Realized P&L (24h)
Unrealized P&L
-$96
Hit rate
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
1
5 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$150
$662 lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$768
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-07 07:33
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51%
Other
49%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -697 $-223 48¢ $-338 $-115 05-06 05:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +500 $150 31¢ $155 +$5 05-07 07:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -750 $-188 20¢ $-154 +$34 05-06 09:04
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -95 $-70 76¢ $-72 $-2 05-05 17:32
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? Yes -148 $-31 33¢ $-49 $-18 05-06 06:19