Embarrassed-Age — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.23K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

3,173

Trades

5,073

lifetime

Volume

$40.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-31 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

95% 66% +$1,116

Politics

2% 64% +$25

Sports

1% 61% +$89

Crypto

1% 60% +$31

Tech

0% 33% -$29

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+40	$19	99¢	$40	+$21	10-28 01:01
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+20	$10	85¢	$17	+$7	08-02 13:23
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	+20	$15	83¢	$17	+$2	08-05 17:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+15	$13	90¢	$14	+$1	06-29 13:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+15	$12	82¢	$12	+$0	06-29 13:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+10	$9	88¢	$9	+$0	06-29 13:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	+10	$4	82¢	$8	+$4	08-11 07:06
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	$0	06-29 13:47
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+20	$11	18¢	$4	-$7	08-11 13:56
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+80	$31	2¢	$2	-$29	10-28 10:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?	19	$366	188	188	+0	No	+$10	06-08 08:39
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?	10	$216	109	109	+0	No	+$2	06-08 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 4?	1	$209	238	0	+238	No	+$29	07-04 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 17?	15	$206	211	0	+211	No	+$4	08-17 02:55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	2	$187	197	0	+197	Yes	-$187	08-19 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?	17	$187	268	0	+268	No	+$82	08-17 02:57
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$169	112	112	+0	No	+$55	05-30 19:11
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?	10	$150	82	82	+0	No	+$13	06-08 01:47
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?	19	$145	78	77	+0	No	+$10	06-08 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?	7	$105	108	0	+108	No	+$2	08-17 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?	15	$101	212	0	+212	No	+$111	08-17 02:55
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?	8	$92	58	58	+0	No	+$24	05-25 20:52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	8	$83	50	50	+0	No	+$16	05-26 16:06
Will Angola win on 2026-06-05?	9	$83	53	53	+0	No	+$23	06-05 21:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	4	$81	160	0	+160	No	+$79	08-19 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?	1	$80	128	0	+128	Yes	-$80	07-04 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 19?	3	$79	80	0	+80	No	+$1	08-19 07:01
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-12?	6	$78	100	0	+100	No	+$22	08-13 01:23
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay?	10	$74	79	0	+79	No	+$5	06-13 03:01
Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?	6	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$7	06-01 18:51
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?	17	$73	234	0	+234	Yes	-$73	07-17 03:00
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01?	6	$73	80	0	+80	No	+$7	08-01 18:21
Will CR Brasil vs. São Bernardo FC end in a draw?	5	$68	40	40	+0	No	+$12	06-07 21:33
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-07?	5	$68	40	40	+0	No	+$12	06-07 21:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	5	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$1	06-08 08:07
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-07-16?	4	$66	67	0	+67	No	+$1	07-17 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?	5	$66	40	40	+0	No	+$14	05-31 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	4	$66	35	35	+0	No	+$4	05-26 09:22
Will UMF Stjarnan win on 2026-07-16?	5	$66	80	0	+80	No	+$14	07-16 18:51
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	4	$65	85	0	+85	No	+$20	10-04 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:05:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xc84b16…
10-30 19:00:04	Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x7d87f1…
10-30 19:00:04	Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x76573e…
10-30 12:30:36	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf03aa2…
10-30 12:30:03	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xbbba22…
10-30 09:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x6b7dbe…
10-30 09:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$33	0x9d476a…
10-30 08:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xf9d2c7…
10-30 08:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xeeb6e9…
10-30 08:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x4aee71…
10-29 04:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb565a2…
10-29 04:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdb34d5…
10-28 20:09:23	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$29	0x8203b1…
10-28 20:09:22	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0xb01f74…
10-28 17:06:25	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x22a19b…
10-28 10:40:46	Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x503cb2…
10-28 10:40:44	Gamba Osaka vs. Buriram United: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x58e845…
10-28 10:40:44	Gamba Osaka leading at halftime?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x126074…
10-28 10:38:46	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x984b0b…
10-28 10:38:43	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x4766b8…
10-28 07:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0xfedf53…
10-28 01:01:09	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xf436f5…
10-27 15:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x90679d…
10-27 12:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x55ec05…
10-27 01:18:26	Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe50a28…
10-27 01:18:26	Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xa07e28…
10-27 01:18:26	Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x5d7cf4…
10-26 19:16:36	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xb98c6e…
10-26 19:16:35	Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x06135d…
