Valuable-Pickup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$42

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$9.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$730

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

52% 41% -$58

Sports

42% 42% -$39

Politics

4% 100% +$10

Crypto

2% 75% +$68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+332	$217	97¢	$322	+$105	10-24 20:59
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	+222	$200	88¢	$195	-$5	10-24 20:58
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+400	$32	13¢	$53	+$21	08-17 09:20
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+320	$41	12¢	$40	-$1	09-30 10:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+172	$55	17¢	$29	-$26	09-24 12:32
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+203	$30	14¢	$27	-$2	09-23 13:33
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+239	$42	8¢	$20	-$22	10-27 08:55
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+125	$20	16¢	$19	-$1	10-20 19:04
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+140	$21	14¢	$19	-$2	09-04 11:20
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+737	$30	1¢	$5	-$25	10-20 19:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	15	$2.1K	1,415	1,083	+332	open	—	10-24 20:59
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$802	8,599	7,652	+947	No	-$128	06-26 08:55
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?	8	$658	567	264	+304	Yes	+$162	07-12 11:48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$640	1,419	918	+500	No	+$34	07-13 09:52
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$635	558	547	+10	No	-$15	07-16 12:56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$391	1,191	1,191	+0	No	-$9	07-15 14:50
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$357	453	442	+11	Yes	+$148	07-18 23:07
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	6	$304	195	195	+0	open	—	09-01 15:14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$271	3,704	3,556	+148	No	+$71	07-10 08:51
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$256	156	156	+0	Spain	+$56	07-06 21:05
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$217	422	422	+0	No	-$23	06-26 08:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$203	233	136	+97	No	-$99	09-10 13:50
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	1	$200	222	0	+222	open	—	10-24 20:58
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	2	$169	192	169	+23	Yes	-$8	07-15 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 23:15 UTC	5	$140	182	90	+93	Up	+$61	03-20 23:18
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	2	$110	161	161	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$90	07-09 11:23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$102	267	267	+0	No	+$2	07-15 14:50
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$100	169	0	+169	Spain	+$69	07-16 12:55
will germany reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120751	1	$100	142	0	+142	No	-$100	06-06 09:55
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$91	3,167	3,167	+0	No	-$9	06-28 09:04
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	5	$87	110	58	+52	Argentina	-$3	07-15 20:49
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$80	106	106	+0	No	+$0	07-10 08:53
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	1	$70	123	0	+123	Yes	+$53	06-24 16:48
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	8	$69	290	290	+0	open	—	09-14 15:58
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$66	467	467	+0	No	-$24	06-28 08:52
lol mkoi kc 2026 06 06	2	$66	51	51	+0	Karmine Corp	+$6	06-06 16:14
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	5	$65	800	800	+0	open	—	10-13 12:19
will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	3	$62	62	59	+3	No	+$2	07-06 21:03
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$61	1,429	1,429	+0	No	+$1	06-29 17:52
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$60	94	0	+94	Yes	+$34	06-15 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:55:50	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe00009…
10-25 15:45:03	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfa0ba8…
10-24 21:07:44	Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x590706…
10-24 20:59:09	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	97¢	$145	0x15a2c7…
10-24 20:58:57	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xc3ecdf…
10-24 20:58:18	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	237	97¢	$230	0xc7871d…
10-24 20:57:29	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	20¢	$27	0x6ce038…
10-24 20:40:21	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x60b3e4…
10-24 20:39:47	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb33f10…
10-24 19:45:32	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf3900c…
10-24 18:13:44	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc07d26…
10-24 10:11:42	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x37bb3c…
10-21 14:53:02	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x7b2bc5…
10-20 19:05:20	Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	737	4¢	$30	0xb2eb36…
10-20 19:04:21	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa6ba8e…
10-20 19:04:06	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x69d284…
10-20 19:03:39	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5a471f…
10-20 19:03:26	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4d8486…
10-20 19:03:18	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd5388f…
10-20 19:03:03	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbc7f62…
10-20 19:02:41	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x5777d9…
10-20 11:06:45	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	97¢	$113	0xafb73c…
10-19 08:39:53	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x898eaf…
10-19 08:38:59	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdf0964…
10-16 12:29:12	lol fur c9 2026 10 16 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd5e6ef…
10-16 12:28:33	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x67f00a…
