Powerless-Musculature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

344

Trades

1,509

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-19 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

51% 30% -$306

Other

28% 31% -$958

Crypto

21% 37% +$170

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes		-26	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	05-11 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	18	$2.9K	1,705	1,705	+0	No	+$42	04-23 17:02
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	23	$1.2K	1,309	1,309	+0	Yes	+$27	03-30 17:19
deepseek v4 released by april 24	16	$962	2,980	300	+2,680	Yes	-$602	04-24 05:06
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	17	$804	633	633	+0	No	+$9	03-30 19:38
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	16	$675	549	549	+0	No	+$31	04-01 00:48
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$563	411	411	+0	No	+$42	04-21 22:16
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	20	$525	1,331	1,331	+0	Yes	-$55	05-12 07:21
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	10	$494	440	440	+0	No	-$38	04-02 18:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$487	339	339	+0	No	+$176	06-01 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:25 UTC	120	$412	1,030	1,030	+0	Down	+$206	04-22 12:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$371	2,060	2,060	+0	Yes	-$41	05-06 17:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$358	561	561	+0	No	+$284	05-15 20:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$335	645	595	+50	No	-$39	05-31 10:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	3	$335	299	299	+0	Yes	+$156	05-14 14:06
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$321	341	341	+0	Yes	+$9	04-30 23:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$321	243	243	+0	Yes	-$5	04-05 03:05
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$315	323	323	+0	Yes	-$7	04-24 14:09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	5	$300	211	211	+0	No	-$7	04-05 05:42
will iran strike oman again in march	7	$273	300	300	+0	No	-$3	04-05 00:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	10	$272	543	543	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 15:20
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	7	$256	205	205	+0	Yes	+$106	04-13 01:30
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?	5	$240	461	115	+346	No	-$178	06-03 18:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$202	315	315	+0	Yes	+$5	04-04 20:46
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	7	$200	435	435	+0	Yes	+$54	04-23 16:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$196	197	197	+0	No	-$29	04-25 02:35
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	6	$192	438	438	+0	No	-$16	04-02 10:20
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$182	457	457	+0	No	-$58	04-23 07:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	9	$175	296	296	+0	Yes	-$75	04-02 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:55 UTC	32	$170	300	299	+1	Down	+$70	04-22 12:58
Trump kiss by May 31?	3	$163	203	203	+0	Yes	+$5	05-20 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 18:43:13	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0x75e3f8…
06-03 18:36:55	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	261	11¢	$29	0x49d431…
06-03 18:35:34	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?	Yes	SELL	115	27¢	$31	0x396b2b…
06-03 17:12:37	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb8ba06…
06-03 16:56:18	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?	Yes	BUY	143	47¢	$68	0x65e505…
06-03 16:56:07	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?	Yes	BUY	105	45¢	$47	0x2507ec…
06-03 16:55:30	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?	No	SELL	96	72¢	$69	0x563812…
06-03 16:43:16	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?	Yes	BUY	204	44¢	$90	0x53ac38…
06-03 16:40:21	Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x56a61c…
06-03 16:33:00	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	140	15¢	$21	0xd4ea5a…
06-03 15:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xed60d6…
06-03 15:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x71eb86…
06-03 15:25:06	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?	No	BUY	96	82¢	$78	0xb4c248…
06-03 15:19:03	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?	Yes	BUY	140	35¢	$49	0xc3000b…
06-03 15:14:16	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xba7de1…
06-03 15:13:30	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	32	67¢	$21	0x15e462…
06-03 15:03:37	Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	SELL	150	58¢	$87	0xed2389…
06-03 14:59:52	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	SELL	141	6¢	$8	0xfba1d3…
06-03 12:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xe6599e…
06-03 11:47:31	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x5a7b57…
06-03 11:39:26	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x42ab59…
06-03 11:39:26	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x1a5abd…
06-03 11:39:24	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x4e9fbd…
06-03 11:31:46	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdcf733…
06-03 11:31:46	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xccf04d…
06-03 11:30:53	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xf7e7d6…
06-03 11:30:30	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1a7b99…
06-03 11:30:16	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9bc6da…
06-03 11:30:15	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x20a67a…
06-03 11:28:28	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xab645a…
06-03 02:50:10	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf506a6…
06-03 00:14:22	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	No	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0xd5885b…
06-02 21:38:49	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?	No	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x491b98…
06-02 21:36:41	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x6ad112…
06-02 16:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6c6f4a…
06-02 16:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0xd90ab6…
06-02 16:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5dc2e3…
06-02 16:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x96c920…
06-02 15:35:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	122	1¢	$2	0x5c3372…
06-02 15:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xdd9eeb…
06-02 15:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xcd8eb8…
06-02 15:13:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x016bfe…
06-02 15:08:43	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x90a2e7…
06-02 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x70cfc7…
06-02 12:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x167239…
06-02 12:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	79	44¢	$35	0x02bb84…
06-01 23:07:49	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa01cb9…
06-01 21:43:44	Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8882ae…
06-01 20:57:02	Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xb55fa0…
06-01 19:05:35	Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x0eee00…
06-01 18:43:01	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xd8e3f1…
06-01 18:42:50	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x286b10…
06-01 18:42:36	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xb78c8a…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xa7bb9c…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x97c692…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x767f87…
06-01 17:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x12bed4…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xdd58b8…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x976605…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x898dad…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7fe936…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x719a4a…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5efd7f…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e1475…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x5d9d38…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x58ad89…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3c4354…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x36a7d6…
06-01 17:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0a31d2…
06-01 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	49¢	$33	0xc6240f…
06-01 17:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x5303bb…
06-01 17:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xe2211b…
06-01 17:30:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x12c0f8…
06-01 17:30:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x5177dd…
06-01 17:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x58ef37…
06-01 17:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x1eede2…
06-01 17:29:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd162bf…
06-01 17:29:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7b6819…
06-01 17:29:17	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb9fdec…
06-01 17:29:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb7a0d0…
06-01 17:26:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc999a5…
06-01 17:03:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	279	100¢	$278	0xeef83d…
06-01 17:01:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	308	1¢	$3	0xa2600a…
06-01 15:30:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x033a94…
06-01 15:29:33	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xbf1ae6…
06-01 15:29:19	Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x26a56c…
06-01 15:28:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0x8544e2…
06-01 15:28:21	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	6¢	$24	0xf5c7a7…
06-01 15:21:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	216	47¢	$102	0x5703de…
06-01 15:20:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	272	22¢	$60	0x9f09c5…
06-01 14:49:20	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbddc9a…
06-01 14:48:52	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xf139db…
06-01 14:46:42	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x4b72d3…
06-01 14:35:32	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x34d905…
06-01 08:21:58	Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xa3a316…
06-01 07:32:58	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x2f26b3…
06-01 07:32:53	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xf491bb…
06-01 07:26:38	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe4d741…
06-01 06:03:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x8100ff…
06-01 05:40:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x48df8c…