Suspicious-Government-Patriot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$288

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

1,790

Trades

3,229

lifetime

Volume

$8.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-05 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 69% -$175

Other

20% 13% -$108

Politics

9% 29% -$1

Tech

1% 20% -$5

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 24?	13	$87	100	100	+0	No	-$5	10-22 21:15
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	10-22 08:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 10%-15%?	18	$77	180	180	+0	open	—	10-22 11:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	10-22 16:47
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$64	220	220	+0	No	+$2	10-22 14:09
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	4	$64	55	55	+0	open	—	10-22 17:23
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 6%-9%?	8	$57	80	80	+0	open	—	10-22 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?	8	$47	65	65	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 12:04
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	8	$43	72	72	+0	No	$0	10-22 13:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	5	$42	105	105	+0	open	—	10-23 05:55
mlp stl la 2026 06 07	5	$34	50	26	+24	St. Louis Shock	-$10	06-07 13:26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 24?	6	$34	30	30	+0	No	-$3	10-22 09:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 23?	4	$34	40	40	+0	No	-$2	10-22 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 24?	7	$32	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 09:11
Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	4	$32	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-22 11:45
will podemos win the most seats in guadalajara in the 2026 spanish general election	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 08:29
Will PSOE win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 09:02
Will PSOE win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	3	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 11:05
Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	2	$31	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-22 10:57
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 12:05
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	3	$31	50	50	+0	open	—	10-22 14:57
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 23?	3	$31	20	20	+0	No	-$3	10-22 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 23?	5	$30	20	20	+0	No	-$2	10-22 14:40
Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 09:02
Will PP win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?	5	$30	36	36	+0	open	—	10-22 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?	3	$29	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-22 09:10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?	6	$29	60	60	+0	open	—	10-22 09:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	2	$29	55	55	+0	open	—	10-22 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 23?	7	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	10-22 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 11:00:46	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x2b2c4a…
10-25 09:22:26	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xcd733c…
10-24 13:10:11	Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9ccf26…
10-23 22:36:05	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x494558…
10-23 14:50:21	Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0x8e7190…
10-23 13:26:39	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x65be3b…
10-23 11:44:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xfaee3e…
10-23 10:10:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xdba410…
10-23 10:09:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xaa1c91…
10-23 10:05:08	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x51aa93…
10-23 06:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x53776f…
10-23 06:33:08	Will Cyprus win 2026-27 Nations League Group C2?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x6c0bad…
10-23 05:55:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0x28602e…
10-23 05:49:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xbae5d3…
10-23 05:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x7cdfd6…
10-23 04:38:47	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0xfff17f…
10-23 04:12:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x81bcb0…
10-23 03:38:14	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x580061…
10-23 02:44:35	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xaa5b03…
10-22 23:07:42	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xff2cfd…
10-22 21:54:45	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0x626002…
10-22 21:50:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xe98b71…
10-22 21:50:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x326b00…
10-22 21:36:33	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc9da64…
10-22 21:36:33	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x39fdcb…
10-22 21:28:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x545d3b…
10-22 21:16:08	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x936a55…
10-22 21:15:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6eb36d…
10-22 21:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 24?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xcfb6ed…
10-22 21:13:41	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x07b87c…
10-22 21:09:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xead99d…
10-22 21:09:08	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xbf4fed…
10-22 21:06:36	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x954b73…
10-22 21:06:36	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x6f16b8…
10-22 21:04:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x90f025…
10-22 20:47:51	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x52ebf6…
10-22 20:39:44	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x86bccc…
10-22 20:27:56	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	No	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0xec735a…
10-22 20:09:09	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x32309c…
10-22 20:09:09	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x050e93…
10-22 20:07:51	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe7d109…
10-22 19:45:12	Will Cyprus win 2026-27 Nations League Group C2?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd09993…
10-22 19:29:08	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xe20e6e…
10-22 19:24:11	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x803b5f…
10-22 19:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xe003f1…
10-22 19:18:57	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x597dfe…
10-22 19:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x273aad…
10-22 18:55:57	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9a3a93…
10-22 18:54:39	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb3b98f…
10-22 18:52:35	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe83a04…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xa6029d…
10-22 18:35:24	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x7a53fb…
10-22 18:18:18	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x59dd70…
10-22 18:18:17	GenLayer FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x78eae3…
10-22 18:12:09	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x165b8e…
10-22 18:11:33	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x7a2187…
10-22 18:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x7a0fa8…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xdf2ba7…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x5af371…
10-22 18:00:02	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x4b43d5…
10-22 17:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 23?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xbfeb6d…
10-22 17:43:35	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x5139d5…
10-22 17:43:24	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x3b0835…
10-22 17:23:03	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x419cf6…
10-22 17:19:02	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xd2f4bc…
10-22 17:10:53	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xda6546…
10-22 17:10:27	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0x6e9e6d…
10-22 16:58:35	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xbb8444…
10-22 16:57:53	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0xbefa97…
10-22 16:57:53	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x6ccea6…
10-22 16:47:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x9761fc…
10-22 16:47:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x978e1e…
10-22 16:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7951b6…
10-22 16:28:23	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x08084f…
10-22 16:28:09	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc2a19b…
10-22 16:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 23?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x889d90…
10-22 16:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 23?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe55be8…
10-22 16:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 23?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xbaac00…
10-22 15:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x8e9a51…
10-22 15:24:59	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x2b0449…
10-22 15:15:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	110	13¢	$14	0x102bf8…
10-22 15:13:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x0b1f26…
10-22 15:06:06	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0xf16e13…
10-22 15:02:48	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x8e3954…
10-22 14:57:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	44	29¢	$13	0x816680…
10-22 14:57:21	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x5b9b24…
10-22 14:51:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,275,000 and 1,350,000?	No	SELL	17	86¢	$14	0xdcf7b7…
10-22 14:51:35	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x0e28fc…
10-22 14:41:29	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xd46c10…
10-22 14:40:27	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xce38f0…
10-22 14:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 23?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xb6e88d…
10-22 14:20:36	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x94963f…
10-22 14:19:41	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe6aedb…
10-22 14:09:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	15¢	$33	0x4b6413…
10-22 14:08:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	14¢	$31	0x5dc7fb…
10-22 13:36:50	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0x0df81c…
10-22 13:26:48	Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x262696…
10-22 13:14:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb2f4b1…
10-22 12:56:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x9917ce…
10-22 12:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xe84c20…