Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$641

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

445

Trades

2,033

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$64

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

59% 44% -$692

Politics

18% 51% +$186

Sports

18% 46% -$166

Crypto

3% 67% +$34

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$6

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	-40	-$35	98¢	$-39	-$4	08-25 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-20	-$17	90¢	$-18	-$1	08-24 17:44
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	+5	$4	72¢	$4	$0	11-04 22:05
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by November 30?	Yes	+5	$2	47¢	$2	+$0	11-03 18:54
will los angeles dodgers advance to the world series in the 2027 mlb playoffs	No	+5	$5	31¢	$2	-$3	11-04 08:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea get 2026 03 02 total 2pt5	17	$740	870	700	+170	Under	-$82	03-02 20:10
uel cel4 pao1 2026 02 26 cel4	21	$737	420	720	-300	Yes	-$55	02-26 21:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$573	600	600	+0	Yes	+$152	10-01 11:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	41	$506	1,086	1,086	+0	No	+$5	04-28 20:49
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$495	400	150	+250	Yes	+$39	03-24 19:55
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	47	$372	315	644	-329	Yes	+$120	02-05 20:24
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	15	$329	500	500	+0	Yes	-$49	10-01 22:33
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	24	$294	493	0	+493	Yes	+$200	10-16 22:44
will company b be accused of insider trading	37	$289	202	320	-118	No	-$41	02-25 20:22
another us government shutdown by february 14	39	$259	469	649	-180	No	-$153	02-13 08:43
will real madrid advance to the round of 16	9	$240	124	152	-28	Yes	-$4	02-25 20:24
Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	3	$228	120	120	+0	open	—	10-31 19:29
nba mem dal 2026 02 27 total 238pt5	13	$218	282	150	+132	Under	-$62	02-28 00:08
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner	22	$213	195	100	+95	JD Gaming	-$4	10-02 12:47
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Club of the Year award?	1	$194	200	0	+200	Yes	+$6	10-26 16:34
Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	3	$169	90	90	+0	open	—	10-31 19:16
will benfica advance to the round of 16	8	$149	100	74	+26	No	+$1	02-25 20:17
Melbourne United vs. Adelaide 36ers	16	$137	175	83	+92	Adelaide 36ers	-$48	09-19 11:16
nba ind sac 2026 03 10	13	$136	155	155	+0	Kings	-$8	03-10 23:30
Eagles vs. Titans	3	$135	100	100	+0	Eagles	-$9	09-20 19:48
Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner	20	$128	123	93	+30	T1	-$2	10-02 12:06
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 btts	9	$128	280	0	+280	Yes	+$152	02-24 20:49
uel gnk din6 2026 02 26 btts	37	$123	201	50	+152	Yes	+$83	02-26 21:06
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	3	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 17:43
will newcastle reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$112	50	100	-50	No	-$12	03-18 17:43
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	11	$111	170	89	+81	Yes	+$7	04-15 20:50
epl liv wes 2026 02 28 total 3pt5	1	$110	200	0	+200	Over	-$110	02-28 13:50
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	9	$108	80	80	+0	Yes	-$8	10-28 18:21
Perth Wildcats vs. South East Melbourne Phoenix	7	$106	130	30	+100	South East Melbourne Phoenix	+$26	09-19 12:47
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19?	2	$98	120	0	+120	No	+$22	09-19 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:05:27	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8dfd8b…
11-04 08:58:46	will los angeles dodgers advance to the world series in the 2027 mlb playoffs	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6dcc33…
11-03 22:51:04	Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $112B by November 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf025a5…
11-03 21:45:06	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x78f9ea…
11-03 21:39:13	Will Cleveland Guardians advance to the World Series in the 2027 MLB Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1df7a3…
11-03 20:00:03	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x4d7678…
11-03 18:54:27	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by January 1, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe96686…
11-03 18:54:07	Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x59ff7a…
11-03 18:53:48	Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xe817b3…
11-03 16:38:49	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xfe53f3…
11-03 15:49:36	Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?	Montana	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xe2270d…
11-03 00:04:01	Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xc8fab6…
11-02 19:34:39	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x94b183…
11-02 11:44:30	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x9dc81b…
11-02 11:44:30	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x96b23b…
11-02 11:38:28	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x209db9…
11-02 04:34:22	Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x72e7ad…
11-02 01:05:36	Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x173ee5…
11-01 22:28:13	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1c0baa…
11-01 22:19:36	Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0xa1a7e7…
11-01 00:25:28	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xd167f8…
10-31 23:50:40	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x974b49…
10-31 19:29:16	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x6da784…
10-31 19:28:37	Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xe26de5…
10-31 19:26:55	Will Taylor Walls win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xe9572a…
10-31 19:26:10	California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xc7bcf1…
10-31 19:24:57	Will West Ham United be promoted to Premier League?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x583ed2…
10-31 19:24:27	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc4e7ef…
10-31 19:16:46	Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xa2cec9…
10-31 19:16:36	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0x0fec5f…
10-31 14:03:22	Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf533b4…
