xa9bb88…
06-01 04:34:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xcefa28…
06-01 04:21:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x65a22d…
06-01 04:14:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	168	25¢	$42	0x427dc3…
06-01 03:58:37	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x92c787…
06-01 03:51:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0x95dba1…
06-01 03:51:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xf4eef7…
06-01 03:51:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	410	9¢	$35	0x8e9784…
06-01 00:17:29	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x11b541…
05-31 21:36:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	31¢	$31	0x38c955…
05-31 21:36:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	31¢	$26	0xef0740…
05-31 21:35:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x744bee…
05-31 21:34:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x18ff77…
05-31 21:31:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xabdf1a…
05-31 20:49:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	13¢	$16	0x62ddaf…
05-31 19:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x522d30…
05-31 18:41:18	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0xae38ec…
05-31 18:40:45	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xdcec6c…
05-31 18:20:01	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xe93412…
05-31 10:07:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x5fea4e…
05-31 10:07:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xac4be0…
05-31 10:04:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x436630…
05-31 09:43:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x38aab5…
05-31 09:30:42	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x4d7814…
05-31 09:27:03	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x834a1b…
05-31 09:23:35	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	275	8¢	$23	0x919d7e…
05-28 14:51:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0x854cc0…
05-28 14:51:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc04e87…
05-28 14:45:58	Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xfcae5a…
05-28 14:45:35	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	SELL	180	9¢	$16	0xbcec1d…
05-28 14:45:35	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	SELL	180	11¢	$20	0x02fe9d…
05-28 14:35:14	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x7c04c0…
05-28 14:33:08	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x21f2ac…
05-27 11:16:06	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xd632dd…
05-27 03:02:29	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	134	0¢	$0	0xf918af…
05-26 16:08:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0x461266…