Lined-Macadamia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

279

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$193.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$455

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 09-05 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

90% 89% -$1,956

Politics

10% 61% -$1,301

Sports

0% 100% +$210

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 6pt5	2	$2.8K	1,416	1,416	+0	Under	+$14	07-15 21:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,412	1,412	+0	No	+$11	06-02 18:24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$2.6K	1,309	1,309	+0	No	+$8	07-14 12:06
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	2	$2.6K	1,306	1,306	+0	Under	+$4	06-24 21:04
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 6pt5	2	$2.4K	1,222	1,222	+0	Under	+$21	07-10 21:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,214	1,214	+0	No	+$13	07-06 17:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,204	1,204	+0	No	+$2	06-23 17:08
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 115 139	3	$2.3K	1,152	1,152	+0	No	+$17	02-25 18:06
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,055	1,055	+0	No	+$9	06-01 18:55
fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 6pt5	2	$2.0K	1,048	1,048	+0	Under	+$47	06-26 21:04
fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 team total home 1pt5	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	Under	+$41	06-27 05:01
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$2.0K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$39	06-01 03:37
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$2.0K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	-$3	02-28 05:34
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 6pt5	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	Under	+$20	07-02 21:04
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 6pt5	2	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	Under	+$19	07-03 00:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	No	+$16	06-29 18:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	+$14	07-07 16:49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	No	+$12	07-04 17:06
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,364	745	+620	No	-$27	07-18 14:11
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	2	$1.9K	985	985	+0	No	-$2	02-26 14:09
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$1.9K	974	974	+0	No	+$5	02-26 05:33
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	3	$1.8K	916	916	+0	No	+$15	07-01 16:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.7K	1,316	1,316	+0	Yes	-$270	06-13 12:36
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	1	$1.7K	1,753	0	+1,753	Under	+$53	07-07 01:42
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total away 2pt5	2	$1.6K	825	825	+0	Under	+$24	06-29 19:05
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 5pt5	2	$1.6K	811	811	+0	Under	+$10	07-06 03:10
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	2	$1.6K	1,631	0	+1,631	Under	+$31	07-06 18:08
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$1.5K	772	772	+0	No	+$31	02-25 05:00
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 40 64	2	$1.4K	741	741	+0	No	+$31	02-23 06:29
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 360 379	2	$1.4K	718	718	+0	No	+$17	02-27 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 16:47:06	FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa36968…
09-02 20:31:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe5e5c6…
09-01 03:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe11f6c…
08-31 20:23:24	Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8e8261…
08-30 19:56:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x26dbfd…
08-29 20:29:01	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xa9837f…
08-25 08:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x724b55…
08-24 04:34:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xccad08…
08-21 18:47:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8ad0dc…
08-18 20:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	763	100¢	$760	0x07560e…
08-18 14:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0x0a1d28…
08-18 14:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	SELL	706	100¢	$705	0x538c8b…
08-17 20:26:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0x03faa1…
08-17 17:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	SELL	706	100¢	$705	0x575d83…
08-16 09:44:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0x87488d…
08-14 10:09:42	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	750	76¢	$570	0x029e70…
08-14 10:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	506	95¢	$482	0xe293bf…
08-13 19:02:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x6eb4d5…
08-13 19:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	515	100¢	$514	0x922b0b…
08-12 20:22:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x4d5995…
08-11 17:31:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x2dad7e…
08-11 17:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	209	95¢	$200	0x6124aa…
08-11 17:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	573	100¢	$573	0x4316e5…
08-10 19:22:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	573	99¢	$570	0x375f2a…
08-09 19:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x064892…
08-07 19:05:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	556	99¢	$550	0x7accd2…
08-07 02:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0x27220e…
08-06 20:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x71c579…
08-04 14:54:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0x261d88…
08-04 14:53:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	504	100¢	$503	0x85c983…
08-03 10:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xe89378…
08-03 10:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	504	100¢	$503	0x978814…
