Physical-Citizen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$222

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

7,752

Trades

8,503

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-30 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% +$224

Other

1% 45% -$19

Sports

1% 68% +$15

Politics

1% 53% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	—	+15	$8	100¢	$15	+$7	10-30 10:18
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes		-19	-$5	7¢	$-1	+$3	04-29 06:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:20 UTC	3	$82	95	89	+6	Up	+$58	04-20 11:25
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score	4	$73	55	55	+0	No	+$3	06-01 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:45 UTC	8	$63	82	78	+5	Down	+$25	04-20 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:00 UTC	4	$58	90	85	+6	Down	+$36	04-20 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:50 UTC	9	$47	63	60	+3	Down	+$6	04-20 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:00 UTC	8	$46	82	78	+4	Up	+$9	04-20 11:04
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$42	35	35	+0	Yes	+$2	05-10 20:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$40	35	35	+0	No	$0	04-22 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$36	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	09-09 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:55 UTC	6	$30	55	52	+3	Down	-$2	04-20 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:55 UTC	6	$29	142	25	+117	Down	-$4	04-20 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:35 UTC	6	$29	51	24	+26	Up	-$4	04-20 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:45 UTC	6	$28	29	28	+1	Up	+$6	04-20 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Up	-$25	09-07 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 07:30 UTC	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	09-07 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:10 UTC	3	$24	36	31	+6	Down	+$2	04-20 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 10:50 UTC	5	$24	30	25	+5	Down	+$2	04-20 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:15 UTC	4	$23	24	23	+1	Down	+$4	04-22 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:25 UTC	4	$23	25	24	+1	Down	+$3	04-20 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	7	$21	29	27	+2	Up	+$1	05-04 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	-$20	09-07 06:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-22 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	Down	-$20	09-07 03:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	$0	04-22 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:15 UTC	4	$19	36	22	+14	Up	-$3	04-20 11:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-07 10:00 UTC	1	$18	35	0	+35	Up	+$17	09-07 09:58
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$18	37	0	+37	Up	-$18	05-25 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:45 UTC	3	$18	15	8	+7	Down	-$3	04-20 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$18	33	0	+33	Down	-$18	09-07 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$17	33	0	+33	Up	-$17	09-08 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:18:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xdbc49a…
10-30 03:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xf836c5…
10-30 03:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x906feb…
10-30 03:38:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x236c1f…
10-30 03:33:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x4ab6d8…
10-30 03:28:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xfa1504…
10-30 02:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xcae9b9…
10-30 01:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xa940f0…
10-30 01:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x6866e8…
10-30 01:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xf30ba8…
10-30 01:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x825978…
10-30 00:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xcf6765…
10-30 00:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x24a8fa…
10-30 00:33:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x873655…
10-30 00:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x2686e1…
10-30 00:23:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xf00cc9…
10-30 00:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xaa2006…
10-30 00:18:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x854d58…
10-30 00:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x1052b1…
10-29 21:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xa78a17…
10-29 20:58:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xfc6366…
10-29 20:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xed8c57…
10-29 20:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x77c0be…
10-29 20:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf78cd3…
10-29 20:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd238c1…
10-29 20:43:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x9d28ef…
10-29 20:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x8869aa…
10-29 20:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x08e543…
10-29 20:33:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x55f0f1…
10-29 17:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xd5adc8…
10-29 17:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x88b3e2…
10-29 17:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x2b66b1…
10-29 04:58:58	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xa9549d…
10-29 04:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x8e498e…
10-29 02:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x4fa01f…
10-29 02:28:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xc1c34f…
10-29 02:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xe71fd5…
10-29 02:13:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xb47137…
10-29 02:13:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x792a76…
10-29 02:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x37636e…
10-29 02:08:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x243d46…
10-29 02:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xc1c88c…
10-29 01:53:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x378549…
10-29 01:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x4fef3b…
10-29 01:48:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb83dc6…
10-29 01:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x8717f6…
10-29 01:48:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x2991a9…
10-29 01:43:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xa42f72…
10-29 01:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xeec0b3…
10-29 01:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xce06b6…
10-29 01:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x90b0db…
10-29 01:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe6969e…
10-29 01:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xda4f09…
10-29 01:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xebdb8d…
10-29 01:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x0fb8a6…
10-29 01:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xe0c63a…
10-29 01:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xe4268f…
10-29 01:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xfa80b9…
10-28 20:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x37085a…
10-28 20:03:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x2a9c19…
10-28 19:58:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x51be1d…
10-28 19:58:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x3ca351…
10-28 19:48:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x45859d…
10-28 19:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x0f5a89…
10-28 19:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x5306dc…
10-28 18:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe3b0fc…
10-28 18:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x6cd5f9…
10-28 18:38:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x57d2ea…
10-28 18:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xaa9f28…
10-28 17:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x051035…
10-28 17:48:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x863252…
10-28 17:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x46ffcf…
10-28 17:48:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x1cf8d9…
10-28 17:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xfa6374…
10-28 17:43:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe4208f…
10-28 13:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x5ba325…
10-28 13:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x875dec…
10-28 12:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf173e5…
10-28 12:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xbb3543…
10-28 12:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x75d9ad…
10-28 12:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9bee9b…
10-28 12:13:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7924b3…
10-28 12:13:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x431ad3…
10-28 12:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x014120…
10-28 12:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcf5595…
10-28 12:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6c95ed…
10-28 10:28:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x877b6a…
10-28 10:23:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x988643…
10-28 10:03:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf3e30e…
10-28 08:43:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa0e519…
10-28 08:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x975a1c…
10-28 08:38:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x47201b…
10-28 08:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x07a071…
10-28 08:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xfd91c3…
10-28 08:33:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa54055…
10-28 08:28:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x54bda6…
10-28 08:28:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x53fd5d…
10-28 08:28:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x50a39b…
10-28 08:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3b5dc2…
10-28 08:23:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x789d0a…