Frightening-Renaissance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

214

Trades

1,420

lifetime

Volume

$55.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 08-19 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

100% 87% -$140

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 7?	75	$1.4K	702	702	+0	No	+$5	05-07 16:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?	2	$1.4K	696	696	+0	No	+$12	05-07 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 7?	16	$1.3K	685	685	+0	No	+$18	05-07 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?	30	$1.3K	667	667	+0	No	+$17	05-07 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 7?	12	$1.3K	647	647	+0	No	+$24	05-07 01:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?	67	$1.2K	627	627	+0	No	+$4	05-06 15:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 6?	4	$1.2K	621	621	+0	No	+$4	05-06 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 6?	19	$1.2K	598	598	+0	No	+$22	05-06 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 5?	35	$1.1K	594	594	+0	No	+$6	05-05 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 5?	32	$1.1K	572	572	+0	No	+$21	05-05 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	25	$1.1K	542	542	+0	No	+$0	05-04 10:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 3?	20	$1.1K	535	535	+0	No	+$15	05-03 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?	20	$1.0K	521	521	+0	No	+$15	05-03 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 3?	9	$1000	505	505	+0	No	+$9	05-03 03:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 2?	65	$988	497	497	+0	No	+$4	05-02 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?	3	$986	502	502	+0	No	+$17	05-05 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?	7	$967	491	491	+0	No	+$14	05-02 02:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on May 1?	7	$938	477	477	+0	No	+$13	05-01 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 1?	11	$903	464	464	+0	No	+$22	05-01 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?	3	$865	442	442	+0	No	+$19	05-01 03:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?	2	$859	439	439	+0	No	-$9	04-30 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 30?	10	$845	434	434	+0	No	+$20	04-30 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?	8	$816	414	414	+0	No	+$11	04-30 02:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?	6	$798	404	404	+0	No	+$6	04-29 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?	2	$792	404	404	+0	No	+$13	05-06 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	3	$785	397	397	+0	No	+$7	04-29 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	3	$731	386	384	+2	No	+$36	04-28 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	6	$696	736	0	+736	Yes	-$696	05-07 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	40	$690	349	349	+0	No	+$6	04-28 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	2	$678	344	343	+0	No	+$6	04-28 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 13:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x376c5f…
08-19 13:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x2ae48b…
08-19 13:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0xb82fae…
08-19 13:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$0	0x5b6a85…
08-14 03:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xfe5d73…
08-14 02:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0dd94d…
08-13 21:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 13?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xdaadf4…
08-13 17:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 13?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x823e75…
08-13 17:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 13?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5dd9f4…
08-13 06:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x9fe325…
08-13 06:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x51e190…
08-13 06:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x6e7759…
08-13 06:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x054a43…
08-13 03:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xc677da…
08-13 03:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xfae7de…
08-13 03:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe9e9dd…
08-13 03:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2d10f0…
08-13 03:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x62d11a…
08-13 02:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x22fdf5…
08-13 02:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc1a70f…
08-13 02:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc21320…
08-13 01:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x897882…
08-13 01:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa53509…
08-13 01:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x376100…
08-13 00:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe6dc4b…
08-13 00:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2492c7…
08-13 00:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x221217…
08-13 00:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x43acdc…
08-13 00:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd32a6…
08-13 00:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd26c2d…
08-13 00:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x30e9ca…
08-12 23:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x63d009…
08-12 23:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x39ade4…
08-12 20:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on August 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xca53ab…
08-12 20:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on August 12?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1f1538…
08-12 20:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on August 12?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xb8ce92…
08-12 20:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on August 12?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x873cf7…
08-12 19:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x730e2a…
08-12 19:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x35f666…
08-12 19:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd49788…
08-12 18:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe7b246…
08-12 17:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x8912cd…
08-12 17:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x28024b…
08-12 17:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 12?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xda1b40…
08-12 16:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 12?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x9a5ca4…
08-12 13:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 12?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x1f1fa3…
08-12 13:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 12?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xd61209…
08-12 13:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x751dda…
08-12 03:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xeced86…
08-12 03:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xff6cec…
08-12 03:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3c79b5…
08-12 03:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xf2e517…
08-12 03:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdc795f…
08-12 03:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x27a812…
08-12 02:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xbb4837…
08-12 02:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9bfe71…
08-12 02:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7c2803…
08-12 02:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x2a2def…
08-12 02:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8645d7…
08-12 02:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb1da39…
08-12 02:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x19d2ed…
08-12 01:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf4e817…
08-12 01:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x72c1bf…
08-12 01:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x39ef11…
08-12 00:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x01b771…
08-12 00:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xddb4ae…
08-11 23:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdf9004…
08-11 16:54:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on August 11?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xfd4f67…
08-11 16:54:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on August 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1aa1fa…
08-11 14:49:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on August 11?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xae268a…
08-11 14:42:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on August 11?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xf530a2…
08-11 13:42:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on August 11?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf5523b…
08-11 13:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf5a2e6…
08-11 13:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x15295a…
08-11 13:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff0ae1…
08-11 07:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x849333…
08-11 07:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x47364a…
08-11 07:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd50886…
08-11 07:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x02c1ce…
08-11 07:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf249dc…
08-11 07:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x68be59…
08-11 07:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xed541a…
08-11 07:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc7d386…
08-11 07:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc1c8fc…
08-11 07:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc136b7…
08-11 07:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9b0cbb…
08-11 06:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0xaf686b…
08-11 06:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa296e9…
08-11 04:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 11?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x2e6f9e…
08-11 01:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xd37c03…
08-11 00:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe86970…
08-11 00:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x16cd0d…
08-10 23:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0xabc0e4…
08-10 22:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 11?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x38c075…
08-10 08:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x4e9182…
08-10 08:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xb9b422…
08-10 06:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 10?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x65f60e…
08-10 02:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x9161a0…
08-10 02:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe74c8a…
08-10 02:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xaaf71a…