Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

763

Trades

1,783

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-20

last 08-24 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

77% 88% +$9

Politics

23% 91% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+6	$4	100¢	$6	+$2	07-20 18:11
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	07-20 18:11
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+6	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	07-20 18:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	07-20 23:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$239	240	0	+240	No	+$1	07-20 23:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$239	240	0	+240	No	+$1	07-20 23:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$223	240	0	+240	No	+$17	07-20 23:04
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$113	114	0	+114	No	+$1	07-20 22:40
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$113	114	0	+114	No	+$1	07-20 22:40
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	07-20 22:40
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	19	$101	114	0	+114	No	+$13	07-20 22:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	20	$100	108	6	+102	Yes	-$105	07-26 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	8	$73	76	0	+76	No	+$3	07-24 05:36
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	9	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	07-29 14:43
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	9	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	07-29 14:43
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	9	$69	71	0	+71	No	+$2	07-29 14:43
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	9	$68	71	0	+71	No	+$3	07-29 14:43
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	07-20 21:55
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	1	$58	104	0	+104	Yes	-$58	07-22 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 24?	2	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	07-24 05:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 24?	7	$56	68	0	+68	No	+$12	07-24 05:08
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$48	63	0	+63	No	+$15	07-20 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 24?	8	$46	52	16	+37	Yes	-$51	07-24 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 15:33:54	Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x049e55…
08-23 15:09:25	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x489b97…
08-03 00:50:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa88e81…
08-01 06:30:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x25353f…
07-29 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc4791…
07-29 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd831f8…
07-29 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa59aab…
07-29 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7f94c6…
07-29 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4779ea…
07-29 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x06db2a…
07-29 14:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05c117…
07-29 14:43:42	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xc6decd…
07-29 14:43:42	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6f041a…
07-29 14:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b01d4…
07-29 14:43:42	Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x02b798…
07-29 14:43:41	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xf26c58…
07-29 14:43:41	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x4823f9…
07-29 14:43:41	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x3a7053…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf56708…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9fe74…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bd099…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x986bd2…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x977f17…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x94d386…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x86d2e6…
07-29 14:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4933d7…
07-29 14:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 29?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x82601b…
07-29 14:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x69f46a…
07-29 14:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x5c7549…
07-29 14:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x499d15…
07-29 14:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x364e9c…
07-29 14:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x23164e…
07-29 09:33:21	Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xb59d6c…
07-29 09:33:12	Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x7627c0…
07-29 09:32:57	Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x950176…
07-29 09:32:54	Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x638414…
07-29 09:32:47	Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xc8ba87…
07-26 05:49:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xf51706…
07-25 16:43:12	Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa0e3c0…
07-25 14:01:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xbfa456…
07-25 10:05:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xb0936d…
07-25 06:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7a0c8b…
07-25 04:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 102°F or higher on July 25?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x997509…
07-25 04:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 25?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x395341…
07-25 04:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x9714dc…
07-25 04:03:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x9dee05…
07-25 03:38:34	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x037332…
07-25 03:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x651b26…
07-25 03:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x35eef9…
07-25 03:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x9d2b54…
07-25 03:01:22	Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-29?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xff48b1…
07-25 03:01:22	Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xe7a3b7…
07-25 03:01:22	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?	No	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x892c8b…
07-25 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc378f7…
07-25 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa13473…
07-25 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd0c1…
07-25 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2e824e…
07-25 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x2c9e6a…
07-25 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x28522c…
07-25 03:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x199586…
07-25 02:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x8beee0…
07-25 01:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 25?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xa52424…
07-24 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf47bb0…
07-24 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xca2168…
07-24 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xc2e832…
07-24 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x5c83be…
07-24 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x334879…
07-24 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x09f905…
07-24 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on July 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x067047…
07-24 12:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on July 24?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb97848…
07-24 12:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on July 24?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xde9916…
07-24 10:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2e6eed…
07-24 08:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd45fd3…
07-24 08:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xda5280…
07-24 07:58:43	Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xda2e89…
07-24 07:58:18	Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x90d075…
07-24 07:56:39	Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1601c1…
07-24 07:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xcf43a0…
07-24 07:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or below on July 24?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8e318f…
07-24 06:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x8d9384…
07-24 06:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xca07ae…
07-24 05:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xcc2195…
07-24 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xd24570…
07-24 05:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xf4ad34…
07-24 05:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a6e2f…
07-24 05:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xabf55f…
07-24 05:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0bf5f8…
07-24 05:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf9f006…
07-24 05:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1794c6…
07-24 05:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0280aa…
07-24 05:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84786d…
07-24 05:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x384a06…
07-24 05:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x135985…
07-24 05:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd49fff…
07-24 05:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbadee2…
07-24 05:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9011a5…
07-24 05:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d2904…
07-24 05:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x41f842…
07-24 05:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdc6ddb…
07-24 05:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6ae1f2…