Realized P&L
-$90
Unrealized P&L
-$90
Hit rate
19.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
436
lifetime
Volume
$14.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$260
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 16:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
80% 20% $-90
Other
17%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -323 $-87 29¢ $-92 $-5 06-07 20:30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +249 $130 26¢ $63 $-67 06-07 20:25
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +550 $72 10¢ $55 $-17 06-08 06:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -381 $-46 12¢ $-48 $-2 06-07 20:32
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -246 $-1 $-2 $-0 06-08 06:08