Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-02 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

89% 31% -$1,303

Other

11% 12% -$51

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	21	$862	58,480	0	+58,480	No	-$862	08-02 08:55
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$684	416	416	+0	Yes	+$124	04-12 18:38
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$506	141,144	0	+141,144	No	-$506	08-02 08:53
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$224	44,105	0	+44,105	No	-$224	08-02 07:57
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	5	$223	183	183	+0	Yes	+$143	02-28 07:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$199	164	164	+0	Yes	+$118	02-28 19:48
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$173	106	106	+0	No	+$33	04-12 18:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$142	343	343	+0	No	+$10	04-18 23:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$109	1,531	1,531	+0	No	-$23	04-14 20:05
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	4	$84	568	568	+0	Yes	+$42	02-28 04:20
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	4	$78	13,915	40	+13,875	Yes	+$2	03-24 02:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$59	301	301	+0	No	-$41	03-31 01:47
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	4	$40	548	0	+548	No	-$40	02-20 20:34
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$30	810	0	+810	No	-$30	02-20 03:05
Will the US strike Iran next?	5	$20	6,283	0	+6,283	No	-$20	02-19 23:42
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$16	633	189	+444	No	-$10	03-15 16:12
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$15	136	0	+136	No	-$15	02-20 03:28
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$14	1,273	0	+1,273	No	-$14	02-18 21:24
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$12	160	160	+0	No	-$8	02-25 00:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	04-12 22:00
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$6	43	2	+41	Yes	-$2	03-30 23:44
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	1	$5	122	0	+122	No	-$5	03-29 20:47
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$4	73	0	+73	No	-$4	02-28 22:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$4	390	0	+390	No	-$4	04-02 05:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$4	430	0	+430	No	-$4	04-02 05:11
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1,240	0	+1,240	No	-$2	03-15 16:13
Will the US strike another country first?	2	$2	500	0	+500	No	-$2	02-19 15:45
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-23 18:33
Will the US strike Syria next?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	02-19 23:43
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 180 199	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	02-20 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 08:55:39	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	279	3¢	$7	0x25817d…
08-02 08:55:05	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,977	3¢	$50	0x531861…
08-02 08:54:23	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,002	2¢	$100	0x04d5d1…
08-02 08:54:06	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,002	2¢	$50	0x015f82…
08-02 08:53:41	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,129	1¢	$25	0x25c76a…
08-02 08:08:03	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	402	2¢	$10	0x4cab12…
08-02 08:07:54	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$4	0xd99796…
08-02 08:07:41	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	220	2¢	$5	0x9ac9df…
08-02 08:06:56	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,956	2¢	$39	0x48c441…
08-02 08:03:21	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x7d2b20…
08-02 07:59:42	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,454	1¢	$35	0x9f1ca6…
08-02 07:58:38	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,328	2¢	$70	0x42f9f5…
08-02 07:58:26	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19,254	0¢	$58	0x9ea4d1…
08-02 07:58:15	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0xd79a1b…
08-02 07:58:03	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,939	0¢	$18	0x55ce2d…
08-02 07:57:23	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14,321	0¢	$54	0x54a3e4…
08-02 07:57:11	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,741	1¢	$100	0xa34812…
08-02 07:56:59	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,927	1¢	$30	0xa1cdc2…
07-31 19:56:47	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,822	1¢	$28	0xfd17b9…
07-31 19:56:29	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,599	3¢	$94	0x6d770f…
07-31 19:29:41	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,231	2¢	$68	0xe50fbe…
07-31 19:28:20	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,487	2¢	$31	0xa9b1a9…
07-31 19:27:47	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,339	2¢	$62	0x30165c…
07-31 19:09:57	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$9	0x6f64a1…
07-31 19:09:35	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,175	1¢	$26	0x7dae6a…
07-31 19:09:23	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	883	1¢	$11	0xee12bc…
07-31 19:08:06	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	444	1¢	$6	0x91b10d…
07-31 19:07:32	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	851	1¢	$10	0xebd8e0…
07-31 19:07:23	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,004	1¢	$10	0x2fabb9…
07-31 19:07:08	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17,170	1¢	$100	0x94afe7…