08-02 18:05:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xefd40a…
08-02 18:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	SELL	508	100¢	$507	0xe03c0f…
08-01 20:20:47	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0xb66aa6…
07-31 19:29:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0x40b2f7…
07-29 19:09:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x1a16ce…
07-28 19:41:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x4d245a…
07-27 20:23:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe2b572…
07-27 20:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x6c8dd5…
07-26 13:36:21	chi ron bgu 2026 07 26 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0x048fc4…
07-26 13:14:54	chi ron bgu 2026 07 26 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x66f56d…
07-26 13:13:27	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	SELL	493	100¢	$492	0xc02667…
07-26 03:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	493	99¢	$490	0xdf0c3f…
07-25 08:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	SELL	323	29¢	$94	0x7f5b35…
07-24 20:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x45a50f…
07-24 20:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x7bf266…
07-23 16:06:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	704	99¢	$700	0xc1eef9…
07-23 16:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xd7c401…
07-21 20:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x1474a9…
07-20 19:01:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xd02a3a…
07-19 21:13:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x886d85…
07-19 21:12:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x698477…
07-19 04:45:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xbc7ede…
07-18 19:40:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	1,430	98¢	$1,400	0x460097…
07-18 14:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0x6cc3b8…
07-18 06:53:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xeb9d19…
07-18 06:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	SELL	745	88¢	$654	0xa63905…
07-17 19:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	779	99¢	$775	0x447f49…
07-17 19:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	745	94¢	$700	0x9e85ff…
07-16 19:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	420	95¢	$400	0x15172d…
07-16 08:09:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,018	98¢	$1,000	0xc1b1b2…
07-15 21:02:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	1,416	100¢	$1,414	0x95e76b…
07-15 18:09:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,416	99¢	$1,400	0xf2b142…
07-15 13:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xf33805…
07-15 10:04:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x878461…
07-14 21:20:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,420	99¢	$1,400	0x1e5233…
07-14 12:07:22	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,380	98¢	$1,350	0x82b84e…
07-14 12:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1,309	100¢	$1,308	0xfedc26…
07-13 19:11:08	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1,309	99¢	$1,300	0xd46357…
07-12 18:25:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,317	99¢	$1,300	0xeb8b63…
07-12 18:23:58	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x8556fb…
07-12 16:49:28	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Alexander Zverev	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xff1407…
07-12 03:46:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	711	100¢	$711	0x5c8ae8…
07-12 03:46:10	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7c9d3b…
07-12 01:55:19	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	711	98¢	$700	0x0173ae…
07-11 19:03:55	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,232	97¢	$1,200	0x143a83…
07-10 21:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x8887e7…
07-10 21:03:41	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	1,222	100¢	$1,221	0x324784…
07-10 21:02:02	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xdfe5d7…
07-10 19:06:59	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,222	98¢	$1,200	0xd96542…
07-10 02:04:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1,212	99¢	$1,200	0xf60a5b…
07-09 08:24:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,222	98¢	$1,200	0x466d3d…
07-08 01:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$999	0x342a1e…
07-07 19:31:14	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	414	99¢	$410	0xca36bf…
07-07 18:12:28	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	805	99¢	$800	0x5bb61c…
07-07 18:11:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	711	100¢	$710	0x0d965e…
07-07 17:56:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1,058	2¢	$21	0xa3d8c0…
07-07 17:41:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1,058	95¢	$1,000	0x98e919…
07-07 16:49:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1,015	100¢	$1,014	0x795514…
07-07 02:30:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	711	99¢	$700	0xbe0765…
07-07 02:30:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,015	99¢	$1,000	0x32f769…
07-07 01:42:52	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,753	97¢	$1,700	0x155187…
07-06 18:08:53	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	612	98¢	$600	0xd3df29…
07-06 17:29:14	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1,018	98¢	$1,000	0x8f81f8…
07-06 17:28:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	SELL	1,214	100¢	$1,213	0xbe7112…
07-06 03:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,214	99¢	$1,200	0x969822…
07-06 03:10:44	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total home 2pt5	Under	SELL	412	100¢	$412	0x565dae…
07-06 03:10:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	811	100¢	$810	0x995fb6…
07-06 03:10:37	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	455	100¢	$454	0xa20913…