Grouchy-Reality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.71K

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

858

Trades

6,879

lifetime

Volume

$82.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$403

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-28 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

98% 47% +$3,138

Sports

1% 54% -$377

Politics

1% 50% -$7

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 0% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+1,089	$342	34¢	$375	+$33	10-28 13:43
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No		+81	$27	34¢	$28	+$1	10-11 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	124	$1.9K	1,253	1,003	+250	No	+$259	08-24 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?	49	$1.9K	1,135	1,135	+0	Yes	+$70	08-28 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	156	$1.9K	1,035	1,035	+0	Yes	+$143	08-27 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	21	$1.6K	933	933	+0	Yes	+$232	08-26 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 29?	46	$1.5K	767	767	+0	No	+$39	08-29 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 16?	7	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Yes	+$21	09-16 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 3?	5	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$19	09-03 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 29?	44	$1.3K	701	701	+0	Yes	+$53	08-29 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	12	$1.3K	1,260	117	+1,143	Yes	+$54	08-30 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	22	$1.2K	591	580	+11	No	+$4	08-22 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 23?	19	$1.1K	686	686	+0	Yes	-$11	09-23 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 12?	23	$999	620	620	+0	Yes	+$24	09-12 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?	65	$909	525	525	+0	Yes	+$60	09-15 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 10?	20	$838	479	479	+0	Yes	+$102	09-10 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?	50	$749	480	480	+0	Yes	+$51	07-29 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 29?	16	$713	566	566	+0	No	-$11	08-29 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22?	24	$711	517	517	+0	Yes	+$54	09-22 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 11?	12	$706	380	380	+0	Yes	+$53	09-11 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	24	$706	706	274	+432	Yes	+$25	10-01 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	28	$701	388	388	+0	Yes	+$74	09-19 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	29	$698	610	610	+0	Yes	+$110	08-19 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26?	24	$680	525	260	+265	Yes	-$2	09-26 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18?	3	$620	380	380	+0	Yes	+$140	09-18 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?	43	$605	392	392	+0	Yes	+$15	06-19 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?	39	$588	480	480	+0	Yes	+$197	06-17 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 15?	2	$571	287	287	+0	No	+$3	09-15 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 29?	6	$570	374	374	+0	No	+$1	08-29 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 10?	7	$563	383	383	+0	No	-$3	09-10 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?	28	$547	364	364	+0	Yes	+$2	08-06 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 3?	18	$547	497	152	+344	Yes	+$59	10-03 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:43:17	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xef6135…
10-28 06:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x44d780…
10-28 05:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x717772…
10-28 05:33:41	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x50f191…
10-28 05:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	87	5¢	$4	0x049ad2…
10-28 04:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xea0e08…
10-28 04:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x985337…
10-28 04:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	37	29¢	$11	0x0fb011…
10-28 04:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x01ce30…
10-28 04:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x2d662b…
10-28 04:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xeb01de…
10-28 04:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1002d9…
10-28 04:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4e58b8…
10-28 04:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x2123a7…
10-28 04:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x83f6cd…
10-28 04:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x75d503…
10-28 04:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0xec02fd…
10-28 04:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x91be8f…
10-28 03:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb4348f…
10-28 03:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xcd3bb7…
10-28 03:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x904f55…
10-28 03:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x1b681d…
10-28 03:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0xbd225c…
10-28 03:01:42	Spread: Knicks (-21.5)	Pistons	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6bbc14…
10-28 02:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x7f897e…
10-28 02:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x20a4fd…
10-28 02:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x67712f…
10-28 02:14:36	Spread: Knicks (-21.5)	Pistons	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe63636…
10-28 02:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xa0e657…
10-28 02:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x05e939…
10-28 02:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xba81e4…
10-28 02:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xf82334…
10-28 00:21:33	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xe75135…
10-27 16:27:03	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xe0acc6…
10-27 16:22:26	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xfe579c…
10-27 15:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xf88297…
10-27 14:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x37e381…
10-27 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x84a235…
10-27 08:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x2add5c…
10-27 08:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xae9073…
10-27 07:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb02901…
10-27 07:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x28b938…
10-27 07:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0x8e4a81…
10-27 07:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xb3e782…
10-27 07:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xe02c04…
10-27 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0x8a76df…
10-27 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3f787f…
10-27 06:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0xa734e6…
10-27 06:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xf960af…
10-27 06:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0x921c74…
10-27 06:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xaccff1…
10-27 06:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x28e337…
10-27 06:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x623d94…
10-27 06:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x60aa87…
10-27 06:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x238a81…
10-27 05:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xe62b2f…
10-27 05:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	56	12¢	$7	0x3805ad…
10-27 05:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	56	26¢	$14	0x0b4fac…
10-27 05:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x70df67…
10-27 05:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x77e088…
10-27 05:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x98f1fa…
10-27 05:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xbede82…
10-27 05:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	77	10¢	$8	0x38223c…
10-27 05:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf8e7ac…
10-27 03:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8fd266…
10-27 03:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x946db8…
10-27 01:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x87dc1b…
10-27 01:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0xefc1f5…
10-27 01:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xaf6dae…
10-26 18:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x6c550d…
10-26 09:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0x042853…
10-26 01:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfc328a…
10-26 01:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x897ff9…
10-26 01:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x3a672e…
10-26 01:29:26	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xbfbc32…
10-26 01:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x903ec3…
10-26 01:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x375077…
10-26 01:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x902139…
10-26 01:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xecb61b…
10-26 01:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0xe5a012…
10-25 16:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x4d6ea9…
10-25 09:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4305a5…
10-25 08:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc10fb5…
10-25 07:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc7549e…
10-25 07:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0xb58c63…
10-25 07:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa9e094…
10-25 07:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd9c066…
10-25 07:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x21d5d8…
10-25 07:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb74a1c…
10-25 07:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xded35d…
10-25 07:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0adb44…
10-25 07:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x35d613…
10-25 07:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd70dfc…
10-25 07:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xd60cdf…
10-25 07:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0x180363…
10-25 07:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd44db9…
10-25 07:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfb4746…
10-25 07:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xf2ab6f…
10-25 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0xe46018…
10-25 06:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1fa849…