Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

124

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$408

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-07

last 10-28 00:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

59% 99% +$148

Politics

31% 92% -$181

Tech

5% 100% +$37

Crypto

3% 89% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+150	$147	98¢	$147	-$1	10-27 01:41
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+150	$148	97¢	$146	-$2	10-25 16:01
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+150	$146	77¢	$116	-$30	10-25 01:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$611	630	0	+630	Yes	+$19	06-25 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 24?	3	$289	150	150	+0	No	+$11	10-25 01:46
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	2	$287	150	150	+0	open	—	10-26 15:08
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	2	$264	150	150	+0	open	—	10-25 01:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$215	117	117	+0	Yes	+$15	06-24 05:30
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$206	106	106	+0	Yes	+$6	07-01 14:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	06-24 05:30
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	10-23 02:32
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$2	10-24 01:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	3	$193	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	10-24 01:30
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-01 14:53
iran successfully targets shipping on june 30 20260625225210241	2	$191	100	100	+0	No	+$5	07-01 14:53
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	2	$148	150	0	+150	No	+$2	10-25 16:02
Will Andrea Čajková win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	4	$148	150	0	+150	No	+$2	10-24 11:51
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$148	150	0	+150	No	+$2	10-24 01:29
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	4	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	10-25 16:01
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	2	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	10-25 16:05
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$147	150	0	+150	open	—	10-27 01:41
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	1	$147	150	0	+150	No	+$3	10-25 15:57
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	4	$147	150	0	+150	open	—	10-24 11:50
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$146	150	0	+150	open	—	10-25 01:39
Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	3	$146	150	0	+150	No	+$4	10-24 11:46
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	5	$146	150	0	+150	open	—	10-25 01:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	3	$146	150	0	+150	No	+$4	10-26 15:08
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on or prior to October 23, 2026?	2	$145	150	0	+150	No	+$5	10-23 15:16
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	3	$145	150	0	+150	Yes	-$145	10-25 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	1	$145	150	0	+150	No	+$5	10-26 01:26
Will Henrich Varga win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	2	$144	150	0	+150	No	+$6	10-24 11:37
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	1	$144	150	0	+150	No	+$6	10-28 00:47
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$144	150	0	+150	No	+$6	10-24 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:47:06	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x301b64…
10-28 00:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x2ad29b…
10-28 00:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x617a35…
10-28 00:45:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x597219…
10-28 00:45:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe42d2c…
10-28 00:44:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x329b54…
10-27 01:45:44	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x16368b…
10-27 01:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	115	94¢	$109	0xfbf5c1…
10-27 01:41:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x48af61…
10-27 01:41:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0xcf4eae…
10-27 01:40:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0xde0b31…
10-27 01:40:41	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	150	95¢	$143	0x1e7a61…
10-26 15:08:11	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0xa212dd…
10-26 15:08:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xbb65ec…
10-26 15:07:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xabe970…
10-26 15:07:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x7469e8…
10-26 15:07:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$140	0xe85b39…
10-26 15:05:27	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xf8c7dc…
10-26 15:04:57	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	93	91¢	$84	0xec2796…
10-26 01:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0x5ee434…
10-25 16:08:08	Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9613ba…
10-25 16:07:38	Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2170c1…
10-25 16:07:35	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xde53f3…
10-25 16:07:03	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdbb1d2…
10-25 16:06:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8de6d4…
10-25 16:06:00	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3a5780…
10-25 16:05:30	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xdcc3b2…
10-25 16:05:27	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$128	0x5d505b…
10-25 16:04:56	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdf01bf…
10-25 16:03:21	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 6%-10%?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x39a3a0…
10-25 16:02:50	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 6%-10%?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x5b183b…
10-25 16:02:47	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xacbf36…
10-25 16:02:15	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x224e4e…
10-25 16:02:12	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xbb82dd…
10-25 16:01:41	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x08375d…
10-25 16:01:09	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x5fc86a…
10-25 16:01:06	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x1ade3a…
10-25 16:00:35	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x9afd1e…
10-25 16:00:05	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1b2ac9…
10-25 15:59:33	Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7d8b94…
10-25 15:57:27	Will Chris Leahy win the 2026 Whitby mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3a4ab2…
10-25 15:57:24	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x8afef1…
10-25 15:57:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xf20584…
10-25 15:55:45	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0xa5643c…
10-25 15:55:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x942cb6…
10-25 15:55:12	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x1e852a…
10-25 15:54:41	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5b53b9…
10-25 15:54:09	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xc50d10…
10-25 15:53:41	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x462da9…
10-25 15:53:06	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xe9a843…
10-25 01:46:32	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	150	84¢	$126	0x6148ac…
10-25 01:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 24?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xe566d5…
10-25 01:46:23	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xd56fab…
10-25 01:45:51	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa6c746…
10-25 01:45:20	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x92ee20…
10-25 01:44:50	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xf7e5af…
10-25 01:44:18	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xf8ef3a…
10-25 01:44:15	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x86e6f6…
10-25 01:43:44	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xc65c1f…
10-25 01:43:12	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f61a8…
10-25 01:42:42	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x42e423…
10-25 01:42:11	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x5e05c6…
10-25 01:40:06	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x4ae0db…
10-25 01:40:03	Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xa3ed31…
10-25 01:39:32	Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xdb007f…
10-25 01:39:29	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x72eeec…
10-24 11:51:54	Will Igor Šimko win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xca5bca…
10-24 11:51:53	Will Andrea Čajková win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x43018b…
10-24 11:51:21	Will Andrea Čajková win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8a74d4…
10-24 11:50:50	Will Andrea Čajková win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xba52b6…
10-24 11:50:20	Will Andrea Čajková win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d5ca4…
10-24 11:50:15	Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa7ab80…
10-24 11:49:45	Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa7a919…
10-24 11:49:14	Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xccf735…
10-24 11:48:42	Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xbcc1a6…
10-24 11:46:36	Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xe85ca5…
10-24 11:46:33	Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x02371a…
10-24 11:46:02	Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x44431d…
10-24 11:45:30	Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xec2a0f…
10-24 11:41:48	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa80fce…
10-24 11:41:18	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd31bd6…
10-24 11:39:42	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xac6139…
10-24 11:39:11	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x592ea2…
10-24 11:37:36	Will Bruce Kong win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x52f921…
10-24 11:37:05	Will Bruce Kong win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4dd14d…
10-24 11:37:02	Will Henrich Varga win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xcf39c3…
10-24 11:36:30	Will Henrich Varga win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x3af9de…
10-24 11:36:27	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x9cbc37…
10-24 11:35:56	Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0x53f798…
10-24 11:35:53	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0x3a8aff…
10-24 11:35:21	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	No	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0x78bacb…
10-24 01:30:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0xa8068c…
10-24 01:30:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x6f5f9c…
10-24 01:29:29	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x918d18…
10-24 01:29:26	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x8d199c…
10-24 01:28:54	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xd9b67b…
10-24 01:28:51	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x8f8fb8…
10-23 15:17:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xed3505…
10-23 15:17:26	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdf5510…
10-23 15:16:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x915931…