Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$78,724

Trades

9,091

Unique wallets

1,789

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-13

First seen

2026-07-13

last 07-13 00:20

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Rash-Alternative +3,240 All-Peasant-Drug +2,889 Wooden-Hearsay +1,920 (anon) +1,688 (anon) +1,273 Popular-Insurrection +1,208 (anon) +1,096 Thankful-Wingtip +1,001

NO holders

Rash-Alternative +3,240 (anon) +2,117 (anon) +1,611 (anon) +1,387 (anon) +1,234 Alive-Supermarket +1,120 Supportive-Matchmaker +1,091 (anon) +1,026

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +4.8¢ (top1%: 41% YES on $37.4K vs crowd: 37% YES on $72.6K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	183	$16.7K	$25.2K	$8.5K
🐬 Dolphin	460	$6.0K	$12.2K	$6.2K
🐟 Fish	713	$2.9K	$7.3K	$4.4K
🦐 Shrimp	433	$1.2K	$1.4K	$218

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	199	$15.5K	$21.9K	$6.4K
🏆 Top 5%	297	$2.1K	$4.1K	$2.0K
✅ Top 10%	130	$692	$1.2K	$462
Median	115	$334	$888	$554
Below median	454	$979	$2.7K	$1.8K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	264	$1.2K	$3.4K	$2.2K
🔻 Bottom 5%	229	$2.0K	$5.1K	$3.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	101	$3.9K	$6.7K	$2.8K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Up	+3,240	$1,916	$1,916	18	07-13 00:16
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+3,240	$1,320	$1,320	18	07-13 00:16
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Up	+2,889	$1,440	$1,463	18	07-13 00:17
(anonymous) 0xf4e6…f20b	Down	+2,117	$1,080	$1,080	79	07-13 00:15
Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e	Up	+1,920	$640	$640	101	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Up	+1,688	$652	$652	131	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8	Down	+1,611	$998	$998	116	07-13 00:19
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+1,387	$1,112	$1,112	73	07-13 00:19
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+1,273	$424	$424	66	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+1,234	$812	$812	46	07-13 00:18
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+1,208	$365	$365	118	07-13 00:18
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	Down	+1,120	$589	$589	3	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0x47f4…936b	Up	+1,096	$200	$200	2	07-13 00:18
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+1,091	$812	$812	34	07-13 00:19
(anonymous) 0x8ba3…6fa4	Down	+1,026	$900	$900	1	07-13 00:17
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+1,020	$736	$736	17	07-13 00:19
Thankful-Wingtip 0xffcf…0fed	Up	+1,001	$440	$440	38	07-13 00:18
Unwritten-Meringue 0x77b2…24bd	Up	+959	$424	$424	62	07-13 00:18
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+956	$251	$251	46	07-13 00:18
Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e	Down	+906	$396	$396	59	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Up	+884	$258	$258	52	07-13 00:18
Blissful-Pig 0x14a2…1b42	Up	+884	$357	$357	40	07-13 00:18
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+878	$285	$285	70	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+866	$340	$340	23	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+853	$274	$274	120	07-13 00:19
Wan-Crinoline-Anise 0xf898…fffc	Up	+842	$364	$364	34	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+832	$573	$573	99	07-13 00:19
Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79	Down	+800	$725	$725	21	07-13 00:19
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+788	$481	$481	23	07-13 00:19
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Down	+774	$517	$517	92	07-13 00:18
Crazy-Councilor 0xc017…7242	Down	+771	$274	$274	29	07-13 00:17
Deep-Sunbonnet 0x41b1…5fc0	Up	+761	$255	$255	24	07-13 00:18
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+752	$288	$288	21	07-13 00:18
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+740	$616	$616	36	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0xa827…f959	Down	+738	$600	$600	3	07-13 00:17
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+729	$493	$493	18	07-13 00:19
Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04	Up	+706	$300	$300	16	07-13 00:18
Wan-Crinoline-Anise 0xf898…fffc	Down	+694	$289	$289	32	07-13 00:17
Crazy-Councilor 0xc017…7242	Up	+693	$258	$258	20	07-13 00:18
Posh-Sherbet 0x95fa…66b3	Up	+678	$362	$362	27	07-13 00:18
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Up	+660	$295	$295	11	07-13 00:18
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Up	+631	$444	$444	18	07-13 00:15
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Up	+630	$242	$242	71	07-13 00:18
Legitimate-Randomization 0x1faa…ad8a	Up	+628	$6	$6	26	07-13 00:19
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	Up	+600	$18	$18	1	07-13 00:19
Repentant-Confirmation 0x5195…d864	Up	+599	$193	$193	25	07-13 00:18
Thankful-Wingtip 0xffcf…0fed	Down	+598	$224	$224	47	07-13 00:16
Blissful-Pig 0x14a2…1b42	Down	+595	$199	$199	44	07-13 00:17
Repentant-Confirmation 0x5195…d864	Down	+573	$182	$182	20	07-13 00:15
Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04	Down	+563	$230	$230	22	07-13 00:18
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	Down	+560	$278	$278	2	07-13 00:13
(anonymous) 0x26e6…8303	Up	+553	$0	$150	4	07-13 00:19
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Down	+546	$359	$359	68	07-13 00:18
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Down	+541	$331	$331	24	07-13 00:18
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+535	$260	$260	37	07-13 00:18
Unwritten-Meringue 0x77b2…24bd	Down	+522	$225	$225	24	07-13 00:17
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+519	$354	$354	19	07-13 00:15
Superior-Comb 0x9a07…04e1	Down	+510	$240	$240	2	07-13 00:15
Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4	Down	+508	$501	$501	28	07-13 00:19
Precious-Reporter 0xdf94…972c	Up	+500	$5	$5	1	07-13 00:19