Comfortable-Response — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.7%

Resolved

Trades

462

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

80% 20% $-90

Other

18% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	5	$960	632	632	+0	open	—	03-02 07:29
iran strike on us military by february 28	3	$884	509	509	+0	open	—	02-28 08:59
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	6	$866	908	908	+0	open	—	03-14 12:09
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$824	525	525	+0	open	—	02-28 07:58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$599	420	420	+0	open	—	02-28 19:48
israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	3	$551	342	342	+0	open	—	02-28 08:02
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$493	344	344	+0	open	—	02-28 08:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$471	735	735	+0	open	—	05-23 10:18
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	4	$423	282	282	+0	open	—	02-28 08:01
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$398	1,381	45	+1,336	open	—	05-14 21:12
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$381	208	208	+0	open	—	02-28 18:08
iran closes its airspace by june 8	21	$367	29,548	151	+29,397	open	—	06-08 16:38
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$364	351	224	+127	open	—	03-23 11:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	8	$313	333	333	+0	open	—	05-25 10:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$287	344	344	+0	open	—	03-02 04:00
will iran strike israel on march 4	3	$277	1,378	378	+1,000	open	—	03-06 20:08
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$264	158	158	+0	open	—	06-07 19:32
Will the US strike Somalia next?	5	$259	385	385	+0	open	—	01-29 19:30
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	34	$191	3,245	2,245	+1,000	open	—	03-07 22:07
will iran strike israel on march 6	4	$182	263	83	+180	open	—	03-07 11:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$180	150	150	+0	open	—	02-28 07:59
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	1	$175	364	0	+364	open	—	03-11 00:14
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$156	222	222	+0	open	—	03-11 20:24
nothing ever happens israel edition	2	$155	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 08:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$132	2,084	2,084	+0	open	—	01-31 21:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$130	249	0	+249	open	—	06-07 20:25
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	2	$120	69	69	+0	open	—	03-24 07:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$118	111	111	+0	open	—	04-29 12:41
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	2	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	01-16 18:14
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	2	$111	144	0	+144	open	—	03-23 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 22:39:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x4c6c25…
08-12 22:38:51	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x278953…
08-12 22:08:31	brazil bans discord by august 31 2026 20260807130012953	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xbe7b18…
08-12 20:33:43	btc updown 5m 1786566600	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xee1a18…
08-12 20:33:28	btc updown 5m 1786566600	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x55fdf5…
08-12 20:29:51	btc updown 5m 1786566300	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x396c05…
08-12 20:24:54	btc updown 5m 1786566300	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf83ac7…
08-12 20:24:30	btc updown 5m 1786566000	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x944922…
08-12 20:11:40	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260807163025499	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4aa9d5…
08-12 20:11:34	will trump praise xi jinping in august 20260728221212350	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x404b33…
08-12 20:07:58	will trump praise xi jinping in august 20260728221212350	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8c1839…
08-12 20:06:57	will trump post china on truth social this week 20260807163025499	No	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x9bb90a…
08-12 19:57:54	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb42e41…
08-12 19:55:01	brazil bans discord by august 15 2026 20260807130012952	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x242890…
08-12 19:38:21	btc updown 5m 1786563300	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6e8a3c…
08-12 19:33:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0xceb7ba…
08-12 17:15:04	btc updown 5m 1786554900	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb38995…
08-12 17:14:18	btc updown 5m 1786554600	Up	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x3b4a38…
08-12 17:12:33	btc updown 5m 1786554600	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x58c605…
08-11 21:45:16	btc updown 5m 1786484700	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9fe437…
08-09 19:53:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7dc439…
08-09 19:52:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	58	15¢	$9	0x23604e…
08-09 19:42:37	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	138	12¢	$16	0xf057cb…
07-28 09:55:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0xd1148e…
06-10 23:26:00	btc updown 5m 1781133900	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xcc27d2…
06-10 19:09:13	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x6d63ac…
06-08 16:38:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x433d87…
06-08 16:37:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5cabf6…
06-08 13:36:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc0cf11…
06-08 13:25:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xd28f9f…
06-08 13:07:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3250ac…
06-08 09:49:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x991c0e…
06-08 09:11:15	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	51¢	$61	0x85f161…
06-08 06:08:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	885	0¢	$2	0xa507d4…
06-08 06:08:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	1¢	$1	0x8e621c…
06-08 06:06:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf2c7a2…
06-08 06:06:18	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x220c37…
06-07 22:25:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8e31be…
06-07 21:15:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x32a1e7…
06-07 20:45:31	btc updown 5m 1780864800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07e7c2…
06-07 20:41:24	btc updown 5m 1780864500	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6321d8…
06-07 20:35:49	btc updown 5m 1780864500	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x319816…
06-07 20:32:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x0bdf39…
06-07 20:32:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	381	12¢	$46	0x5e5b2e…
06-07 20:31:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x62ba58…
06-07 20:30:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbb58a1…
06-07 20:30:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	323	27¢	$87	0xb348af…
06-07 20:27:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa0311e…
06-07 20:27:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc5dfb0…
06-07 20:25:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x504b86…
06-07 20:23:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	95	37¢	$35	0xf1d993…
06-07 19:35:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x6245a6…
06-07 19:35:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xf982c5…
06-07 19:32:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	158	91¢	$144	0x445227…
06-07 19:26:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x35cfa0…
06-07 19:20:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xa97412…
06-07 19:19:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	72	36¢	$26	0x1b9acb…
06-07 19:18:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	41	59¢	$24	0x386376…
06-07 19:18:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x6e1657…
06-07 19:14:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x101d34…
06-07 19:12:25	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	28	56¢	$16	0x7fd412…
06-07 19:12:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xc77655…
06-07 01:53:22	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$15	0x1cac3c…
06-07 01:48:06	iran closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	39	68¢	$27	0x5c2184…
06-04 14:23:04	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xda08ae…
06-04 14:23:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x81e76c…
06-01 12:21:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x65e41d…
05-30 19:00:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3bce8e…
05-29 00:10:08	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	378	13¢	$50	0xb87b0e…
05-29 00:09:47	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	12¢	$24	0xa76da7…
05-29 00:08:29	will egypt join the abraham accords before 2027	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf77c3a…
05-29 00:08:11	Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe89326…
05-29 00:06:23	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0x03b13d…
05-28 15:31:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	172	9¢	$15	0x95c392…
05-28 12:03:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xfc4edb…
05-25 10:25:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	16¢	$22	0x196996…
05-25 10:24:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	211	49¢	$104	0x1eee28…
05-25 09:38:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	47	50¢	$23	0xab582e…
05-25 09:37:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xbb0107…
05-25 09:37:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x1935a2…
05-24 22:53:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x6db5a7…
05-24 22:52:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x3f4a75…
05-24 22:52:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x3659a3…
05-24 20:46:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	333	45¢	$150	0xa3e5fe…
05-24 14:50:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe47afe…
05-24 14:45:39	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	292	2¢	$6	0xa70125…
05-23 10:18:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	176	40¢	$71	0xd9d115…
05-23 10:18:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	103	50¢	$52	0x20d1c7…
05-23 10:18:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	167	60¢	$100	0x8e7f87…
05-22 23:38:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xf9aa29…
05-22 23:38:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	176	2¢	$3	0xa66974…
05-22 23:27:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0x21b0d9…
05-22 21:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x8df8c3…
05-22 21:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd62824…
05-21 22:40:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xe78be6…
05-21 22:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x21fa5f…
05-21 22:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x80979e…
05-21 22:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc42214…
05-21 15:21:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xb1cbb9…
05-21 15:19:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	298	2¢	$5	0xd3311a…