Live-Hacienda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$1.34K

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

5,240

lifetime

Volume

$262.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$2.52K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 07-22 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% — —

Politics

5% 67% +$6

Other

4% 60% +$23

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+4,900	$3,868	52¢	$2.5K	$-1,344	07-16 14:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781724300	27	$7.1K	6,937	3,005	+3,931	open	—	06-17 19:28
btc updown 5m 1781722800	6	$4.2K	4,354	371	+3,982	open	—	06-17 19:04
btc updown 5m 1781639400	34	$4.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	06-16 19:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$3.9K	4,900	0	+4,900	open	—	07-16 14:18
btc updown 5m 1781721300	54	$3.5K	1,916	1,916	+0	open	—	06-17 18:37
btc updown 5m 1781718900	45	$3.0K	3,150	135	+3,015	open	—	06-17 17:59
btc updown 5m 1781723400	3	$2.7K	2,335	788	+1,547	open	—	06-17 19:13
btc updown 5m 1781644200	12	$2.5K	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	06-16 21:35
btc updown 5m 1775604300	3	$2.4K	1,251	1,243	+8	open	—	04-07 23:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$2.0K	1,100	1,800	-700	open	—	06-26 13:41
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	15	$2.0K	1,210	1,310	-100	open	—	04-13 21:47
btc updown 5m 1781632200	5	$2.0K	2,077	1,173	+904	open	—	06-16 17:53
btc updown 5m 1781721000	1	$1.9K	1,919	0	+1,919	open	—	06-17 18:34
btc updown 5m 1781637300	24	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-16 19:18
btc updown 5m 1775233500	3	$1.9K	967	953	+14	open	—	04-03 16:29
btc updown 5m 1781633700	11	$1.9K	1,041	1,041	+0	open	—	06-16 18:19
btc updown 5m 1781717700	8	$1.8K	2,079	2,079	+0	open	—	06-17 17:39
btc updown 5m 1781635500	4	$1.8K	1,890	0	+1,890	open	—	06-16 18:49
btc updown 5m 1781718000	7	$1.8K	4,126	4,126	+0	open	—	06-17 17:43
btc updown 5m 1781762700	2	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-18 06:07
btc updown 5m 1781715900	4	$1.7K	1,356	1,356	+0	open	—	06-17 17:09
btc updown 5m 1781722200	3	$1.6K	1,632	959	+674	open	—	06-17 18:54
btc updown 5m 1781642700	2	$1.6K	822	822	+0	open	—	06-16 21:35
btc updown 5m 1781723100	4	$1.6K	1,783	569	+1,215	open	—	06-17 19:08
btc updown 5m 1781717400	6	$1.5K	1,552	743	+809	open	—	06-17 17:34
btc updown 5m 1781736300	4	$1.5K	1,245	245	+1,000	open	—	06-17 22:49
btc updown 5m 1775602800	5	$1.4K	723	721	+2	open	—	04-07 23:04
btc updown 5m 1781631000	2	$1.4K	1,176	1,176	+0	open	—	06-16 17:32
btc updown 5m 1775606400	2	$1.4K	1,403	0	+1,403	open	—	04-08 00:04
btc updown 5m 1781720400	3	$1.3K	1,339	312	+1,027	open	—	06-17 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 18:57:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x29af88…
07-22 18:57:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	295	95¢	$280	0x2ad2e0…
07-22 18:56:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$25	0x603a8e…
07-22 18:53:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x944a6a…
07-22 18:52:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	272	97¢	$262	0x3ae2b9…
07-21 21:16:28	btc updown 5m 1784668500	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x506d03…
07-21 21:16:15	btc updown 5m 1784668500	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x47d3a5…
07-16 14:18:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x619575…
07-05 22:01:38	will neymar score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145108553	Yes	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x708826…
07-05 02:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	75¢	$1,500	0x0da0dc…
07-04 10:41:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	313	80¢	$251	0xc0ff25…
07-04 10:41:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	687	80¢	$549	0x855c6c…
07-04 04:03:59	Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x50f189…
07-03 23:44:52	btc updown 5m 1783122000	Down	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xb5cb04…
07-03 19:39:32	btc updown 5m 1783107300	Up	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x6b1bc2…
07-03 19:39:29	btc updown 5m 1783107300	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x203add…
07-03 19:24:44	btc updown 5m 1783106400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb0df81…
07-03 19:24:44	btc updown 5m 1783106400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x776dcd…
07-03 19:24:43	btc updown 5m 1783106400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x55d2c7…
07-03 19:24:43	btc updown 5m 1783106400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x312b9b…
07-03 19:24:11	btc updown 5m 1783106400	Down	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x16e1fd…
07-01 22:24:37	btc updown 5m 1782944400	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5c7835…
07-01 20:51:59	btc updown 5m 1782939000	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x89a590…
07-01 20:48:10	btc updown 5m 1782938700	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x26e8bd…
07-01 20:44:43	btc updown 5m 1782938400	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x10d2f8…
06-28 04:34:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xe1f52e…
06-26 21:34:07	btc updown 5m 1782509400	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x6f20f3…
06-26 21:14:59	btc updown 5m 1782508200	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x70ae1d…
06-26 21:04:07	btc updown 5m 1782507600	Down	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x64153e…
06-26 21:03:46	btc updown 5m 1782507600	Down	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x5a5ee6…
06-26 20:59:50	btc updown 5m 1782507300	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xf0c27c…
06-26 20:54:50	btc updown 5m 1782507000	Down	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x7dee4e…
06-26 20:54:28	btc updown 5m 1782507000	Up	SELL	44	36¢	$16	0x1916ef…
06-26 20:53:11	btc updown 5m 1782507000	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x592f3b…
06-26 20:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,400	87¢	$1,218	0x87ea08…
06-26 13:41:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,100	90¢	$991	0xac0001…
