Precious-Durian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$9.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-08 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 44% +$10

Other

34% — —

Politics

6% 0% $-10

Sports

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$1.2K	2,070	2,070	+0	open	—	03-24 20:02
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$918	855	855	+0	open	—	03-16 19:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$742	593	605	-12	open	—	06-01 17:30
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	5	$578	764	202	+563	open	—	01-26 14:56
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	3	$411	235	235	+0	open	—	01-20 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	11	$365	9,301	8,939	+362	open	—	04-17 06:20
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$285	215	215	+0	open	—	04-30 09:22
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$272	329	329	+0	open	—	03-23 13:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	9	$238	7,494	7,200	+294	open	—	04-24 17:40
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	2	$237	218	218	+0	open	—	02-18 05:41
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	2	$205	267	267	+0	open	—	02-21 05:50
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$200	294	0	+294	open	—	03-26 11:40
will m3gan 2pt0 be the top us netflix movie this week february 3	2	$195	214	0	+214	open	—	01-31 14:54
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$179	596	596	+0	open	—	05-01 08:09
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$126	421	46	+375	open	—	03-11 09:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$122	492	210	+282	open	—	04-12 19:23
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	2	$119	6,310	6,310	+0	open	—	01-26 14:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$115	1,674	1,674	+0	open	—	01-10 12:21
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$115	151	151	+0	open	—	04-01 12:03
will the rip be the top us netflix movie this week january 27 2026	1	$111	139	0	+139	open	—	01-22 13:14
bitcoin up or down on february 13	3	$107	367	54	+313	open	—	02-13 15:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$98	250	250	+0	open	—	01-10 12:20
maduro in us custody by january 31	2	$97	91	91	+0	open	—	01-03 09:29
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	1	$90	259	0	+259	open	—	01-26 14:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$90	333	333	+0	Yes	$-10	04-10 13:51
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$89	161	161	+0	open	—	02-13 07:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$82	152	152	+0	open	—	04-08 15:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	4	$82	1,585	1,523	+62	open	—	04-19 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$76	367	31	+336	Down	$-16	05-13 06:54
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	3	$76	321	0	+321	open	—	01-10 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:10:04	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0xec5fbc…
06-08 05:27:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0xda3a54…
06-01 17:30:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	605	100¢	$604	0x052686…
06-01 13:17:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	30¢	$29	0x4804b0…
06-01 12:44:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	226	21¢	$48	0xed24a8…
06-01 12:36:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	231	22¢	$50	0xdfcfb8…
06-01 12:28:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x082bbc…
06-01 12:25:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x74ff55…
05-20 17:59:45	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xbc5aa9…
05-14 19:44:46	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x1a2a62…
05-14 19:32:05	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x006b95…
05-13 07:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9dd3ed…
05-13 07:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xdbed9a…
05-13 07:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd38799…
05-13 07:06:44	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x2ee7c7…
05-13 07:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1a2850…
05-13 07:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0xa26163…
05-13 07:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x1385d4…
05-13 07:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x70281a…
05-13 06:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0xc8a97b…
05-13 06:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xfb6efb…
05-13 06:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xc3ea1c…
05-13 06:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x222251…
05-13 06:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb13067…
05-13 06:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	278	1¢	$4	0x21266e…
05-13 06:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x81cbf7…
05-13 06:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2bfdb4…
05-13 06:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x43e266…
05-13 06:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x3b880b…
05-13 06:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x1ced4d…
05-13 06:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x6c694d…
05-13 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x22f4a1…
05-13 06:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xcf9324…
05-13 06:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x276232…
05-13 06:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x8032f8…
05-13 06:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x372050…
05-13 06:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbf98d6…
05-13 06:26:45	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xcc718e…
05-12 18:40:46	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9f320b…
05-12 18:40:25	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbbab57…
05-12 18:40:08	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa7fbb0…
05-12 18:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1173a5…
05-12 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x2851e9…
05-12 18:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xefee12…
05-12 18:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x41f5fd…
05-12 18:33:45	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x50151f…
05-12 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x927e2b…
05-12 18:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x189e43…
05-12 18:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x02ff91…
05-12 18:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x463a89…
05-12 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x2de68b…
05-12 11:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3fee8a…
05-12 11:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb57518…
05-12 11:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x46c3ef…
05-12 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x100685…
05-12 11:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb21f2f…
05-12 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xaa906a…
05-12 11:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xb94a62…
05-12 11:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf71e11…
05-12 11:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xe61a0d…
05-12 11:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xa907a9…
05-12 11:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x5331d8…
05-12 11:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1cb997…
05-12 11:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x2af3e0…
05-12 11:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x4d33c9…
05-12 11:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf0898e…
05-12 11:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3e0c3c…
05-12 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x1a52a8…
05-12 11:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x27353e…
05-11 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0xcf8536…
05-11 13:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xa8cbfb…
05-11 12:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3acc6b…
05-11 12:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xd2b0ff…
05-11 12:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6d3f15…
05-11 12:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	47	39¢	$18	0x535adb…
05-11 12:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x0f9fc7…
05-11 12:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0x63dc2c…
05-11 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc8324e…
05-11 12:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0xdb815f…
05-11 12:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x0d273e…
05-11 12:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6a57e5…
05-11 12:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	113	5¢	$5	0xef74d5…
05-11 12:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x9401a6…
05-11 12:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xdf696b…
05-11 12:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe8c238…
05-11 12:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f7e22…
05-11 11:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x4747e3…
05-11 11:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf120e7…
05-11 11:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ddc8d…
05-11 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaef738…
05-11 11:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb48a26…
05-11 11:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc6de60…
05-11 11:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x5a085d…
05-11 11:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfff9bd…
05-11 11:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xee035b…
05-11 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xb6d83d…
05-11 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x17a7c0…
05-11 11:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe70a4b…
05-11 11:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x51f0d0…
05-11 11:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x85d048…