Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$78

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-04 05:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

77% 65% +$6

Politics

23% 42% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-25 14:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on september 11 2026	2	$3	6	+6	Up	-$1	09-11 06:16
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	09-26 07:48
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 09:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-13 00:19
Will Macy's say "China" during earnings call?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-09 01:11
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:33
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 06:27
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-13 23:02
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-24 03:12
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-11 15:20
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-16 15:33
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 15:39
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-23 06:26
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-16 07:32
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-09 17:38
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-15 23:31
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Down	-$2	09-10 08:28
Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $640?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 18:17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 13:45
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 19:35
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-07 22:22
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 08:43
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-16 01:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-20 07:24
will nflx reach 70 by october 5 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-05 00:23
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 05:37
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	11-01 19:34
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	11-03 07:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	11-02 03:34
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:32:25	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0a00c2…
11-03 07:38:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94f035…
11-02 11:35:25	Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd42a7e…
11-02 03:34:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x342b2b…
11-01 19:34:36	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x66af17…
11-01 05:26:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x44e124…
10-30 02:09:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe5e8b7…
10-29 17:14:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x989bd7…
10-29 08:12:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x047036…
10-27 12:11:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0d6b9d…
10-27 03:32:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3f2f80…
10-26 07:08:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x297f21…
10-25 23:08:38	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x509600…
10-25 14:34:14	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x806ed7…
10-25 05:37:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa1d3aa…
10-24 16:10:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd0ea8a…
10-23 16:47:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2ad4ce…
10-20 07:24:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb22a33…
10-19 23:23:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7b7004…
10-19 15:23:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8d23c4…
10-19 06:58:56	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x00f3b7…
10-18 22:58:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb2f36c…
10-18 13:10:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x607852…
10-17 19:39:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x50e486…
10-17 08:43:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x696521…
10-16 12:25:52	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x02c7f6…
10-16 01:51:15	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x207d9d…
10-15 16:38:52	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6b6bdf…
10-15 08:31:32	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x520d34…
10-15 00:23:05	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfc250d…
10-14 15:37:00	spy closes above 770 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb4dd3c…
10-14 07:14:47	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2781bf…
10-13 22:44:04	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x69f0c2…
10-11 14:34:45	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf4b072…
10-11 05:09:17	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcbebc6…
10-10 19:35:57	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x721de6…
10-09 11:19:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x29cc08…
10-09 03:17:26	spx up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xba7cda…
10-08 19:17:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc3bf82…
10-07 22:22:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x965a40…
10-05 00:31:43	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x74ae82…
10-05 00:23:23	will nflx reach 70 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd41e46…
10-01 10:51:50	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa1aa14…
09-27 00:59:32	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfce2ec…
09-26 07:48:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3f1e12…
09-26 07:25:56	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3ae2b3…
09-25 04:50:44	spy closes above 770 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa1d1b0…
09-24 19:19:53	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x72066c…
09-24 11:12:38	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe6d652…
09-24 03:12:20	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2ea00c…
09-23 06:26:19	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5606ae…
09-19 07:33:27	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xbf2ae6…
09-16 15:33:21	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x567a55…
09-16 07:32:09	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x33ce48…
09-15 23:31:40	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x406fe1…
09-13 23:02:30	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0x75e622…
09-13 00:19:36	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x091651…
09-11 15:20:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x772857…
09-11 06:16:42	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x37d394…
09-11 04:22:42	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x2f30a5…
09-10 18:17:01	Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $640?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x6db41d…
09-10 08:28:39	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x9dca9b…
09-09 17:38:34	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x1d928f…
09-09 09:37:06	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0x3bdcbb…
09-09 01:11:57	Will Macy's say "China" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x3320a6…
09-08 15:39:33	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x2c3523…
09-08 06:27:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xffd6b2…
09-07 13:45:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb8e26a…