Untrue-Packet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

342

Trades

1,386

lifetime

Volume

$108.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 40% -$1,091

Other

11% 21% +$933

Sports

0% 25% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	78	$5.8K	4,715	4,715	+0	Down	+$2,882	05-04 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12PM ET	15	$3.2K	5,176	3,782	+1,395	Up	+$1,373	04-28 16:57
bitcoin above 68k on february 19	2	$3.0K	2,529	2,529	+0	No	+$1,778	02-19 13:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$2.8K	3,860	3,860	+0	No	+$888	10-14 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	20	$2.2K	1,581	1,581	+0	Down	+$955	04-29 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	9	$2.0K	1,420	1,420	+0	Down	+$540	05-05 07:57
bitcoin above 68k on march 8	3	$2.0K	7,602	7,602	+0	No	+$446	03-05 15:28
bitcoin above 64k on march 3	2	$1.9K	4,286	4,286	+0	Yes	+$733	03-01 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	3	$1.8K	2,542	1,139	+1,404	Up	-$182	05-04 08:32
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	2	$1.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$600	02-26 14:52
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 16:00 UTC	15	$1.8K	1,400	1,400	+0	Down	+$756	06-08 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	4	$1.6K	4,031	4,029	+1	Up	-$1,535	05-04 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7AM ET	9	$1.6K	1,012	1,012	+0	Down	+$312	04-29 12:00
bitcoin above 66k on february 25	2	$1.6K	1,379	1,379	+0	Yes	+$805	02-24 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET	34	$1.5K	1,253	1,186	+66	Down	+$866	04-28 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1PM ET	26	$1.4K	2,263	1,985	+278	Up	-$69	04-28 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	13	$1.4K	914	914	+0	Down	+$395	04-29 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	47	$1.4K	928	928	+0	Up	+$480	05-05 08:15
bitcoin above 64k on march 6	2	$1.3K	3,334	3,334	+0	Yes	+$334	03-03 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	22	$1.3K	3,274	875	+2,399	Down	+$331	04-29 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	15	$1.3K	1,859	1,859	+0	Up	+$329	04-30 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	6	$1.2K	2,464	2,464	+0	Down	-$823	04-29 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	10	$1.1K	2,930	0	+2,930	Up	-$1,131	05-04 09:27
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	2	$1.1K	1,898	1,898	+0	Yes	+$270	03-09 13:49
bitcoin above 70k on february 18	2	$1.1K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$465	02-14 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	15	$1.0K	659	659	+0	Down	+$301	05-04 07:57
will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	10	$989	2,259	2,259	+0	No	-$972	09-30 06:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:45 UTC	6	$979	1,181	754	+427	Down	+$256	04-10 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	8	$967	3,879	160	+3,719	Up	-$852	04-28 19:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 06:00 UTC	6	$957	859	812	+47	Up	+$596	04-10 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 10:21:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	218	36¢	$78	0x6acaf6…
11-04 10:20:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	37¢	$39	0x220eef…
11-04 10:20:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	37¢	$39	0x1c633d…
11-04 10:20:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xdb17b0…
11-04 10:19:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	37¢	$120	0x0f90ae…
10-14 13:01:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,860	48¢	$1,853	0x66a406…
10-02 12:28:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,820	25¢	$955	0x01c4c5…
10-02 12:28:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe5a969…
09-30 06:48:00	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	2,259	0¢	$8	0xc85c10…
09-21 08:34:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	757	20¢	$151	0xd1b97a…
09-21 08:33:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	36¢	$504	0x227108…
09-21 08:32:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	34¢	$109	0xe50cca…
09-18 09:08:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	671	30¢	$201	0xae125d…
09-17 12:27:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	108	43¢	$46	0x558f96…
09-17 12:26:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	280	43¢	$120	0xf9be72…
09-17 11:58:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	189	51¢	$96	0x0adebc…
09-17 11:51:09	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6dbdbd…
09-17 11:36:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe9fac7…
09-17 11:01:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	202	51¢	$103	0x2af63b…
09-17 10:18:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2e83e5…
09-17 10:17:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	Yes	BUY	795	51¢	$405	0x03e623…
07-27 11:41:28	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfabd87…
07-27 11:41:27	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	499	90¢	$449	0x30d505…
07-27 10:32:16	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	471	34¢	$160	0xea8b31…
07-27 10:32:16	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x6ae207…
07-27 10:25:00	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0xd41e7a…
07-26 07:58:58	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	220	95¢	$209	0xbf58b8…
07-26 07:58:58	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x507e91…
07-26 07:58:03	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x85c4b7…
