Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13?
open
Total volume
$623
$631 in 24h
Trades
87
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$968
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-11-13
First seen
2026-11-11
last 11-12 14:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+14.1¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $142
vs crowd: 6% YES on $617)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $25 | $252 | $226 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $5 | $192 | $187 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $5 | $128 | $123 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $28 | $114 | $86 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $3 | $256 | $254 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $43 | $41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $95 | $95 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $3 | $58 | $55 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | +216 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 11-12 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | +121 | $117 | $117 | 10 | 11-12 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | +90 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 11-12 14:01 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +81 | $75 | $75 | 3 | 11-12 14:25 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 11-11 11:02 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +65 | $1 | $1 | 13 | 11-12 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +62 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 11-12 14:01 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | No | +60 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 11-12 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf29d…7d52 | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-12 08:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3308…c27e | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-12 10:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 11-12 14:36 |
| Triangular-Stump 0x108a…8159 | Yes | +37 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-12 14:25 |
| Amusing-Towel 0x7353…b6c5 | No | +32 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 11-12 08:58 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | +27 | -$1 | $2 | 3 | 11-12 10:14 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 11-12 14:01 |
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 11-12 11:25 |
| Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 11-12 05:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-12 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x56ca…e58a | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-12 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-12 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ca4…6aa2 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-12 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xecff…5645 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-12 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd50c…010f | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-12 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-12 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2dc…e9eb | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-12 13:08 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 11-12 11:25 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-12 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a57…baa9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-12 08:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e83…665b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-12 07:03 |
| Evergreen-Frequency 0x2e3d…6aa1 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-12 08:59 |
| Cautious-Marionberry 0xeed1…501f | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-12 05:54 |
| Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | +1 | -$1 | $4 | 2 | 11-12 14:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-12 14:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x56bb2b… |
| 11-12 14:36:36 | (anonymous) 0xecff…5645 | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x56bb2b… |
| 11-12 14:25:22 | Triangular-Stump 0x108a…8159 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x8b14fe… |
| 11-12 14:25:22 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 37 | 92¢ | $34 | 0x8b14fe… |
| 11-12 14:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x1ca4…6aa2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x10ae8f… |
| 11-12 14:01:40 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x10ae8f… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x16e1c6… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x16e1c6… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3f4c47… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x3f4c47… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 42 | 93¢ | $39 | 0x16e1c6… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | No | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $56 | 0x16e1c6… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x16e1c6… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x16e1c6… |
| 11-12 14:01:39 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0x16e1c6… |
| 11-12 13:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x2bd8b5… |
| 11-12 13:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2bd8b5… |
| 11-12 13:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9050d7… |
| 11-12 13:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2bd8b5… |
| 11-12 13:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xb2dc…e9eb | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x9050d7… |
| 11-12 13:08:01 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x9050d7… |
| 11-12 11:50:09 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0a0eb7… |
| 11-12 11:50:09 | Polite-Cooking-Participant 0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0a0eb7… |
| 11-12 11:25:22 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6dd8f1… |
| 11-12 11:25:22 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xabc114… |
| 11-12 11:25:22 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6dd8f1… |
| 11-12 11:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x56ca…e58a | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xbdcb0f… |
| 11-12 11:25:22 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbdcb0f… |
| 11-12 11:25:22 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6dd8f1… |
| 11-12 11:25:22 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xabc114… |
| 11-12 10:21:39 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc4277d… |
| 11-12 10:21:39 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xc4277d… |
| 11-12 10:21:30 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1acd3c… |
| 11-12 10:21:30 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x1acd3c… |
| 11-12 10:14:25 | (anonymous) 0x3308…c27e | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd29a10… |
| 11-12 10:14:25 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd29a10… |
| 11-12 10:14:25 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd29a10… |
| 11-12 09:01:24 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9c4585… |
| 11-12 09:01:24 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9c4585… |
| 11-12 08:59:31 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0d71e8… |
| 11-12 08:59:31 | Evergreen-Frequency 0x2e3d…6aa1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0d71e8… |
| 11-12 08:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x9a57…baa9 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe76948… |
| 11-12 08:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xe76948… |
| 11-12 08:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe76948… |
| 11-12 08:58:42 | Amusing-Towel 0x7353…b6c5 | No | BUY | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0xcb9976… |
| 11-12 08:58:42 | (anonymous) 0xce0b…b974 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcb9976… |
| 11-12 08:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…46fe | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xcb9976… |
| 11-12 08:11:04 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x1efa78… |
| 11-12 08:11:04 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $37 | 0x9151a6… |
| 11-12 08:11:04 | (anonymous) 0xf29d…7d52 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1efa78… |
| 11-12 08:11:04 | (anonymous) 0xf29d…7d52 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x9151a6… |
| 11-12 07:12:33 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xb8c3c6… |
| 11-12 07:12:33 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb8c3c6… |
| 11-12 07:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb8c3c6… |
| 11-12 07:05:06 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x31544b… |
| 11-12 07:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x31544b… |
| 11-12 07:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x31544b… |
| 11-12 07:05:06 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 38 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x31544b… |
| 11-12 07:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc0a42c… |
| 11-12 07:04:49 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc0a42c… |
| 11-12 07:04:49 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc0a42c… |
| 11-12 07:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xd50c…010f | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xe8ec69… |
| 11-12 07:03:54 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe8ec69… |
| 11-12 07:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x5e83…665b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe8ec69… |
| 11-12 06:38:25 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc2c7c6… |
| 11-12 06:38:25 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc2c7c6… |
| 11-12 06:38:16 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaba496… |
| 11-12 06:38:16 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xaba496… |
| 11-12 05:54:13 | Cautious-Marionberry 0xeed1…501f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1bdee1… |
| 11-12 05:54:13 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1bdee1… |
| 11-12 05:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x1bdee1… |
| 11-12 05:37:45 | (anonymous) 0xd1b0…7efc | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9c3598… |
| 11-12 05:37:45 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c3598… |
| 11-12 05:37:45 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c3598… |
| 11-12 05:37:07 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb2805b… |
| 11-12 05:37:07 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2805b… |
| 11-12 05:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb5f649… |
| 11-12 05:36:34 | Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb5f649… |
| 11-12 05:36:30 | Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe4f96b… |
| 11-12 05:36:30 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4f96b… |
| 11-12 05:36:10 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca3f94… |
| 11-12 05:36:10 | Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xca3f94… |
| 11-12 05:35:52 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0f1825… |
| 11-12 05:35:52 | Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0f1825… |
| 11-11 11:02:09 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x45f995… |
| 11-11 11:02:09 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x45f995… |
| 11-11 11:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45f995… |