Grouchy-Reality — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$134

Unrealized P&L

+$59

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

184

7,224 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.03K

$84.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$620

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 11-13 06:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

98% 46% +$3,380

Sports

1% 54% -$377

Politics

1% 50% -$7

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 0% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+1,604	$508	35¢	$566	+$58	11-13 06:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No		+159	$54	34¢	$55	+$1	11-12 08:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	124	$1.9K	1,253	1,003	+250	No	+$259	08-24 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?	49	$1.9K	1,135	1,135	+0	Yes	+$70	08-28 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	156	$1.9K	1,035	1,035	+0	Yes	+$143	08-27 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	21	$1.6K	933	933	+0	Yes	+$232	08-26 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 29?	46	$1.5K	767	767	+0	No	+$39	08-29 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 16?	7	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Yes	+$21	09-16 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 3?	5	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$19	09-03 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 29?	44	$1.3K	701	701	+0	Yes	+$53	08-29 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	12	$1.3K	1,260	117	+1,143	Yes	+$54	08-30 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	22	$1.2K	591	580	+11	No	+$4	08-22 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 23?	19	$1.1K	686	686	+0	Yes	-$11	09-23 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 12?	23	$999	620	620	+0	Yes	+$24	09-12 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?	65	$909	525	525	+0	Yes	+$60	09-15 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 10?	20	$838	479	479	+0	Yes	+$102	09-10 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?	50	$749	480	480	+0	Yes	+$51	07-29 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 29?	16	$713	566	566	+0	No	-$11	08-29 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22?	24	$711	517	517	+0	Yes	+$54	09-22 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 11?	12	$706	380	380	+0	Yes	+$53	09-11 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	24	$706	706	274	+432	Yes	+$25	10-01 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	28	$701	388	388	+0	Yes	+$74	09-19 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	29	$698	610	610	+0	Yes	+$110	08-19 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26?	24	$680	525	260	+265	Yes	-$2	09-26 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18?	3	$620	380	380	+0	Yes	+$140	09-18 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?	43	$605	392	392	+0	Yes	+$15	06-19 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?	39	$588	480	480	+0	Yes	+$197	06-17 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 15?	2	$571	287	287	+0	No	+$3	09-15 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 29?	6	$570	374	374	+0	No	+$1	08-29 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 10?	7	$563	383	383	+0	No	-$3	09-10 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?	28	$547	364	364	+0	Yes	+$2	08-06 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 3?	18	$547	497	152	+344	Yes	+$59	10-03 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 06:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0xa14b46…
11-13 06:02:54	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8ffd4e…
11-13 05:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0xb8890e…
11-13 04:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xcb8472…
11-13 04:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0f01e4…
11-13 04:41:30	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe44d78…
11-13 04:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6d3885…
11-13 03:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0x1d2b80…
11-13 03:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xc1c259…
11-13 02:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb8a136…
11-13 02:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0x71866b…
11-13 00:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xc154ea…
11-12 08:48:22	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8a432d…
11-12 08:46:49	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x786fa7…
11-12 08:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	71	17¢	$12	0x694674…
11-12 08:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xca3537…
11-12 08:11:58	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xec2694…
11-12 07:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x8c0465…
11-12 07:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	85	30¢	$26	0xa28803…
11-12 07:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0xd64390…
11-12 07:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4b2d94…
11-12 07:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x65ed41…
11-12 07:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xad6d7a…
11-12 07:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x7df4bb…
11-12 07:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xe5a84f…
11-12 07:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x72e7a0…
11-12 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x9f8dd3…
11-12 06:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x994478…
11-12 06:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0xfc4344…
11-12 06:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x01c089…
11-12 06:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	28	33¢	$9	0xe191bc…
11-12 06:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x999fb9…
11-12 06:10:18	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x439ced…
11-12 06:01:40	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfd6677…
11-12 05:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc4585b…
11-12 05:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe083b2…
11-12 05:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0xa74bef…
11-12 05:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb0d7c2…
11-12 05:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	59	7¢	$4	0x0c3ccb…
11-12 05:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x732e02…
11-12 05:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xcc064f…
11-12 05:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 12?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfc08bd…
11-12 05:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x87d797…
11-12 04:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x511838…
11-12 03:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xea5fe4…
11-12 03:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x224b45…
11-12 03:50:24	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x46334d…
11-12 03:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9b31da…
11-12 03:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0x1057f7…
11-12 03:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$1	0x206a7d…
11-12 01:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9c7135…
11-12 01:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x715b74…
11-12 01:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x88b4f2…
11-11 12:20:37	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x76bc03…
11-11 07:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xd0c92d…
11-11 06:56:06	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x672de3…
11-11 06:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0x506043…
11-11 06:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or higher on November 11?	Yes	BUY	256	0¢	$1	0x1ecb51…
11-11 06:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd84abc…
11-11 06:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0xd631d2…
11-11 06:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7af744…
11-11 06:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4f90ba…
11-11 06:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xf2b642…
11-11 06:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xe36a2a…
11-11 06:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x8ec707…
11-11 06:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb59a59…
11-11 06:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x093d1d…
11-11 05:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x43ef9c…
11-11 05:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7533d4…
11-11 05:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x41d1bb…
11-11 05:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x783639…
11-11 05:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xec8ba5…
11-11 05:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0x3cbde2…
11-11 05:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc0427c…
11-11 05:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x2e4181…
11-11 02:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x4e9361…
11-11 02:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xd270ce…
11-10 12:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa7121f…
11-10 12:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0xac7d51…
11-10 12:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	95	8¢	$8	0x6fc897…
11-10 12:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8c43fd…
11-10 10:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x78d716…
11-10 10:43:36	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe1102e…
11-10 07:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaecb10…
11-10 07:46:40	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xd37b22…
11-10 06:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xefb16c…
11-10 06:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0x3178e3…
11-10 06:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x479d4f…
11-10 06:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xabaa6d…
11-10 06:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x40da6f…
11-10 05:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1ddf35…
11-10 05:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed26aa…
11-10 04:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x258491…
11-10 04:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xdd326f…
11-10 04:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5668ae…
11-10 04:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5e5ff5…
11-10 02:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xa63997…
11-10 02:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x96fecf…
11-10 02:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0x0c62e9…
11-09 16:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xbc640a…