10-26 14:57:15	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2700 on October 27?	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xf2a7d5…
10-26 10:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x210822…
10-26 07:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x973c0b…
10-26 06:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x6c6e66…
10-25 14:17:08	Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$31	0xd952c1…
10-25 14:17:08	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x74b290…
10-25 06:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x39108b…
10-25 03:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	No	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xf43f39…
10-25 02:31:18	Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x815827…
10-25 01:52:27	Will Santos FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x729500…
10-24 22:22:38	SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x8ebd34…
10-24 13:42:32	Will Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6d2b12…
10-24 13:42:32	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5206c7…
10-24 11:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x7efac6…
10-24 10:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x79d27c…
10-24 02:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 24?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2b0b91…
10-24 02:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 24?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x4ebe3c…
10-23 22:14:38	Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xc0fe96…
10-23 19:07:30	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x012efe…
10-23 18:58:09	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x1aa37f…
10-23 10:30:05	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x76a656…
10-23 05:10:02	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 23?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbb27f5…
10-23 03:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 23?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x78ec6e…
10-23 03:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x0b84cf…
10-22 20:03:53	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xf3d2ea…
10-22 20:03:53	Will Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xeed260…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x30419a…
10-22 18:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	37	61¢	$23	0xef2de5…
10-22 10:23:03	Will PSM Makassar vs. Persebaya Surabaya end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x2e1a51…
10-21 18:23:57	Athletic Club leading at halftime?	No	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x0e3e8e…
10-20 14:54:20	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 20?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x677206…
10-20 11:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfb4d31…
10-20 11:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9f8cab…
10-20 11:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x644c59…
10-20 11:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x59c30b…
10-19 22:33:54	Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xbd4e6a…
10-19 22:33:54	Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xb733b5…
10-19 15:04:50	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x8ec515…
10-19 15:04:50	Will FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești end in a draw?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x4690e8…
10-19 15:04:50	Will FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Argeș Pitești end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x33c8bc…
10-19 15:04:50	Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x259121…
10-19 06:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1da038…
10-19 00:05:08	Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xc3f7b4…
10-19 00:05:08	Will CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x2ebfad…
10-18 12:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 18?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xebdf32…
10-18 12:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 18?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xafd2de…
10-18 12:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x454def…
10-18 04:05:53	Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x0b1e72…
10-18 04:05:32	Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x1ddbfd…
10-18 02:17:45	Will Orange County SC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x3b8c1c…
10-18 02:17:45	Will Orange County SC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0x37ab65…
10-18 02:15:41	Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x85c175…
10-18 02:15:41	Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x44a0f3…
10-17 23:04:35	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xc46b45…
10-17 15:23:26	Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x35867f…
10-17 15:17:51	Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x9ab656…
10-17 15:17:51	Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4fc8e3…
10-17 15:14:30	Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa302fa…
10-17 15:14:30	Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x7a8bee…
10-17 14:48:02	Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xb63b01…
10-17 14:48:02	Will Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x0c5824…
10-17 14:31:44	Will APO Levadiakos FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xfae426…
10-17 13:55:17	FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	29	89¢	$25	0xe09dce…
10-17 13:55:17	FC Schalke 04 leading at halftime?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x765b7a…
10-17 13:47:51	Will SV Werder Bremen vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xd21499…
10-17 13:47:51	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x3dc8d8…
10-17 13:32:48	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x723588…
10-17 13:32:45	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf36c6d…
10-17 13:32:45	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x330bb5…
10-17 12:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 17?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x5ca87b…
10-17 06:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x479450…