Well-Informed-Breakpoint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-28 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$848

Other

42% 58% +$179

Crypto

7% 45% -$4

Sports

2% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$552	386	386	+0	Yes	+$212	04-13 21:02
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$250	862	0	+862	Yes	+$612	04-08 10:38
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	2	$148	108	108	+0	FC Barcelona	+$68	05-10 21:02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	2	$93	68	68	+0	Yes	+$42	10-17 16:06
epl ips liv 2026 09 04 spread away 1pt5	2	$92	69	69	+0	Liverpool FC	+$34	09-04 20:46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	2	$85	66	66	+0	Yes	+$47	09-09 20:55
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$74	50	50	+0	Yes	+$24	10-25 20:53
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	2	$54	41	41	+0	Yes	+$27	10-05 20:35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	2	$43	26	26	+0	Yes	+$8	10-17 18:38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$38	95	0	+95	No	-$38	05-30 12:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$35	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	10-26 22:55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	2	$30	19	19	+0	Yes	+$8	05-10 21:02
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$25	36	0	+36	Yes	+$11	06-11 18:59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	2	$25	42	42	+0	No	-$16	10-25 20:55
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	1	$23	63	0	+63	Yes	+$40	06-11 19:05
Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	10-27 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:35 UTC	3	$19	19	12	+7	Down	-$1	04-09 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$19	56	56	+0	Down	+$9	10-17 21:58
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	1	$19	99	0	+99	No	-$19	09-08 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	9	$16	23	19	+4	Up	+$6	10-17 22:29
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$14	0	131	-131	No	+$14	06-12 09:32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	1	$14	48	0	+48	No	-$14	10-11 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:50 UTC	3	$13	25	24	+1	Up	+$1	04-09 00:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:40 UTC	2	$13	16	15	+1	Up	+$3	04-09 00:42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	1	$12	30	0	+30	No	-$12	10-28 19:36
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	06-15 21:34
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	1	$9	115	0	+115	No	-$9	06-17 16:49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	1	$7	29	0	+29	No	-$7	10-25 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:45 UTC	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	-$5	04-09 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	05-10 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:36:07	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$12	0xfe0dc3…
10-27 21:55:45	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x0344a0…
10-27 21:48:14	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfea1b3…
10-26 22:55:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xf42720…
10-26 22:25:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xff3f48…
10-25 21:20:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	29	26¢	$7	0x9c0d03…
10-25 20:55:05	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0x7b6759…
10-25 20:53:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x839ce7…
10-25 14:01:39	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	42	49¢	$21	0x50b436…
10-25 13:07:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xac9556…
10-18 20:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc67732…
10-18 11:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc63863…
10-18 10:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3fc218…
10-18 10:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3d83b8…
10-17 22:32:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xb7c70c…
10-17 22:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfc5934…
10-17 22:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa85c25…
10-17 22:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x9f4aac…
10-17 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xfb025c…
10-17 22:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3cb0b5…
10-17 22:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3770bc…
10-17 22:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x78e358…
10-17 22:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xdbd978…
10-17 22:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xbfd54d…
10-17 22:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x958f04…
10-17 21:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0xf10e26…
10-17 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x312acb…
10-17 18:38:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1fcbee…
10-17 16:08:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x14043f…
10-17 16:06:56	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x63206a…
10-17 13:51:03	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	68	38¢	$26	0xefb668…
10-11 14:30:57	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x2144ea…
10-05 20:35:59	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x4545ce…
10-05 16:58:29	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$13	0x5f0ca1…
09-09 20:55:40	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xbceddc…
09-09 19:36:18	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	66	29¢	$19	0x9c28e9…
09-08 14:32:58	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	99	19¢	$19	0x4d0d49…
09-04 20:46:46	epl ips liv 2026 09 04 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	SELL	69	91¢	$63	0xd4b7c4…
09-04 16:37:39	epl ips liv 2026 09 04 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	69	42¢	$29	0xcfdb40…
06-17 16:49:14	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0x91e261…
06-15 21:34:24	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xaa80ea…
06-12 10:59:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x2ed998…
06-12 09:32:21	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	131	11¢	$14	0xc2a9be…
06-11 19:05:13	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	63	37¢	$23	0x2cd128…
06-11 18:59:54	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x262f0f…
05-30 12:01:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0x55cce2…
05-10 21:02:29	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x16848a…
05-10 21:02:17	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x032910…
05-10 18:47:13	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xc61dfe…
05-10 18:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8754a5…
05-10 18:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x841830…
05-10 18:24:56	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x6628ef…
04-13 21:02:57	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	386	99¢	$382	0x414775…
04-11 21:39:05	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	386	44¢	$170	0x84b9a0…
04-09 17:18:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x68de53…
04-09 08:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x6925ef…
04-09 08:35:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x830d66…
04-09 07:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xa81120…
04-09 07:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2a55f7…
04-09 07:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9dee62…
04-09 06:56:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xabff47…
04-09 01:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xcb2321…
04-09 01:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x488025…
04-09 01:01:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4db449…
04-09 00:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x050179…
04-09 00:51:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x21a981…
04-09 00:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1d211f…
04-09 00:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x84e6b3…
04-09 00:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x11748e…
04-09 00:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x808fc4…
04-09 00:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc64933…
04-09 00:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8b81dd…
04-09 00:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0xd2337d…
04-09 00:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x71f0c4…
04-08 10:38:25	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	862	29¢	$250	0x33bde0…