(anonymous) 0x49139a…ca2210
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Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
224
Trades
1,213
lifetime
Volume
$4.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$953
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 10-25 05:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
65% 68% -$59
Politics
23% 33% +$15
Tech
5% 17% -$3
Sports
5% 71% +$8
Crypto
2% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 484 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +298 $199 99¢ $295 +$96 09-29 13:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +59 $40 100¢ $58 +$18 09-29 16:24
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +73 $48 80¢ $58 +$10 09-30 11:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +100 $33 56¢ $56 +$23 09-29 16:07
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31 No +50 $36 100¢ $50 +$13 09-30 11:20
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +50 $44 96¢ $48 +$4 09-29 22:58
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +50 $39 95¢ $48 +$9 10-01 18:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $36 92¢ $46 +$10 09-29 06:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 Yes +100 $68 44¢ $44 -$24 09-29 16:07
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $43 86¢ $43 $0 09-29 03:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $34 84¢ $42 +$8 09-30 14:48
No one announced as next James Bond? No +49 $34 84¢ $41 +$7 10-01 12:38
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +29 $24 95¢ $27 +$4 10-02 02:16
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 09-29 13:39
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +73 $26 20¢ $15 -$11 09-30 11:05
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 64¢ $13 -$2 09-29 23:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +50 $16 16¢ $8 -$8 09-30 14:48
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +49 $15 16¢ $8 -$8 10-01 12:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +50 $8 15¢ $7 -$1 09-29 03:30
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 36¢ $7 +$2 09-29 23:16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +298 $102 2¢ $6 -$96 09-29 13:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $16 8¢ $4 -$11 09-29 06:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +50 $11 5¢ $2 -$9 10-01 18:37
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-01 19:50
will louisiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 Yes +50 $7 4¢ $2 -$5 09-29 22:58
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +29 $5 5¢ $1 -$4 10-02 02:16
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +59 $20 1¢ $1 -$19 09-29 16:24
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31 Yes +50 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 09-30 11:20
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-01 19:49
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 09-29 13:39