Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

2,591

Trades

15,888

lifetime

Volume

$107.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-06

last 11-04 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 88% +$57

Other

1% 51% -$48

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes		+0	$0	19¢	$0	$0	10-28 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	07-19 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:55 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	07-07 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 10:00 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	07-08 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 17:15 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	07-14 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:05 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	07-20 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:00 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	07-20 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	07-08 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:10 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	07-06 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 20:30 UTC	3	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	07-06 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	07-13 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:40 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	07-06 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:55 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	07-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 00:50 UTC	2	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	07-20 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:15 UTC	2	$492	500	+500	Up	+$8	07-06 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:50 UTC	2	$492	500	+500	Up	+$8	07-14 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:00 UTC	2	$480	500	+500	Down	+$20	07-07 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	09-03 20:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 08:00 UTC	3	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	06-26 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:10 UTC	1	$297	300	+300	Up	+$3	08-24 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:15 UTC	1	$297	300	+300	Up	+$3	08-31 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	09-08 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	09-01 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	9	$297	300	+300	Up	+$3	08-24 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:55 UTC	1	$297	300	+300	Up	+$3	08-24 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:55 UTC	1	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	08-21 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:35 UTC	3	$296	300	+300	Down	+$4	06-26 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 17:00 UTC	3	$296	300	+300	Down	+$4	06-25 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$295	300	+300	Down	+$5	09-04 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 01:45 UTC	3	$295	300	+300	Down	+$5	07-01 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:35 UTC	1	$294	300	+300	Down	+$6	08-22 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 20:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8511a5…
11-02 22:01:06	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x944477…
11-02 18:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x81acf3…
11-02 17:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9ffd07…
11-02 17:21:40	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5cdfa5…
11-01 04:00:55	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9b5472…
11-01 03:01:27	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2bdc9…
10-31 23:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x20c8e8…
10-31 23:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x1a12ab…
10-31 23:29:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1ba937…
10-31 23:16:18	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6112c6…
10-31 23:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa10874…
10-31 20:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x44438b…
10-31 20:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd7e6d8…
10-31 20:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc3d6b…
10-31 20:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x00ee06…
10-31 20:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4601c1…
10-31 19:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x221e26…
10-31 19:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x194a86…
10-31 18:39:09	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3b9608…
10-31 17:41:31	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6ae2d1…
10-31 17:15:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6a2cb0…
10-30 15:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x737d7a…
10-30 14:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x952a4a…
10-30 03:33:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xd49cf3…
10-30 03:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xc72ac6…
10-30 02:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 30?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xf80256…
10-30 00:47:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xa21e79…
10-30 00:47:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xf21a13…
10-30 00:47:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0xe50bdd…
10-29 22:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x7712f7…
10-29 21:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x64b555…
10-29 21:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xb4d225…
10-29 20:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x623716…
10-29 13:34:35	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x973818…
10-29 13:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x186eb6…
10-29 05:14:04	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x1a1df3…
10-29 04:42:41	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xfeeb06…
10-29 04:42:08	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xad2ad8…
10-29 04:36:29	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x35905a…
10-29 04:26:04	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x8c9d72…
10-29 04:22:04	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x7c4a1b…
10-29 04:16:01	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x02c3c4…
10-29 04:16:01	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x02c3c4…
10-29 03:54:05	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x8c25d3…
10-29 03:50:43	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7b3801…
10-29 03:16:04	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0x4fd84b…
10-29 03:10:04	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x2a71f0…
10-29 02:45:28	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	43	31¢	$13	0x4b481d…
10-29 02:38:20	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x28389f…
10-29 02:20:04	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xde4e87…
10-29 01:48:28	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xa68d26…
10-29 01:42:25	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x7a1141…
10-29 01:36:46	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xc6444c…
10-29 00:23:14	Spread: Spurs (-14.5)	Jazz	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd6514b…
10-29 00:09:01	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xde1e71…
10-28 23:53:29	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6e2550…
10-28 23:00:50	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa0af8e…
10-28 22:11:35	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0xcaffef…
10-28 22:05:16	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc774ad…
10-28 21:06:43	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0cd19e…
10-28 20:14:02	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd35e61…
10-28 20:08:14	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Movistar KOI	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbeecf6…
10-28 18:38:55	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Envy (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	Envy	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcf0384…
10-28 18:04:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x91219e…
10-28 17:06:47	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0ef7fb…
10-28 13:40:35	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Astra Invicta	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa299f8…
10-28 12:32:22	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd678be…
10-28 11:48:59	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x17493a…
10-28 04:24:04	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x651a2a…
10-28 04:06:04	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0xd1d23f…
10-28 03:53:11	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd83d01…
10-28 03:37:22	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0xde5405…
10-28 03:35:48	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x09cefa…
10-28 00:50:03	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x5b295f…
10-28 00:48:08	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xde6586…
10-28 00:48:03	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xceb1bf…
10-28 00:16:41	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xaa6223…
10-27 21:28:41	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0xb4fb3a…
10-27 21:22:03	Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xe863a5…
10-27 21:22:03	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x33cff1…
10-27 20:58:39	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x82055f…
10-27 20:51:18	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5539cb…
10-27 20:51:12	Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x4a6915…
10-27 19:27:51	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xb84342…
10-27 19:24:38	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x161440…
10-27 18:51:12	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4f515c…
10-27 13:56:42	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7ae673…
10-27 13:04:23	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xe9fc75…
10-27 13:04:21	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4e0b8c…
10-27 12:58:12	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x08476f…
10-27 12:57:41	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x69eae0…
10-27 08:51:17	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$19	0x323324…
10-26 22:30:39	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Anyone's Legend	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0x3ca61e…
10-26 21:55:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1738a4…
10-26 21:13:15	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x91d79f…
10-26 20:02:24	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1ee5c9…
10-26 19:36:35	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	Team Secret Whales	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x200de1…
10-26 19:12:53	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2abc89…
10-26 18:15:42	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xdc9141…