Realized P&L
-$726
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
5,994
Trades
9,018
lifetime
Volume
$223.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$154
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-30 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 83% -$666
Other
1% 72% -$58
Tech
0% 100% +$10
Politics
0% 50% -$8
Sports
0% 33% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +17 $12 83¢ $14 +$2 10-16 13:36
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +50 $32 25¢ $13 -$20 10-17 14:21
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +17 $10 74¢ $12 +$2 09-21 17:52
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $5 82¢ $12 +$7 10-05 07:16
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +14 $8 70¢ $10 +$1 10-29 09:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $7 100¢ $9 +$2 09-20 14:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +9 $4 89¢ $8 +$4 09-20 15:55
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 94¢ $7 +$1 09-20 16:12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 09-28 08:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +8 $5 82¢ $7 +$2 10-06 03:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 09-25 16:27
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 09-18 04:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 09-15 15:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +21 $15 22¢ $5 -$11 10-07 17:33
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 Yes +17 $6 26¢ $5 -$2 09-26 00:34
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +14 $5 30¢ $4 -$1 10-30 14:31
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +5 $3 81¢ $4 +$1 09-18 12:10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +5 $1 78¢ $4 +$3 10-07 11:51
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +6 $4 60¢ $4 $0 10-18 06:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +21 $10 16¢ $3 -$7 09-21 14:34
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No +17 $4 17¢ $3 -$2 09-25 09:27
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $10 18¢ $3 -$7 10-02 17:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +8 $3 18¢ $1 -$1 10-07 08:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +9 $5 11¢ $1 -$4 09-20 02:22
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +5 $3 19¢ $1 -$2 09-18 14:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-26 00:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +5 $1 8¢ $0 $0 10-15 19:27
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 09-23 12:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +9 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-21 08:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +5 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 09-15 17:41