10-13 12:37:53	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Karmine Corp	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb0855f…
10-13 12:37:35	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	FURIA Esports	BUY	44	74¢	$32	0x14f558…
10-13 12:19:04	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	800	4¢	$32	0xd58fee…
09-30 10:31:30	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe2c73f…
09-30 10:31:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbd315b…
09-30 10:30:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xf35800…
09-25 09:30:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x12a875…
09-24 12:32:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x76b642…
09-24 12:32:33	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x4ce8dd…
09-24 12:32:09	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	96¢	$110	0x2a245f…
09-23 21:41:25	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xb29db7…
09-23 21:34:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xa91893…
09-23 21:34:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x5b2e01…
09-23 21:31:22	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x783131…
09-23 13:33:56	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xf2b4a5…
09-23 13:33:44	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x71ca77…
09-20 13:55:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x684cbc…
09-20 13:55:01	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2ce620…
09-18 21:12:01	lol kc mkoi 2026 09 19	Karmine Corp	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x30aa5c…
09-14 20:44:13	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x20d287…
09-14 20:43:15	Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0x676685…
09-14 15:58:07	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	290	10¢	$29	0x74674d…
09-12 20:49:45	Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x2bce8e…
09-12 20:49:19	AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7b7802…
09-12 20:47:40	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x875ef7…
09-12 08:03:18	SS Lazio to score first vs. AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb5b624…
09-12 08:03:12	SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xef86b1…
09-12 08:01:34	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs	T1	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x76d436…
09-11 22:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x31337d…
09-11 22:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x29cf19…
09-11 22:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x956ea1…
09-11 22:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xb263a5…
09-11 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7cd286…
09-10 13:50:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0xc4ee52…
09-08 18:57:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0xbf3719…
09-07 21:41:43	LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xe4dab0…
09-07 20:46:39	LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xf629d8…
09-07 20:46:33	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xa2a9ec…
09-04 11:22:27	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x0d31c8…
09-04 11:21:49	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xeb6cde…
09-04 11:20:18	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xb9764c…
09-04 11:20:10	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0xd1de4f…
09-04 11:17:18	lol vit g2 2026 09 05	Team Vitality	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbd95ae…
09-01 15:15:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x9a59c3…
09-01 15:14:19	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0x6eb12b…
09-01 15:14:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	91	39¢	$35	0xb539e4…
08-28 15:28:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xe8eafe…
08-27 16:03:12	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0xf34a2d…
08-27 08:40:24	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x309bd5…
08-27 02:07:24	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xba1026…
08-27 01:57:46	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	495	4¢	$20	0x495001…
08-24 08:28:28	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	63	14¢	$9	0xd1103c…
08-23 14:51:34	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf7024e…
08-23 14:51:34	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x1035f7…
08-23 14:50:43	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x761a05…
08-23 14:50:42	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x03adaa…
08-23 00:37:21	Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	79	14¢	$11	0x94a6dc…
08-23 00:36:43	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	103	90¢	$93	0xfde2ff…
08-17 09:21:21	Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0xcf889a…
08-17 09:21:03	Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	296	4¢	$12	0xf5e776…
08-17 09:20:54	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x58ee34…
08-17 09:14:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x033844…
08-09 21:43:01	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	146	0¢	$0	0x7ea475…
08-05 14:55:47	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x72bce1…
08-05 14:55:17	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x608504…
07-22 10:15:04	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5cac91…
07-22 10:15:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0bcb96…
07-22 10:11:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x871805…
07-20 01:05:09	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x6d2e64…
07-20 01:02:24	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0x9b9b0e…
07-20 01:00:06	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0x2b6ec1…
07-18 23:07:33	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	97	92¢	$90	0x8c8f8d…
07-17 13:56:39	lol al kc 2026 07 17	Anyone's Legend	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5ec3ba…
07-16 12:57:31	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xe44cd7…