07-26 07:55:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xda9e9b…
07-26 05:07:36	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	258	33¢	$86	0xbdec9f…
07-19 21:16:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	389	28¢	$110	0xcd3ddd…
07-19 14:39:06	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-19 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	116	38¢	$44	0x744de0…
07-19 14:29:18	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,667	3¢	$50	0xe63096…
07-19 14:29:01	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,351	4¢	$50	0x9de841…
07-19 14:28:46	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	1,333	6¢	$80	0xe07623…
07-19 14:28:37	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,739	2¢	$40	0xf97303…
07-19 14:28:04	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,167	6¢	$70	0x4af9a0…
07-19 13:38:16	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	1,213	5¢	$61	0x086e4c…
07-19 13:37:58	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1,905	2¢	$40	0x9659f8…
07-19 13:37:46	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	667	6¢	$40	0x7388e0…
07-19 12:53:52	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	630	5¢	$32	0x0efe32…
07-19 12:52:27	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0x6a46fc…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xe620ab…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xccd040…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xcbe02f…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8f9a7d…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	167	32¢	$53	0x7f89eb…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x75de3a…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x708fe0…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3a49b0…
07-17 07:18:21	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3503cb…
07-17 07:18:16	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xfd268d…
07-17 07:18:12	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x7fff78…
07-17 07:18:07	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x26c456…
07-17 07:18:06	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xdf91f9…
07-17 07:18:06	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	144	31¢	$45	0xbcfbb3…
07-17 07:06:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xc512e6…
07-17 07:06:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9e0d93…
07-17 07:06:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xe24630…
07-17 07:06:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xd5b738…
07-17 07:06:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	128	42¢	$54	0x98c11d…
07-17 07:06:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x675fdf…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xdacace…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xd7b500…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0x983cb6…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x862d2d…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x854e8b…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x78d2ef…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x72d17d…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	64	42¢	$27	0x32f828…
07-17 07:06:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x2166de…
07-17 06:51:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	400	26¢	$104	0x07ef1a…
07-17 06:50:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	215	99¢	$213	0xbdb9e2…
07-17 06:45:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0xc4a0e6…
07-17 06:45:30	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	209	98¢	$205	0xa45ac2…
07-17 06:45:07	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x0e4658…
07-17 06:12:55	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	310	64¢	$198	0x3e6f40…
07-17 05:32:21	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xf6d7f4…
07-17 05:32:18	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	445	19¢	$85	0x31fdc9…
07-17 05:27:24	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x0d3a47…
07-17 05:27:22	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf89b57…
07-17 05:02:33	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0x15fee2…
07-17 04:55:00	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7cb782…
07-17 04:55:00	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x4d1087…
07-17 04:54:58	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd84aa2…
07-17 04:54:58	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xbef868…
07-17 04:54:51	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x7d03ab…
07-17 04:54:49	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xbd2e86…
07-17 04:54:49	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x827a9d…
07-17 04:54:25	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x87ca5b…
07-17 04:41:39	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xfeb2ae…
07-17 04:41:37	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8ca377…
07-17 04:41:37	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	310	34¢	$105	0x5d8eac…
07-15 21:04:25	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	599	100¢	$599	0x7d4b34…
07-15 20:50:37	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	504	14¢	$70	0x25ac3e…
07-15 20:48:59	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	508	71¢	$359	0x05d15c…
07-15 19:43:47	Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	882	2¢	$19	0xd268cb…
07-15 19:43:11	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x5e553a…
07-15 19:42:47	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x9536f8…