07-31 19:06:23	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$3	0x08f95b…
07-31 19:04:54	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,949	1¢	$30	0xef6409…
07-31 19:03:21	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,562	0¢	$36	0xe911a6…
07-31 19:02:48	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,300	1¢	$55	0x788dc8…
07-31 19:02:18	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,673	1¢	$47	0x17f7f5…
07-31 19:01:59	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,756	0¢	$45	0x22adfd…
07-31 19:01:03	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33,333	0¢	$100	0x9ba64f…
07-31 19:00:53	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,795	0¢	$8	0x44d863…
07-31 18:58:45	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,093	1¢	$52	0x9076bf…
04-18 23:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	31	23¢	$7	0x0f6cf8…
04-17 15:38:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xf2627c…
04-16 14:51:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	312	22¢	$69	0xeb990c…
04-14 20:05:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	323	2¢	$5	0x58b66c…
04-12 22:02:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xfe6011…
04-12 22:00:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xeb4219…
04-12 22:00:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0xb09531…
04-12 18:39:03	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	106	98¢	$103	0x3e5efb…
04-12 18:38:57	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	416	97¢	$404	0xf9d3d6…
04-07 23:41:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,208	3¢	$38	0x058c47…
04-06 07:16:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	629	4¢	$27	0x5ffad0…
04-02 06:37:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x01ba34…
04-02 05:12:01	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	130	69¢	$90	0x519ca2…
04-02 05:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x6b32bd…
04-02 05:11:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x0a0b44…
04-01 15:53:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0xd8f0a9…
03-31 01:48:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0x189316…
03-31 01:47:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	301	3¢	$9	0x26c5b4…
03-30 23:44:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xc9a9bb…
03-30 23:44:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x147c56…
03-29 20:48:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0xebbfcb…
03-29 20:48:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x56a264…
03-29 20:47:16	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x3870dc…
03-29 20:45:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xf7b377…
03-29 20:45:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x291aff…
03-29 20:25:10	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa1d512…
03-28 15:33:29	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa93d45…
03-28 15:33:21	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xbe2abf…
03-27 22:45:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6497d9…
03-27 15:23:27	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x48b34d…
03-27 15:23:19	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe40532…
03-27 05:32:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x5968ae…
03-27 02:10:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x0af922…
03-24 02:58:31	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	3,875	0¢	$8	0xe190b0…
03-24 02:55:27	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x05d6b3…
03-24 02:54:25	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x1e045e…
03-23 18:33:37	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x502176…
03-23 18:33:23	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x28dd9d…
03-22 22:11:37	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8aa84e…
03-16 21:44:35	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7a029e…
03-15 16:13:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x142c90…
03-15 16:12:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x58ccad…
02-28 22:02:31	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0x785ccf…
02-28 19:48:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	164	96¢	$158	0xbf7267…
02-28 07:49:39	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0xa745fe…
02-28 05:23:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0x6fd094…
02-28 05:22:39	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x15cc48…
02-28 05:21:13	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe1cec6…
02-28 04:26:19	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0xe2e834…
02-28 04:22:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x50722e…
02-28 04:20:53	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	568	11¢	$63	0x81df08…
02-27 05:07:28	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x466a7b…
02-27 05:07:18	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x25171a…
02-27 05:06:38	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0xcd909f…
02-27 05:06:20	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$3	0xad56e9…
02-25 00:29:44	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xcb32ad…
02-25 00:28:00	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x29d72f…
02-22 17:30:40	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0x27a1c5…
02-22 04:48:34	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x9656ee…
02-21 04:48:50	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	243	3¢	$8	0x025065…
02-20 23:03:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8d459a…