Improbable-Workbench — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L (30d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved (30d)

33

Trades (30d)

47

47 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$65

$65 lifetime

Avg / trade

$1

Open exposure

$2

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up		+2	$1	92¢	$2	+$0	05-05 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down		+2	$2	36¢	$1	$-1	05-05 17:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 17:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-04 22:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 07:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-04 23:24
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-04 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 05:55
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 11:25
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-04 23:10
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 07:10
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 14:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 08:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-04 22:09
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:55
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 09:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 16:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 00:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:24
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 03:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-04 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x445676…
05-05 16:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x2d0c0a…
05-05 16:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd29b28…
05-05 14:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x670c57…
05-05 11:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xc8e3e2…
05-05 11:25:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x922026…
05-05 09:40:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xb8a7ad…
05-05 08:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x158540…
05-05 08:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x4a1291…
05-05 07:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe57c3c…
05-05 07:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x291896…
05-05 06:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x1bcd6a…
05-05 06:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x06c743…
05-05 05:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x9b0660…
05-05 05:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x66a5fc…
05-05 05:40:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x539314…
05-05 05:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x62c471…
05-05 04:55:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x830707…
05-05 04:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ff5a7…
05-05 03:25:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x5944d6…
05-05 03:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xa0177e…
05-05 03:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf07b65…
05-05 03:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd74429…
05-05 02:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xc66de5…
05-05 01:55:14	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x86f2d4…
05-05 01:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x057680…
05-05 01:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xd9211e…
05-05 01:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x44ad5f…
05-05 00:55:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x43f1a9…
05-05 00:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8e1eb5…
05-05 00:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x977f82…
05-05 00:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x152ed3…
05-05 00:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x362b60…
05-04 23:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x8966ad…
05-04 23:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x326cdf…
05-04 23:10:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xe0d3c6…
05-04 23:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x08bec5…
05-04 22:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x573b8e…
05-04 22:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa1c2d4…
05-04 22:39:54	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x600c65…
05-04 22:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x5ef89c…
05-04 22:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xc471f6…
05-04 21:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xc82b68…
05-04 21:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xa99200…
05-04 20:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x736b74…
05-04 20:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xa6bed8…
05-04 20:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xf509dc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	28	$2.76K	124	05-05 17:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	26	$10.9K	246	05-05 17:14
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	23	$793	100	05-05 17:14
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	22	$2.62K	78	05-05 17:14
Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705	16	$643	112	05-05 11:25
Bronze-Axis 0x7a53…ee8f	8	$645	56	05-05 11:41
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	8	$531	55	05-05 17:14
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	7	$599	36	05-05 17:14

Vike AI

Ask me anything about tokens, wallets, funding rates, or perps.

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