Thorny-Reparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-22 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 0% $-2

Politics

11% 100% +$1

Other

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$900	904	0	+904	open	—	05-21 19:58
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-27 22:56
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	2	$50	48	48	+0	open	—	03-25 00:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-27 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-27 22:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-22 22:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-08 00:44
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-01 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 22:57
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 48 49f	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-01 01:02
highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 50 51f	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-01 01:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	2	$12	927	0	+927	open	—	05-19 00:18
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$10	521	0	+521	open	—	03-23 01:12
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	1	$6	864	0	+864	open	—	03-25 00:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	2	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-26 01:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?	1	$4	743	0	+743	open	—	04-27 22:57
bitcoin above 64k on march 8	1	$2	333	0	+333	open	—	03-08 11:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-2	05-08 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 22:07:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6ddf91…
05-21 19:58:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	904	100¢	$900	0x67a96f…
05-19 00:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xbb840b…
05-19 00:17:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	850	1¢	$11	0xf71b04…
05-08 00:44:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x87a243…
05-08 00:43:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x920e81…
04-27 22:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x6e0868…
04-27 22:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf280b2…
04-27 22:57:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?	No	BUY	743	1¢	$4	0x6400c1…
04-27 22:56:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1fcdbf…
04-27 22:56:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x41d2e9…
04-26 01:15:38	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x4f1c02…
04-26 01:15:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x48b28e…
04-26 01:14:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x982af7…
04-26 01:14:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xd7f333…
04-01 01:02:51	highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xde6249…
04-01 01:02:45	highest temperature in chicago on april 1 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x956dee…
04-01 01:01:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x78b121…
03-25 00:42:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	No	BUY	864	1¢	$6	0x518072…
03-25 00:41:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0xd458cd…
03-23 01:12:55	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0xe3edba…
03-23 01:12:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	No	BUY	521	2¢	$10	0x11682a…
03-08 11:21:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 8	No	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xd23d80…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	13	$36.0K	724	05-27 14:52
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	10	$11.6K	1,061	05-16 18:02
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	10	$827	218	05-24 07:30
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	9	$11.9K	129	05-26 03:22
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	8	$63.7K	475	05-21 21:44
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	8	$7.90K	618	05-20 22:00
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	8	$701	155	05-19 09:01
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	8	$586	174	05-23 21:05