Stunning-Postfix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$908

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

647

Trades

2,471

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-14 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Politics

48% 26% +$242

Other

29% 20% -$627

Crypto

22% 27% -$515

Sports

1% 7% -$7

Tech

0% 14% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 17% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+10	$7	94¢	$9	+$3	05-21 10:59
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+10	$6	73¢	$7	+$1	05-23 14:54
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	05-24 13:42
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$4	27¢	$3	-$1	05-23 15:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+10	$3	6¢	$1	-$3	05-21 17:24
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+5	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-21 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	31	$2.7K	4,640	4,937	-297	No	+$273	02-28 21:36
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	12	$2.3K	1,233	1,233	+0	No	+$104	01-23 00:34
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	4	$1.3K	714	714	+0	Yes	-$1	01-23 00:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	12	$1.2K	705	705	+0	Yes	+$65	03-08 21:21
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	3	$1.2K	647	647	+0	No	+$12	01-20 17:32
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	63	$1.2K	3,488	3,698	-210	No	-$371	01-19 13:34
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	8	$907	493	493	+0	Yes	+$18	03-01 09:29
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	4	$851	1,608	1,608	+0	No	-$111	01-12 08:23
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	9	$810	428	428	+0	No	+$33	01-15 18:18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	3	$616	440	440	+0	No	+$53	01-23 01:06
maduro mugshot released by january 9	11	$562	345	345	+0	No	+$23	01-06 20:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	10	$561	526	526	+0	No	-$374	03-25 05:14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	4	$407	509	509	+0	Yes	+$0	01-13 15:08
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	5	$367	199	199	+0	No	+$30	01-15 07:37
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	11	$314	470	470	+0	Yes	-$15	01-15 00:05
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	4	$307	167	167	+0	No	+$8	01-16 17:40
maduro mugshot released by monday	4	$304	160	160	+0	No	+$15	01-06 06:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$304	319	319	+0	Yes	+$17	03-03 20:51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$268	200	200	+0	Yes	+$20	03-02 20:11
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$247	163	163	+0	No	+$40	03-02 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 00:45 UTC	1	$178	200	0	+200	Down	-$178	01-23 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:45 UTC	105	$176	2,019	0	+2,019	Up	-$71	03-27 20:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$153	148	194	-46	Yes	-$28	03-03 20:52
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$137	70	70	+0	No	+$1	01-15 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 20:40 UTC	79	$137	1,806	0	+1,806	Down	-$48	03-27 20:44
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 2pm et	40	$122	170	81	+89	Down	+$0	04-10 19:53
will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	4	$119	135	118	+17	No	-$5	03-10 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:45 UTC	2	$100	278	0	+278	Down	-$100	03-28 19:50
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:45 UTC	5	$96	80	79	+1	Up	+$0	01-21 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 18:15 UTC	2	$86	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	01-20 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 03:10:24	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x88065e…
06-12 03:56:49	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8d6009…
06-10 06:59:22	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xcd602a…
06-01 21:09:29	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x8f5551…
06-01 15:31:11	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xe9d76d…
06-01 12:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb1d22d…
06-01 12:42:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x585a94…
06-01 12:31:35	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbcc935…
06-01 12:22:48	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdd2dd4…
06-01 12:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd08c9e…
06-01 11:50:29	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x348bbd…
06-01 11:48:46	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x543f2f…
06-01 11:46:33	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x8249aa…
06-01 11:14:03	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x78daa7…
06-01 11:13:44	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfba1cf…
06-01 11:13:42	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0cc61d…
06-01 10:50:57	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xb39f12…
06-01 10:50:52	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x96027c…
06-01 10:09:30	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2071bc…
06-01 10:08:12	Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8b7ffc…
06-01 09:36:54	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4c470c…
06-01 09:04:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x66919a…
06-01 08:14:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xfc2177…
06-01 08:08:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x23b5e5…
06-01 08:08:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4da5ea…
06-01 08:07:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x72cd64…
06-01 07:45:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x4394e6…
06-01 07:41:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf76b92…
06-01 02:07:51	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc091a6…
05-31 19:05:15	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa69951…
05-31 18:48:06	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6ceda2…
05-31 17:39:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0180cb…
05-31 16:29:42	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcead8d…
05-31 15:29:55	Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x37a25e…
05-31 15:19:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x9c3a9e…
05-31 15:18:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1205c2…
05-31 14:12:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa69ebb…
05-31 13:53:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe11eff…
05-31 13:52:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb62f8d…
05-31 13:52:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf3a233…
05-31 13:45:12	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xabba3b…
05-31 13:07:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x449170…
05-31 13:00:19	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x240d28…
05-31 12:31:18	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc707eb…
05-31 12:14:47	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x94f620…
05-31 12:09:34	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0cc418…
05-31 12:02:13	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8cb962…
05-31 11:59:58	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc17d33…
05-31 11:59:48	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc824f6…
05-31 11:45:48	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd7d017…
05-31 08:02:51	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xeaa473…
05-31 07:35:42	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x19fccd…
05-31 07:32:50	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdddf19…
05-31 07:03:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb53817…
05-31 07:02:55	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0f3b7a…
05-31 07:01:34	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x62ca4d…
05-31 05:26:27	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2ecf2f…
05-31 05:17:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x97633a…
05-31 05:17:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd9f93b…
05-31 05:16:50	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa1264f…
05-31 02:10:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef210d…
05-30 23:27:46	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe4bfb0…
05-30 23:09:22	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc560ff…
05-30 20:56:29	Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf03a72…
05-30 18:54:51	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5eb6c2…
05-30 16:55:56	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs	BOMBA Team	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4a3ea9…
05-30 16:53:12	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs	BOMBA Team	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x940fe9…
05-30 16:48:04	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs	Barcząca Esports	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x53631c…
05-30 16:38:56	Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50aed1…
05-30 16:25:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8eb1af…
05-30 16:10:07	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdef144…
05-30 16:09:48	Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x877125…
05-30 15:33:17	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf59049…
05-30 15:33:10	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x3e914a…
05-30 15:32:59	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x3722ce…
05-30 15:26:06	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x42fcda…
05-30 15:25:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc4a255…
05-30 15:24:28	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xb8e85f…
05-30 15:23:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x183b6a…
05-30 15:18:02	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x4e8559…
05-30 15:17:35	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x9a875f…
05-30 15:17:34	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x7e897f…
05-30 15:17:27	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x3e8cbf…
05-30 14:50:38	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc54c5c…
05-30 14:50:37	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdbf945…
05-30 14:50:23	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7b501c…
05-30 14:41:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe4140d…
05-30 14:35:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xec3aea…
05-30 13:54:58	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x59e82f…
05-30 13:38:31	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4145d7…
05-30 13:36:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x840fcc…
05-30 13:33:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4f0987…
05-30 13:27:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf9d370…
05-30 13:27:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0x18dc9d…
05-30 13:09:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6ff67f…
05-30 12:57:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xd2ca5f…
05-30 12:56:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x1c039e…
05-30 12:53:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x4f43e8…
05-30 12:52:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x65f532…
05-30 12:49:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc66ec0…