Creamy-Band — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

6.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-09 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

48% 36% +$0

Other

45% 20% -$7

Crypto

3% 60% -$2

Sports

3% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes		+74	$25	16¢	$12	-$13	10-09 11:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	2	$511	256	256	+0	No	$0	07-25 04:28
new stranger things episode released by july 31	4	$385	193	193	+0	No	$0	07-25 04:28
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$377	189	189	+0	No	$0	07-25 04:28
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$153	0	154	-154	No	-$1	01-03 07:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	2	$111	150	150	+0	Up	-$3	05-01 09:14
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	01-03 07:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$62	97	97	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 08:51
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	$0	09-17 14:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-01 09:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-17 14:58
iran full airspace closure by july 24	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-25 02:28
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$1	09-17 15:02
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-01 09:43
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$31	0	32	-32	No	-$1	01-03 07:30
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	-$2	07-25 01:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	2	$25	74	0	+74	open	—	10-09 11:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$24	13	13	+0	No	$0	05-01 09:43
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-13 14:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	1	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	06-03 03:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-13 15:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	05-01 09:42
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	05-15 07:37
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	07-09 16:38
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 08:15
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	09-17 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 14?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-13 14:51
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-14 06:42
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	$0	03-16 13:45
2026 Balance of Power: Other	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-13 15:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-23 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 11:23:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0x54a45e…
10-08 16:35:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	41	40¢	$16	0xd888c9…
09-17 15:02:22	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xff1378…
09-17 14:58:51	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x167328…
09-17 14:58:37	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xcc59a6…
09-17 14:58:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x853d21…
09-17 13:31:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x125aec…
09-17 13:31:27	Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1024e4…
08-24 08:22:22	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04cb54…
07-25 04:28:34	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	179	100¢	$178	0x6cf2c7…
07-25 04:28:27	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0x318a28…
07-25 04:28:13	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x524137…
07-25 03:54:00	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x79699d…
07-25 03:52:52	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xcf236f…
07-25 03:52:15	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x4047ff…
07-25 03:51:31	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xebb250…
07-25 02:28:39	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2d8997…
07-25 02:28:37	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4f626a…
07-25 02:11:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x55f9f5…
07-25 02:09:27	Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x944300…
07-25 02:07:18	Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xca6b24…
07-25 01:31:13	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x54bab6…
07-25 01:27:16	Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x9b1f24…
07-25 01:26:27	Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7a4b95…
07-09 16:38:59	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x669bec…
07-09 16:38:49	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8dd13e…
07-09 13:32:46	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce3d14…
07-09 13:32:32	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7a50b9…
06-03 03:43:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xeeada4…
05-15 08:22:35	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ca5f1…
05-15 08:15:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe6303b…
05-15 07:41:29	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x728bfc…
05-15 07:37:12	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x36f50e…
05-15 07:18:09	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x44950f…
05-14 06:42:01	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x917d37…
05-14 06:12:48	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbee0f7…
05-13 15:16:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23adb1…
05-13 15:13:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x39ec66…
05-13 15:12:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0dd551…
05-13 15:12:36	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x966c75…
05-13 14:55:51	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x61dda2…
05-13 14:54:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50918a…
05-13 14:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x26829d…
05-13 14:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x15fdb1…
05-13 14:41:23	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x86f336…
05-10 13:11:30	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6967fd…
05-10 12:39:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x302cc6…
05-10 11:47:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5ffb22…
05-10 09:55:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xa6edef…
05-10 09:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01a76b…
05-01 09:43:58	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x99ba21…
05-01 09:43:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x62ae23…
05-01 09:43:16	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9d33d7…
05-01 09:42:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8f2441…
05-01 09:18:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x45ddc3…
05-01 09:17:34	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6290ad…
05-01 09:17:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x618df4…
05-01 09:16:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x59a067…
05-01 09:14:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	150	36¢	$54	0x890835…
05-01 09:13:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x1c248e…
05-01 08:51:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	97	32¢	$31	0x0ca088…
05-01 08:51:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	97	32¢	$31	0x82b6fb…
05-01 08:27:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x160292…
05-01 08:27:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1c3a82…
05-01 08:25:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xd14762…
04-23 09:09:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x682c07…
04-23 07:51:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5433ce…
04-23 07:03:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9ed10b…
04-10 13:37:25	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x110bc3…
03-16 13:52:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xe37648…
03-16 13:45:29	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xbf311a…
03-14 15:13:13	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x94ce25…
03-14 15:12:57	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x3da75f…
03-14 15:11:39	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x2d34e0…
02-13 12:41:01	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x5094c7…
02-05 08:46:19	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeb9f77…
02-05 08:42:29	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa0ac1e…
01-27 14:30:41	gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc118aa…
01-27 14:26:15	gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5a619c…
01-03 07:30:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x56c8ba…
01-03 07:30:03	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	154	99¢	$153	0xfe4189…
01-03 07:29:51	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x7f6c3a…
01-03 07:19:21	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb2eff2…