10-31 13:41:10	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2c5164…
10-31 11:10:06	California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x80f18e…
10-31 09:19:04	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2ba7b6…
10-31 07:50:15	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x26aa7d…
10-31 06:06:13	Will Taylor Walls win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x0b4847…
10-31 02:05:24	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa56fd7…
10-31 01:29:54	Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xb8d869…
10-30 23:39:51	Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xbbe68c…
10-30 23:39:37	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x645dbe…
10-30 19:59:37	Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x3ba021…
10-30 19:57:15	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x041ae5…
10-30 18:34:45	Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5d8bcd…
10-30 18:31:09	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7e5ae7…
10-30 18:19:04	Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?	Montana	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa0c886…
10-30 18:13:48	Will Trump deport 400-500k people?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xff3de9…
10-30 17:45:12	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x487919…
10-30 17:45:01	Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xafa5c1…
10-30 17:43:06	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xcdb353…
10-30 17:42:51	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x669961…
10-30 17:41:34	Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?	Montana	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xd93732…
10-30 17:38:42	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x924bfe…
10-30 17:35:48	Will Wrexham be promoted to Premier League?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x1a1ff3…
10-30 17:19:21	Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa0b4e8…
10-30 17:18:34	Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xdb71f1…
10-30 17:18:19	Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbb8c28…
10-30 17:18:07	Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd20057…
10-30 17:18:03	Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2738eb…
10-28 19:01:34	Will Trump say "Lake America" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xeef446…
10-28 18:21:53	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	SELL	65	62¢	$40	0x2a17d4…
10-28 18:21:14	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xfb88cb…
10-28 18:20:56	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xa1bae2…
10-28 18:20:01	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xb76a72…
10-28 18:13:07	Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc05971…
10-28 13:57:31	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x199850…
10-27 21:26:36	Will West Bromwich Albion be promoted to Premier League?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5ef9fb…
10-27 14:48:14	Will Southampton be promoted to Premier League?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x949235…
10-27 11:12:00	Will West Ham United be promoted to Premier League?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x7f37aa…
10-26 21:42:35	Will West Bromwich Albion be promoted to Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x3ac8c8…
10-26 16:34:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Club of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x5a8f38…
10-26 16:32:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8d9ce5…
10-26 16:30:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5d1ff3…
10-26 16:23:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0xe25540…
10-26 16:17:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6d1ad5…
10-26 16:17:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8b86b2…
10-26 16:17:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xed7fae…
10-26 16:17:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x45c9e5…
10-26 04:41:32	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers be promoted to Premier League?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x2f4b7c…
10-25 15:19:05	Will Trump deport 400-500k people?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb1d810…
10-24 21:34:39	Will Birmingham City be promoted to Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x043b19…
10-24 21:33:33	Will Southampton be promoted to Premier League?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x0e2afc…
10-24 21:32:47	Will Middlesbrough be promoted to Premier League?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe2a742…
10-24 19:02:35	Will Swansea City be promoted to Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5797ed…
10-24 18:38:44	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xe251cb…
10-22 21:25:17	Will Torreense reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9bb7fb…
10-22 08:50:26	Will Denmark be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x2b329b…
10-22 08:48:51	Will Blackburn Rovers be promoted to Premier League?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb2fb65…
10-22 08:47:00	Will Wrexham be promoted to Premier League?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf52506…
10-21 23:00:41	Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x108a4b…
10-21 20:23:57	California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x10896e…
10-21 19:55:05	Will Stoke City be promoted to Premier League?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x23226a…
10-21 19:54:45	Will Stoke City be promoted to Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc79c91…
10-21 16:49:17	Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x1feeb5…
10-20 00:52:23	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x339c78…
10-19 23:55:15	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x2a2e6e…
10-19 17:03:33	Will Trump say "Apple" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdb5a1b…
10-19 15:04:21	Will Poland be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x73d1bd…
10-19 15:03:17	Will Kosovo be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27?	No	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x2f41da…
10-19 04:19:33	Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1025c0…
10-19 01:09:56	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x55ca5f…