06-26 04:26:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	387	85¢	$329	0xc04e6a…
06-26 04:26:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$11	0x40a969…
06-26 04:26:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x031b90…
06-25 10:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf29ead…
06-24 20:19:53	btc updown 5m 1782332100	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x778fc8…
06-24 20:19:13	btc updown 5m 1782332100	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd9fec6…
06-24 20:19:04	btc updown 5m 1782332100	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5f3c09…
06-24 20:14:50	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x69b366…
06-24 20:06:47	btc updown 5m 1782331500	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x87bbd9…
06-24 20:06:47	btc updown 5m 1782331500	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x504388…
06-24 20:06:47	btc updown 5m 1782331500	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x475354…
06-24 20:06:46	btc updown 5m 1782331500	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xab66ef…
06-24 20:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7892b…
06-24 20:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xd4991a…
06-24 20:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x93849b…
06-24 20:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x8d0c98…
06-24 20:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3896b6…
06-24 20:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x3219a0…
06-24 20:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0e8e19…
06-24 20:02:10	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x788b65…
06-24 20:02:10	btc updown 5m 1782331200	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c46a1…
06-24 19:51:16	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x1bff51…
06-24 19:50:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x93f865…
06-24 18:59:50	btc updown 5m 1782327300	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2cd18f…
06-24 18:59:28	btc updown 5m 1782327300	Up	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x7a5a80…
06-24 18:59:08	btc updown 5m 1782327300	Up	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x4ea68f…
06-24 15:44:47	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x178046…
06-23 20:14:43	btc updown 5m 1782245400	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xad4fe7…
06-23 20:13:56	btc updown 5m 1782245400	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc70403…
06-23 20:13:50	btc updown 5m 1782245400	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x94a996…
06-23 20:09:31	btc updown 5m 1782245100	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xdc9f5a…
06-23 20:09:31	btc updown 5m 1782245100	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xab43ef…
06-23 20:08:05	btc updown 5m 1782245100	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x620dfc…
06-23 18:59:55	btc updown 5m 1782240900	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc538fe…
06-23 18:54:38	btc updown 5m 1782240600	Up	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x1a797e…
06-23 18:04:13	btc updown 5m 1782237600	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x65ddd0…
06-23 18:04:10	btc updown 5m 1782237600	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xc240da…
06-23 18:04:10	btc updown 5m 1782237600	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x9781e5…
06-23 18:04:10	btc updown 5m 1782237600	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x24d9b4…
06-23 17:59:04	btc updown 5m 1782237300	Down	SELL	24	91¢	$21	0xa1dee2…
06-23 17:58:41	btc updown 5m 1782237300	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x41bd3f…
06-23 17:49:37	btc updown 5m 1782236700	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x22ba3a…
06-23 17:39:19	btc updown 5m 1782236100	Down	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x151c25…
06-23 17:38:40	btc updown 5m 1782236100	Up	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0xd06352…
06-23 17:37:17	btc updown 5m 1782236100	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9081be…
06-23 16:39:16	btc updown 5m 1782232500	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x822d58…
06-23 04:29:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	93¢	$558	0xabc82c…
06-22 22:03:34	btc updown 5m 1782165600	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x50dea6…
06-22 22:03:16	btc updown 5m 1782165600	Up	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x967c58…
06-22 21:58:44	btc updown 5m 1782165300	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xee6a73…
06-22 21:57:43	btc updown 5m 1782165300	Up	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0x55c28f…
06-22 21:56:59	btc updown 5m 1782165300	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6894d3…
06-22 21:54:47	btc updown 5m 1782165000	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x3f2bfc…
06-22 21:49:02	btc updown 5m 1782164700	Up	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xd22259…
06-22 21:29:52	btc updown 5m 1782163500	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x324203…
06-22 21:29:35	btc updown 5m 1782163500	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xdbb908…
06-22 21:14:47	btc updown 5m 1782162600	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6ae77e…
06-22 19:49:04	btc updown 5m 1782157500	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x336fc7…
06-22 19:48:17	btc updown 5m 1782157500	Down	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x612844…
06-22 19:38:31	btc updown 5m 1782156900	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7f1a6c…
06-22 19:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782156600	Up	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xa79b5d…
06-22 19:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782156600	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x63cd8d…
06-22 19:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782156600	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5c944c…
06-22 19:34:04	btc updown 5m 1782156600	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x3dc653…