Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$453
$1,981 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$1,656
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 15:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 2% YES on $451)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $100 | $99 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $6 | $343 | $337 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $1 | $66 | $65 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $60 | $58 |
| Median | 9 | — | $205 | $205 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | Yes | +190 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:44 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +161 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | +102 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-07 08:08 |
| Wan-Debris 0x455d…fc93 | Yes | +66 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 00:12 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 10:00 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Grubby-Stallion 0xf0ed…6ae8 | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-08 13:14 |
| Overdue-Sovereignty 0x9fd6…5ab1 | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-08 11:34 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 15:15 |
| Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 09:45 |
| Sweltering-Hiking 0x51c2…d4e2 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-08 13:34 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 14:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x389d…119f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 11:49 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 12:49 |
| Glum-Copywriter 0x1bbe…7b5c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 16:51 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:25 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 17:51 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 15:15:14 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x7a3c9a… |
| 05-08 14:44:54 | Impish-Tract 0x8817…cda8 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x33d176… |
| 05-08 14:35:16 | Decisive-Page 0x4b29…623b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce0e04… |
| 05-08 14:25:11 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x56d403… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x230d9d… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0efe1… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x9fb4c7… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f4c9e… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf3c76… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfa0d5e… |
| 05-08 13:34:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88a391… |
| 05-08 13:34:32 | Overdue-Sovereignty 0x9fd6…5ab1 | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x1db66c… |
| 05-08 13:14:35 | Grubby-Stallion 0xf0ed…6ae8 | No | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x4c6fa4… |
| 05-08 12:49:38 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x744b85… |
| 05-08 12:49:35 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e31fe… |
| 05-08 12:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcf50bf… |
| 05-08 11:49:23 | (anonymous) 0x389d…119f | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xde65dc… |
| 05-08 11:34:43 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x7fbcad… |
| 05-08 11:34:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x299b29… |
| 05-08 10:00:23 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x98d457… |
| 05-08 09:40:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x1e1f2b… |
| 05-08 06:05:18 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x493d99… |
| 05-07 22:46:31 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1cabca… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd38ed5… |
| 05-07 22:10:19 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d2084… |
| 05-07 21:36:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c63a3… |
| 05-07 21:18:24 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d050c… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0c74d… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b155e… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1733e4… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc89511… |
| 05-07 21:18:23 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3a9e14… |
| 05-07 16:51:13 | Glum-Copywriter 0x1bbe…7b5c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x884a86… |
| 05-07 16:34:37 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcb50dd… |
| 05-07 11:25:37 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfb219d… |
| 05-07 11:25:36 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x729813… |
| 05-07 11:16:03 | Sweltering-Hiking 0x51c2…d4e2 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd6eb7e… |
| 05-07 09:45:35 | Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf070a5… |
| 05-07 08:08:15 | (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | BUY | 102 | 96¢ | $98 | 0x74f8e2… |
| 05-07 00:12:47 | Wan-Debris 0x455d…fc93 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x5341fe… |
| 05-06 17:51:13 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfbba20… |
| 05-06 17:07:14 | Unfolded-Psychology 0x36f4…7518 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x5da3d0… |